📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jun 25 at 8:30 AM ET through Jun 26 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 204 unique markets across 42 new events, plus 5,445 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
US semiconductor production growth in 2026?: Above 8% bid 92¢ / ask 93¢, Above 24% bid 11¢ / ask 12¢, Above 22% bid 15¢ / ask 16¢
Bank of Mexico rate decision in August: Maintain current rate bid 80¢ / ask 81¢, Hike more than 50bps bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Hike 50bps bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Sioux Falls mayor winner: Jamie Smith bid 35¢ / ask 36¢, Christine Erickson bid 61¢ / ask 62¢
SOFR at end of Q4 2026: Above 4.75% bid 10¢ / ask 11¢, Above 4.50% bid 15¢ / ask 16¢, Above 4.25% bid 26¢ / ask 27¢
Charles Schwab Active Brokerage Accounts in 2026: Above 41.8 million bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, Above 41.6 million bid 9¢ / ask 10¢, Above 41.4 million bid 13¢ / ask 14¢
Which companies will be removed from the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 2026?: Walmart, Visa, UnitedHealth Group all at bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Charles Schwab Active Brokerage Accounts in Q2: Above 40.2 million bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Above 40.0 million bid 10¢ / ask 11¢, Above 39.8 million bid 17¢ / ask 18¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Where will the maximum temperature be above 100 degrees on Jul 4, 2026?
- Where will the maximum temperature be above 85 degrees on Jul 4, 2026?
- Bank of Mexico rate decision in August
- SOFR at end of Q4 2026
- US semiconductor production growth in 2026?
- John Thune announces departure before the midterms?
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/22 - 6/28)
- Will the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act become law?
- Will Trump publicly call for John Thune to step down as Senate Majority Leader?
- Chicago Mayor winner?
- Congressional Progressive Caucus size after the midterms?
- How many candidates endorsed by Justice Democrats will win their primaries?
- How many DSA-endorsed candidates will win their primaries?
- Sioux Falls mayor winner
- Will Mamdani endorse outside of New York?
- Boeing Deliveries in Q2
- Charles Schwab Active Brokerage Accounts in 2026
- Charles Schwab Active Brokerage Accounts in Q2
- Constellation Brands Beer Shipments in fiscal 2027
- Constellation Brands Beer Shipments in Q1
- Ford US total vehicles sales in Q2
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q2
- Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q2
- Spotify headcount in Q2
- United Airlines passengers in Q2
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Which companies will be removed from the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 2026?
- Zyn US shipment volume in Q2
All New Events
🎬 Entertainment — 2 events, 20 markets
Who will attend Michael Rubin's White Party in 2026? — 17 outcomes — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 2:28 PM ET
View market options (17 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Travis Scott | bid 78¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Tom Brady | bid 68¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Timothée Chalamet | bid 16¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Meek Mill | bid 48¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Leonardo DiCaprio | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| LeBron James | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Kylie Jenner | bid 82¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Kim Kardashian | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Kevin Hart | bid 56¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Kendall Jenner | bid 56¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Justin Bieber | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Jay-Z | bid 56¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Drake | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Beyoncé | bid 16¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Bad Bunny | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Alix Earle | bid 56¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Aaron Judge | bid 2¢ / ask 63¢ |
Top 5 most searched people on Google in 2026 — 3 outcomes — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:28 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zohran Mamdani | bid 1¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Jalen Brunson | bid 12¢ / ask 27¢ |
| OG Anunoby | bid 7¢ / ask 22¢ |
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 2 events, 40 markets
Where will the maximum temperature be above 100 degrees on Jul 4, 2026? — 20 outcomes — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 3:13 PM ET
View market options (20 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| San Francisco | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Seattle | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| San Antonio | bid 93¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Phoenix | bid 96¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Philadelphia | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Oklahoma City | bid 19¢ / ask 80¢ |
| New York City | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| New Orleans | bid 10¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Minneapolis | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Miami | bid 58¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Las Vegas | bid 90¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Los Angeles | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Houston | bid 27¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Denver | bid 45¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Washington DC | bid 43¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Dallas | bid 17¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Chicago | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Boston | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Austin | bid 69¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Atlanta | bid 7¢ / ask 10¢ |
Where will the maximum temperature be above 85 degrees on Jul 4, 2026? — 20 outcomes — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 3:11 PM ET
View market options (20 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| San Francisco | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Seattle | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| San Antonio | bid 95¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Phoenix | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Philadelphia | bid 94¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Oklahoma City | bid 95¢ / ask 98¢ |
| New York City | bid 45¢ / ask 47¢ |
| New Orleans | bid 94¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Minneapolis | bid 87¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Miami | bid 78¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Las Vegas | bid 79¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Los Angeles | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Houston | bid 96¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Denver | bid 94¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Washington DC | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Dallas | bid 96¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Chicago | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Boston | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Austin | bid 96¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Atlanta | bid 80¢ / ask 82¢ |
📊 Economics — 3 events, 24 markets
US semiconductor production growth in 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 6:07 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 8% | bid 92¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above 24% | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 22% | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 20% | bid 14¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Above 18% | bid 33¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Above 16% | bid 48¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 14% | bid 64¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Above 12% | bid 82¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 10% | bid 89¢ / ask 90¢ |
SOFR at end of Q4 2026 — 8 brackets — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 4:26 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 4.75% | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 4.50% | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 4.25% | bid 26¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Above 4.00% | bid 47¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Above 3.75% | bid 68¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Above 3.50% | bid 85¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Above 3.25% | bid 88¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 3.00% | bid 91¢ / ask 92¢ |
Bank of Mexico rate decision in August — 7 outcomes — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 5:27 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | bid 80¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Hike more than 50bps | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Hike 50bps | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Hike 25bps | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Cut more than 50bps | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Cut 50bps | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Cut 25bps | bid 10¢ / ask 16¢ |
🏛️ Politics — 4 events, 6 markets
Will the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act become law? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 5:20 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jun 28, 2026 | bid 5¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Before Jul 4, 2026 | bid 46¢ / ask 49¢ |
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/22 - 6/28) — 2 brackets — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 12:24 PM ET
View market strikes (2 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 225 | bid 12¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Above 250 | bid 8¢ / ask 16¢ |
John Thune announces departure before the midterms?: Yes (bid 4¢ / ask 5¢) — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 12:32 PM ET
Will Trump publicly call for John Thune to step down as Senate Majority Leader?: Before Sep 1, 2026 (bid 16¢ / ask 22¢) — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 12:25 PM ET
🗳️ Elections — 6 events, 20 markets
How many candidates endorsed by Justice Democrats will win their primaries? — 5 brackets — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 12:46 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7 | bid 1¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Above 6 | bid 11¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Above 5 | bid 6¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 4 | bid 43¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above 3 | bid 61¢ / ask 62¢ |
How many DSA-endorsed candidates will win their primaries? — 5 brackets — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 12:16 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 8 | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Above 6 | bid 26¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Above 4 | bid 35¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Above 2 | bid 55¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
Congressional Progressive Caucus size after the midterms? — 4 brackets — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:51 AM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 95 | bid 90¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above 110 | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 105 | bid 23¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 100 | bid 64¢ / ask 65¢ |
Chicago Mayor winner? — 3 outcomes — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 12:57 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Liam Stanton | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Matt Brewer | bid 13¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Lisa Madigan | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
Sioux Falls mayor winner — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 5:11 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Jamie Smith | bid 35¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Christine Erickson | bid 61¢ / ask 62¢ |
Will Mamdani endorse outside of New York?: Yes (bid 24¢ / ask 25¢) — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 12:25 PM ET
💹 Financials — 25 events, 94 markets
Which companies will be removed from the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 2026? — 28 outcomes — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET
View market options (25 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Walmart | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Visa | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| UnitedHealth Group | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Travelers Cos | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Sherwin-Williams | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Procter & Gamble | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| NVIDIA | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Nike | bid 37¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Microsoft | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Merck | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| McDonald's | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Coca-Cola | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| JPMorgan Chase | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Johnson & Johnson | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| International Business Machines Corp | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Honeywell International | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Home Depot | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Goldman Sachs Group | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Walt Disney | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Chevron | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Cisco Systems | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Salesforce | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Caterpillar | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Boeing | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| American Express | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
+ 3 more outcomes
Charles Schwab Active Brokerage Accounts in 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 4:14 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 41.8 million | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 41.6 million | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 41.4 million | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 41.2 million | bid 28¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above 41 million | bid 45¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Above 40.8 million | bid 55¢ / ask 56¢ |
| Above 40.6 million | bid 73¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Above 40.4 million | bid 86¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 40.2 million | bid 92¢ / ask 93¢ |
Constellation Brands Beer Shipments in Q1 — 9 brackets — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 12:34 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 118 million | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 116 million | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Above 114 million | bid 23¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 113 million | bid 24¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above 112 million | bid 40¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Above 111 million | bid 54¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Above 110 million | bid 76¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 108 million | bid 88¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 106 million | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
Charles Schwab Active Brokerage Accounts in Q2 — 8 brackets — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 3:22 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 40.2 million | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 40.0 million | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 39.8 million | bid 17¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Above 39.7 million | bid 33¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Above 39.6 million | bid 67¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Above 39.5 million | bid 84¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 39.4 million | bid 91¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above 39.2 million | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
Constellation Brands Beer Shipments in fiscal 2027 — 8 brackets — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 440 million | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 435 million | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 430 million | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above 425 million | bid 32¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Above 420 million | bid 52¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above 415 million | bid 68¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Above 410 million | bid 83¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 405 million | bid 91¢ / ask 92¢ |
Boeing Deliveries in Q2 — 5 brackets — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 10:49 AM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 155 | bid 55¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 162 | bid 3¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Above 161 | bid 4¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 163 | bid 3¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Above 164 | bid 1¢ / ask 80¢ |
Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q2 — 3 brackets — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 10:55 AM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $234 | bid 16¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Above $237 | bid 7¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above $240 | bid 4¢ / ask 11¢ |
United Airlines passengers in Q2 — 3 brackets — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 10:16 AM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 49 million | bid 12¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Above 49.5 million | bid 4¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 50 million | bid 2¢ / ask 8¢ |
Spotify headcount in Q2 — 2 brackets — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 10:44 AM ET
View market strikes (2 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7375 | bid 4¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 7400 | bid 2¢ / ask 8¢ |
Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q2 — 2 brackets — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 10:42 AM ET
View market strikes (2 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 59.5 million | bid 32¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Above 60.5 million | bid 4¢ / ask 11¢ |
Zyn US shipment volume in Q2 — 2 brackets — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 10:20 AM ET
View market strikes (2 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 205 million | bid 7¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Above 210 million | bid 5¢ / ask 10¢ |
Ford US total vehicles sales in Q2 — 2 brackets — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET
View market strikes (2 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 530 thousand | bid 55¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Above 550 thousand | bid 11¢ / ask 18¢ |
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?: Before 2028 (bid 60¢ / ask 70¢) — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 3:08 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
5,445 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 5,027 | 9 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 range, +6 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 86 | 8 | Daily US Spotify artist chart, Daily Global Spotify songs, Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, +5 more |
| 📊 Economics | 43 | 4 | US gas price up, Weekly initial jobless claims, US Gulf Coast jet fuel price weekly, +1 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.