Kalshi Markets: Schwarzman Exit, Lionsgate Acquisition

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 29 at 6:30 PM ET through Oct 30 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 4,977 unique markets across 2,335 new events, plus 6,121 recurring bracket markets.

🏛️ Politics

1 event

1 market

📊 Economics

2 events

10 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

6 events

64 markets

🎬 Entertainment

6 events

187 markets

💹 Financials

16 events

108 markets

🗳️ Elections

2304 events

4607 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

When will Stephen Schwarzman leave as Blackstone CEO?: Before Jul 1, 2027 bid 2¢ / ask 10¢, Before Jan 1, 2029 bid 17¢ / ask 25¢, Before Jan 1, 2028 bid 7¢ / ask 15¢

Will Legendary acquire Lionsgate?: Before Nov 16, 2026 bid 2¢ / ask 10¢, Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 16¢ / ask 24¢, Before Dec 15, 2026 bid 10¢ / ask 18¢

New York State Senate District 38 winner?: Joseph Rand bid 48¢ / ask 58¢, Bill Weber bid 42¢ / ask 52¢

Will DC vote to ban foie gras?: Yes — bid 70¢ / ask 80¢

Will LLM restrictions become law?: Before 2028 — bid 25¢ / ask 35¢

Will Marvell announce acquisition of Lumentum before 2027?: Yes — bid 68¢ / ask 78¢

30Y US Treasury yield on Nov 2, 2026?: 5.22% or above bid 88¢ / ask 99¢, 5.24% or above bid 85¢ / ask 98¢, 5.34% or above bid 24¢ / ask 42¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🏛️ Politics

Will LLM restrictions become law?

📊 Economics

🎬 Entertainment

🔬 Science and Technology

💹 Financials

🗳️ Elections

All New Events

🏛️ Politics — 1 event, 1 market

Will LLM restrictions become law?: Before 2028 (bid 25¢ / ask 35¢) — listed Oct 29, 2026 at 9:23 PM ET

📊 Economics — 2 events, 10 markets

Sweden rate decision in December — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 30, 2026 at 1:34 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Maintain current rate	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Hike more than 25bps	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Hike 1-25bps	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Cut more than 25bps	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Cut 1-25bps	ask 90¢ (no bids)

Poland rate decision in December — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 30, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Maintain current rate	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Hike more than 25bps	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Hike 1-25bps	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Cut more than 25bps	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Cut 1-25bps	ask 90¢ (no bids)

🔬 Science and Technology — 6 events, 64 markets

Top Text to Speech AI this week — 17 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 30, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET

Tracking: VUI Labs, StepFun, SpeechifyAI, SpaceXAI, Smallest.ai, OpenAI, Nvidia, Mistral, MiniMax, Inworld, Google, Fish Audio, ElevenLabs, Cartesia, Async, Amazon, Alibaba

Bracket	Price
Above 197T tokens	bid 7¢ / ask 86¢
Above 198T tokens	bid 6¢ / ask 86¢
Above 199T tokens	—
Above 200T tokens	bid 8¢ (no asks)

Outcome	Price
Yeshanagula	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Пешта	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Training Season	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Parvati	ask 95¢ (no bids)
NEON	ask 95¢ (no bids)
KALYANI (Remix)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Kaali Hoodie	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Housewife	ask 95¢ (no bids)
expectations	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Dai Dai	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Casa Tupka Anthemo (feat. Priyanshi Shrivastav)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
BbY WOW	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Basinga Balaalu	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Barsaat	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Ala Bolelo	ask 95¢ (no bids)

Outcome	Price
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Veezha Veera (From "OM Chapter 1: Udhiram - The Blood Wood") [Hindi]	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Tarantino (Official Music Video)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Pós (Ao Vivo)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Như Một Người Rưng - Chủ Tịch Mai x Giám Đốc Hà \| Official M/V	ask 95¢ (no bids)
K/DA - FIRESTARTER ft. MIYEON and SOYEON of i-dle, Sophie Powers, Mimi Webb (Official Music Video)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
KALYANI (Remix)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Guzarish	ask 95¢ (no bids)
GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION]	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Dame Tu Cosita	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Dai Dai	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Casa Tupka Anthemo	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Basinga Balaalu	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Barsaat	ask 95¢ (no bids)
3 PHẢI 6 ĐỪNG - Quân A.P (Official MV)	ask 95¢ (no bids)

Outcome	Price
WTF GOIN (feat. 21 Savage)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
What You Need	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Thriller	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Sunflower	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Nicole Kidman	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Housewife	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Hootie Frutti	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Golden	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Flower In A Hurricane [from GTAVI]	ask 95¢ (no bids)
expectations	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Dai Dai	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Choosin' Texas	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Bow Bow Bow	ask 95¢ (no bids)
BbY WOW	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Animal	ask 95¢ (no bids)

Outcome	Price
WTF GOIN	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Todo Lo Fue	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Tarantino (Official Music Video)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
San Judas Tadeo	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Nicole Kidman	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Megan Thee Stallion - Thin Ice - Tina Tuesday Freestyle	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Lil Krazy	ask 95¢ (no bids)
K/DA - FIRESTARTER ft. MIYEON and SOYEON of i-dle, Sophie Powers, Mimi Webb (Official Music Video)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Janice STFU	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Housewife (Official Video)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Dai Dai	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Coming Up Roses (Official Video)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Choosin' Texas	ask 95¢ (no bids)
BbY WOW	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Backstabber (Official Video)	ask 95¢ (no bids)

Bracket	Price
5.44% or above	ask 11¢ (no bids)
5.42% or above	ask 12¢ (no bids)
5.4% or above	ask 15¢ (no bids)
5.38% or above	ask 20¢ (no bids)
5.36% or above	bid 10¢ / ask 30¢
5.34% or above	bid 24¢ / ask 42¢
5.32% or above	bid 38¢ / ask 56¢
5.3% or above	bid 53¢ / ask 73¢
5.28% or above	bid 67¢ / ask 87¢
5.26% or above	bid 78¢ / ask 98¢
5.24% or above	bid 85¢ / ask 98¢
5.22% or above	bid 88¢ / ask 99¢
5.2% or above	bid 89¢ (no asks)
5.18% or above	bid 89¢ (no asks)
5.16% or above	bid 89¢ (no asks)

Bracket	Price
5.14% or above	—
5.12% or above	—
5.1% or above	ask 8¢ (no bids)
5.08% or above	ask 11¢ (no bids)
5.06% or above	ask 12¢ (no bids)
5.04% or above	ask 14¢ (no bids)
5.02% or above	ask 18¢ (no bids)
5% or above	bid 4¢ / ask 24¢
4.98% or above	bid 14¢ / ask 33¢
4.96% or above	bid 26¢ / ask 44¢
4.94% or above	bid 39¢ / ask 59¢
4.92% or above	bid 52¢ / ask 72¢
4.9% or above	bid 66¢ / ask 85¢
4.88% or above	bid 76¢ / ask 96¢
4.86% or above	bid 82¢ / ask 98¢

Bracket	Price
4.99% or above	ask 11¢ (no bids)
4.97% or above	ask 11¢ (no bids)
4.95% or above	ask 12¢ (no bids)
4.93% or above	ask 15¢ (no bids)
4.91% or above	ask 19¢ (no bids)
4.89% or above	bid 6¢ / ask 26¢
4.87% or above	bid 15¢ / ask 35¢
4.85% or above	bid 27¢ / ask 47¢
4.83% or above	bid 42¢ / ask 60¢
4.81% or above	bid 55¢ / ask 75¢
4.79% or above	bid 67¢ / ask 87¢
4.77% or above	bid 77¢ / ask 97¢
4.75% or above	bid 83¢ / ask 98¢
4.73% or above	bid 87¢ / ask 99¢
4.71% or above	bid 89¢ (no asks)

Bracket	Price
4.94% or above	ask 10¢ (no bids)
4.92% or above	ask 10¢ (no bids)
4.9% or above	ask 11¢ (no bids)
4.88% or above	ask 11¢ (no bids)
4.86% or above	ask 12¢ (no bids)
4.84% or above	ask 14¢ (no bids)
4.82% or above	ask 17¢ (no bids)
4.8% or above	bid 2¢ / ask 22¢
4.78% or above	bid 11¢ / ask 31¢
4.76% or above	bid 22¢ / ask 42¢
4.74% or above	bid 34¢ / ask 54¢
4.72% or above	bid 47¢ / ask 67¢
4.7% or above	bid 59¢ / ask 79¢
4.68% or above	bid 70¢ / ask 90¢
4.66% or above	bid 78¢ / ask 98¢

Outcome	Price
Before Nov 16, 2026	bid 2¢ / ask 10¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 16¢ / ask 24¢
Before Dec 15, 2026	bid 10¢ / ask 18¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 6¢ / ask 14¢

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 2¢ / ask 10¢
Before Jan 1, 2029	bid 17¢ / ask 25¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 7¢ / ask 15¢

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
💹 Financials	4,565	22	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, US 30Y Treasury yield hourly, +19 more
📊 Economics	1,031	61	Colorado gas price, Wisconsin gas price, Michigan gas price, +58 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	376	55	Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +52 more
🏛️ Politics	134	20	Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?, Traffic through the Bab al-Mandab Strait, Will Trump do anything today?, +17 more
🎬 Entertainment	15	1	DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO

New Kalshi Markets: Schwarzman Exit, Lionsgate Acquisition, DC Foie Gras Ban — Past 24 Hours (as of 6:30:30 PM ET, Oct 30)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

🏛️ Politics — 1 event, 1 market

📊 Economics — 2 events, 10 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 6 events, 64 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 6 events, 187 markets

💹 Financials — 16 events, 108 markets

🗳️ Elections — 2,304 events, 4,607 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

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