📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Nov 07 at 8:30 AM ET through Nov 08 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 244 unique markets across 49 new events, plus 1,329 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
2028 Republican VP nominee: Kim Reynolds — bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Next Senate Democratic Leader?: Elissa Slotkin bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Elizabeth Warren ask 95¢ (no bids)
120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?: Elissa Slotkin — bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?: Dana White bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Dana W. White bid 1¢ / ask 3¢, Kingsley Wilson last 1¢ (book empty)
Will Dana White publicly decline the press secretary role?: Before Nov 10, 2026 — bid 42¢ / ask 44¢
Will Dana White visit the White House before Nov 10, 2026?: Yes — bid 68¢ / ask 98¢
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in December: Above $11.00 bid 1¢ / ask 32¢, Above $10.50 bid 1¢ / ask 35¢, Above $10.00 bid 1¢ / ask 39¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Broadway total attendance · week ending Nov 15, 2026
- Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Nov 9, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Nov 9, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Nov 9, 2026
- Amusement Parks & Attractions Ad Spend in November 2026
- C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth in November 2026
- ChatGPT App downloads in November 2026
- Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth in November 2026
- NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in December
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Which Senate committees will Abdul El-Sayed be assigned to?
- Which Senate committees will Annie Andrews be assigned to?
- Which Senate committees will James Talarico be assigned to?
- Which Senate committees will Roy Cooper be assigned to?
- Who will be Ranking Member of Senate Appropriations?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
- Will Chuck Grassley resign before Rob Sand takes office?
- Will Dana White publicly decline the press secretary role?
- Will Dana White visit the White House before Nov 10, 2026?
- Will Jensen Huang testify in front of Congress?
- Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be impeached?
- Will Texas sue Elon Musk or his companies before 2028?
- Will the EU fine TikTok over its For You feed?
- Will the Senate confirm James Sullivan as a federal judge?
- Will the Senate convict Pete Hegseth?
- Will Todd Blanche be impeached?
- 120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House?
- 120th Congress: Who will be House Minority Leader?
- 120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?
- 120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?
- 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket
- 2028 Democratic VP nominee
- 2028 Libertarian Presidential nominee
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 Republican VP nominee
- 2030 U.S. House winner?
- 2030 U.S. Senate winner?
- New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028?
- Next Senate Democratic Leader?
- Which Senate races will be within 1 point?
- Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- Who will run for U.S. Senate in 2028?
- Will a recount be ordered in the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
- Will Chris Christie announce a presidential run?
- Will Chris Van Hollen announce a presidential run?
- Will Scott Colom back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader?
All New Events
🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 9 markets
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 11, 2026 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 07, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
💹 Financials — 5 events, 21 markets
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in December — 10 brackets — listed Nov 08, 2026 at 1:10 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $7.00 | bid 34¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above $7.50 | bid 23¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Above $8.00 | bid 14¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above $8.50 | bid 8¢ / ask 56¢ |
| Above $9.00 | bid 4¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Above $9.50 | bid 1¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Above $10.00 | bid 1¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Above $10.50 | bid 1¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above $11.00 | bid 1¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Above $11.50 | ask 37¢ (no bids) |
C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth in November 2026 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 08, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET
Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth in November 2026 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 08, 2026 at 2:01 AM ET
ChatGPT App downloads in November 2026 — 3 brackets — listed Nov 07, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 101 | bid 1¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 111.5 | bid 1¢ / ask 56¢ |
| Above 122 | bid 1¢ / ask 54¢ |
Amusement Parks & Attractions Ad Spend in November 2026 — 2 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 07, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 5 events, 61 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Nov 9, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 08, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
Tracking: Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Tu Mil Jaaye (From "KING"), take me home (4 christmas), Shararat, Ramayana: Shree Hanuman Chalisa | Namit M, Nitesh T | Ranbir Kapoor, Sunny Deol | AR Rahman, Pós (Ao Vivo), POKITO, Mahiya (Official Music Video) Badshah x Shreya Ghoshal - Mahiya ft. Avneet Kaur, KALYANI (Remix), Guzarish, GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION], Dai Dai, Casa Tupka Anthemo, Barsaat, ADDICTED
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Nov 9, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 08, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
Tracking: Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Tu Mil Jaaye (From "KING"), take me home (4 christmas), Shararat, Ramayana: Shree Hanuman Chalisa | Namit M, Nitesh T | Ranbir Kapoor, Sunny Deol | AR Rahman, Pós (Ao Vivo), POKITO, Mahiya (Official Music Video) Badshah x Shreya Ghoshal - Mahiya ft. Avneet Kaur, KALYANI (Remix), Guzarish, GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION], Dai Dai, Casa Tupka Anthemo, Barsaat, ADDICTED
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Nov 9, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 08, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
Tracking: WTF GOIN, Tom MacDonald - "Talk To God", Todo Lo Fue, Tina Tuesday, The Midterms, take me home (4 christmas), POKITO, Mr. Do Something, DEPENDS, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, BOTZ, All I Want for Christmas Is You (Make My Wish Come True Edition), AH HA, Additup - Gangsta B*tch | From The Block Performance 🎙
Broadway total attendance · week ending Nov 15, 2026 — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 08, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond: Harry Styles (ask 6¢ (no bids)) — listed Nov 07, 2026 at 11:16 AM ET
🏛️ Politics — 18 events, 102 markets
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? — 19 outcomes — listed Nov 07, 2026 at 2:12 PM ET
View market options (19 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Dana White | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Vince McMahon | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Joe Rogan | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sean Parnell | — |
| Kellyanne Conway | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jeanine Pirro | — |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jesse Watters | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Lawrence Jones | — |
| Linda McMahon | — |
| Kid Rock | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jon Jones | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Olivia Wales | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Allison Schuster | last 4¢ (book empty) |
| Tammy Bruce | — |
| Davis Ingle | — |
| Kingsley Wilson | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tommy Pigott | — |
| Dana W. White | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
Which Senate committees will Roy Cooper be assigned to? — 16 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 08, 2026 at 2:10 AM ET
Tracking: Veterans' Affairs, Small Business, Judiciary, Homeland Security, HELP, Foreign Relations, Finance, Environment and Public Works, Energy, Commerce, Budget, Banking, Armed Services, Appropriations, Agriculture, Aging
Which Senate committees will Annie Andrews be assigned to? — 16 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 08, 2026 at 2:10 AM ET
Tracking: Veterans' Affairs, Small Business, Judiciary, Homeland Security, HELP, Foreign Relations, Finance, Environment and Public Works, Energy, Commerce, Budget, Banking, Armed Services, Appropriations, Agriculture, Aging
Which Senate committees will Abdul El-Sayed be assigned to? — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 08, 2026 at 2:10 AM ET
Tracking: Veterans' Affairs, Small Business, Judiciary, Homeland Security, HELP, Foreign Relations, Finance, Environment and Public Works, Energy, Commerce, Banking, Armed Services, Appropriations, Agriculture, Aging
Which Senate committees will James Talarico be assigned to? — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 08, 2026 at 2:10 AM ET
Tracking: Veterans' Affairs, Small Business, Judiciary, Homeland Security, HELP, Foreign Relations, Finance, Environment and Public Works, Energy, Commerce, Banking, Armed Services, Appropriations, Agriculture, Aging
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be impeached? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 08, 2026 at 2:10 AM ET
Tracking: Before Jan 1, 2028, Before Oct 1, 2027, Before Jul 1, 2027
Who will be Ranking Member of Senate Appropriations? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 08, 2026 at 2:10 AM ET
Tracking: Lisa Murkowski, Jerry Moran, John Hoeven
Will Todd Blanche be impeached? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 08, 2026 at 2:10 AM ET
Tracking: Before Jan 1, 2028, Before Jul 1, 2027, Before Apr 1, 2027
US-Iran nuclear deal? — 2 outcomes — listed Nov 08, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 13¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
Will Jensen Huang testify in front of Congress? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 08, 2026 at 2:10 AM ET
Tracking: Before Jul 2027, Before Jan 2027
Will Chuck Grassley resign before Rob Sand takes office?: Chuck Grassley — listed Nov 08, 2026 at 2:18 AM ET
Will the Senate confirm James Sullivan as a federal judge?: Before Jan 3, 2027 — listed Nov 08, 2026 at 2:10 AM ET
Will Texas sue Elon Musk or his companies before 2028?: Before Jan 2028 — listed Nov 08, 2026 at 2:10 AM ET
Will the Senate convict Pete Hegseth?: Before Jan 1, 2028 — listed Nov 08, 2026 at 2:10 AM ET
Will the EU fine TikTok over its For You feed?: Yes — listed Nov 08, 2026 at 2:10 AM ET
Will Dana White visit the White House before Nov 10, 2026?: Yes (bid 68¢ / ask 98¢) — listed Nov 07, 2026 at 4:54 PM ET
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?: Dan Sullivan (bid 3¢ / ask 53¢) — listed Nov 07, 2026 at 4:19 PM ET
Will Dana White publicly decline the press secretary role?: Before Nov 10, 2026 (bid 42¢ / ask 44¢) — listed Nov 07, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET
🗳️ Elections — 20 events, 51 markets
Who will run for U.S. Senate in 2028? — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 07, 2026 at 5:36 PM ET
Tracking: Jared Moskowitz, Jon Husted, Angie Nixon, Ashley Hinson, Carlin Yoder, John Bel Edwards, Frank LaRose, Kelly Ayotte, Laura Kelly
Will Chris Christie announce a presidential run? — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 08, 2026 at 2:10 AM ET
Tracking: Before Jan 1, 2028, Before Oct 1, 2027, Before May 1, 2027, Before Mar 1, 2027, Before Jun 1, 2027, Before Jul 1, 2027, Before Jan 1, 2027, Before Feb 1, 2027, Before Apr 1, 2027
Will Chris Van Hollen announce a presidential run? — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 08, 2026 at 2:10 AM ET
Tracking: Before Jan 1, 2028, Before Oct 1, 2027, Before May 1, 2027, Before Mar 1, 2027, Before Jun 1, 2027, Before Jul 1, 2027, Before Jan 1, 2027, Before Feb 1, 2027, Before Apr 1, 2027
2028 Republican presidential nominee — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 08, 2026 at 4:02 AM ET
Tracking: Mike Pompeo, Mike Johnson
2030 U.S. House winner? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 08, 2026 at 3:35 AM ET
Tracking: Republican party, Democratic party
2030 U.S. Senate winner? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 08, 2026 at 3:35 AM ET
Tracking: Republican party, Democratic party
2028 Democratic VP nominee — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 08, 2026 at 3:34 AM ET
Tracking: Sherrod Brown, Scott Colom
New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028? — 2 outcomes — listed Nov 08, 2026 at 3:12 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Lina Khan | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Chi Ossé | — |
120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 08, 2026 at 3:12 AM ET
Tracking: Jamie Raskin, Ro Khanna
Next Senate Democratic Leader? — 2 outcomes — listed Nov 07, 2026 at 10:47 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Elissa Slotkin | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Elizabeth Warren | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
2028 Democratic Presidential ticket: Jon Ossoff and Wes Moore (ask 6¢ (no bids)) — listed Nov 08, 2026 at 3:50 AM ET
Will Scott Colom back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader?: Yes — listed Nov 08, 2026 at 3:40 AM ET
2028 Republican VP nominee: Kim Reynolds (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — listed Nov 08, 2026 at 3:34 AM ET
Which Senate races will be within 1 point?: Mississippi — listed Nov 08, 2026 at 3:13 AM ET
2028 Libertarian Presidential nominee: Thomas Massie (ask 92¢ (no bids)) — listed Nov 08, 2026 at 3:12 AM ET
120th Congress: Who will be House Minority Leader?: Brandon Gill — listed Nov 08, 2026 at 3:11 AM ET
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?: Paul Ryan — listed Nov 08, 2026 at 3:11 AM ET
Will a recount be ordered in the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?: Yes — listed Nov 08, 2026 at 2:10 AM ET
120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?: Elissa Slotkin (bid 3¢ / ask 4¢) — listed Nov 07, 2026 at 5:11 PM ET
120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?: Elissa Slotkin — listed Nov 07, 2026 at 5:11 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
1,329 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 📊 Economics | 907 | 53 | Daily Diesel Price, Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand, West Virginia gas price, +50 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 378 | 54 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Miami Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 19 | 4 | Trump approval rating, Number of Trump Truth Social posts today?, Judges confirmed in a year, +1 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 15 | 1 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO |
| 💹 Financials | 10 | 1 | RTX 5090 Monthly |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.