Kalshi Markets: Senate Leader & French Election Updates

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Nov 08 at 6:30 PM ET through Nov 09 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 3,590 unique markets across 303 new events, plus 6,326 recurring bracket markets.

📊 Economics

1 event

3 markets

🏢 Companies

1 event

3 markets

🌤️ Climate and Weather

1 event

11 markets

🎬 Entertainment

3 events

45 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

10 events

89 markets

🏛️ Politics

15 events

51 markets

🗳️ Elections

25 events

119 markets

💹 Financials

247 events

3269 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

120th Congress: Who will be Senate Minority Leader?: Rick Scott — bid 4¢ / ask 5¢

Next French presidential election winner?: Teddy Riner — bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.41177 — bid 68¢ / ask 69¢

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.12230 — bid 26¢ / ask 27¢

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.34423 — bid 17¢ / ask 18¢

Arctic sea ice max in winter 2026–2027: Above 14.1 million sq km bid 90¢ / ask 92¢, Above 14.0 million sq km bid 93¢ / ask 95¢, Above 14.2 million sq km bid 86¢ / ask 89¢

Anthropic market share this week: Above 5.1% bid 90¢ / ask 92¢, Above 4.8% bid 95¢ / ask 97¢, Above 6.3% bid 13¢ / ask 17¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🌤️ Climate and Weather

Arctic sea ice max in winter 2026–2027

🏢 Companies

Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026

📊 Economics

When will the US SPR level be above 300 million barrels?

🎬 Entertainment

🔬 Science and Technology

🏛️ Politics

🗳️ Elections

💹 Financials

All New Events

📊 Economics — 1 event, 3 markets

When will the US SPR level be above 300 million barrels? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 09, 2026 at 2:35 PM ET

Tracking: Before Jan 1, 2028, Before Oct 1, 2027, Before Jul 1, 2027

🔗 View on Kalshi →

🏢 Companies — 1 event, 3 markets

Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 08, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 15.2 million sq km	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Above 15.0 million sq km	ask 8¢ (no bids)
Above 14.8 million sq km	bid 13¢ / ask 23¢
Above 14.6 million sq km	bid 41¢ / ask 51¢
Above 14.4 million sq km	bid 70¢ / ask 80¢
Above 14.3 million sq km	bid 80¢ / ask 86¢
Above 14.2 million sq km	bid 86¢ / ask 89¢
Above 14.1 million sq km	bid 90¢ / ask 92¢
Above 14.0 million sq km	bid 93¢ / ask 95¢
Above 13.9 million sq km	bid 94¢ / ask 97¢
Above 13.8 million sq km	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢

Bracket	Price
Above 6.3%	bid 13¢ / ask 17¢
Above 6.0%	bid 26¢ / ask 30¢
Above 5.8%	bid 46¢ / ask 50¢
Above 5.7%	bid 50¢ / ask 54¢
Above 5.6%	bid 60¢ / ask 64¢
Above 5.4%	bid 77¢ / ask 81¢
Above 5.3%	bid 83¢ / ask 87¢
Above 5.1%	bid 90¢ / ask 92¢
Above 4.8%	bid 95¢ / ask 97¢

Bracket	Price
Above 18.1%	—
Above 16.3%	bid 4¢ / ask 6¢
Above 15.5%	bid 12¢ / ask 15¢
Above 14.9%	bid 25¢ / ask 29¢
Above 14.3%	bid 46¢ / ask 50¢
Above 13.8%	bid 64¢ / ask 68¢
Above 13.2%	bid 80¢ / ask 84¢
Above 12.3%	bid 91¢ / ask 93¢
Above 10.5%	bid 99¢ (no asks)

Bracket	Price
Above 33.8%	bid 5¢ / ask 7¢
Above 32.4%	bid 16¢ / ask 30¢
Above 31.7%	bid 31¢ / ask 35¢
Above 31.2%	bid 46¢ / ask 50¢
Above 30.8%	bid 60¢ / ask 64¢
Above 30.3%	bid 71¢ / ask 75¢
Above 29.9%	bid 81¢ / ask 85¢
Above 29.2%	bid 91¢ / ask 93¢
Above 27.8%	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢

Bracket	Price
Above 20.8%	bid 5¢ / ask 7¢
Above 20.0%	bid 15¢ / ask 19¢
Above 19.6%	bid 25¢ / ask 29¢
Above 19.4%	bid 32¢ / ask 35¢
Above 19.1%	bid 46¢ / ask 49¢
Above 18.9%	bid 55¢ / ask 59¢
Above 18.6%	bid 68¢ / ask 72¢
Above 18.2%	bid 75¢ / ask 79¢
Above 17.4%	bid 87¢ / ask 90¢

Outcome	Price
Wisconsin	bid 70¢ / ask 80¢
Washington	bid 24¢ / ask 34¢
Virginia	bid 15¢ / ask 25¢
South Carolina	bid 30¢ / ask 40¢
Pennsylvania	bid 51¢ / ask 61¢
Oregon	bid 22¢ / ask 32¢
New York	bid 77¢ / ask 87¢
New Jersey	bid 21¢ / ask 31¢
Mississippi	bid 46¢ / ask 56¢
Missouri	bid 1¢ / ask 10¢
Minnesota	bid 39¢ / ask 49¢
Maryland	bid 65¢ / ask 75¢
Kansas	bid 28¢ / ask 38¢
Indiana	bid 66¢ / ask 76¢
Illinois	bid 77¢ / ask 87¢
Colorado	bid 34¢ / ask 44¢
Arizona	bid 17¢ / ask 27¢

Bracket	Price
At least 8	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
At least 7	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
At least 6	bid 2¢ / ask 12¢
At least 5	bid 8¢ / ask 18¢
At least 4	bid 19¢ / ask 29¢
At least 3	bid 38¢ / ask 47¢
At least 2	bid 60¢ / ask 70¢
At least 1	bid 88¢ / ask 98¢

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 77¢ / ask 87¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 85¢ / ask 95¢
Before Feb 1, 2027	bid 40¢ / ask 50¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 20¢ / ask 30¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 63¢ / ask 73¢

Outcome	Price
Speedmatrix	bid 6¢ / ask 16¢
Megaspeed	bid 11¢ / ask 21¢
DeepSeek	bid 3¢ / ask 13¢
CXMT	bid 8¢ / ask 18¢

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 53¢ / ask 63¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 29¢ / ask 39¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 15¢ / ask 25¢

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
💹 Financials	4,764	27	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, US 30Y Treasury yield hourly, +24 more
📊 Economics	1,071	62	Michigan gas price, Nevada gas price, Ohio gas price, +59 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	407	55	Where will it rain this weekend?, Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, +52 more
🎬 Entertainment	49	6	DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Will Album be runner up this week?, Billboard Top 200 #1, +3 more
🏛️ Politics	26	5	Trump approval rating, Number of Trump Truth Social posts today?, Trump photos, +2 more
🔬 Science and Technology	9	1	Open-weight AI market share (OpenRouter)

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 23¢ / ask 43¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 14¢ / ask 34¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 2¢ / ask 19¢

Outcome	Price
Pete Hegseth	bid 79¢ / ask 89¢
None	bid 2¢ / ask 12¢
Marco Rubio	bid 4¢ / ask 14¢

Outcome	Price
Vojislav Šešelj	ask 10¢ (no bids)
Vladan Petrov	bid 1¢ / ask 11¢
Vladan Đokić	bid 4¢ / ask 24¢
Radomir Saičić	bid 5¢ / ask 25¢
Miloš Vučević	ask 11¢ (no bids)
Miloš Jovanović	ask 10¢ (no bids)
Ilija Srdanović	bid 1¢ / ask 12¢
Ivica Dačić	bid 1¢ / ask 12¢
Dejan Šoškić	bid 1¢ / ask 13¢
Đuro Macut	ask 10¢ (no bids)
Dejan Bodiroga	bid 15¢ / ask 35¢
Branimir Nestorović	ask 10¢ (no bids)
Bogoljub Karić	ask 10¢ (no bids)
Aleksandar Čupić	bid 1¢ / ask 18¢
Ana Brnabić	bid 1¢ / ask 11¢

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 91¢ / ask 99¢
Before Apr 1, 2028	bid 93¢ / ask 99¢
Before Sep 1, 2027	bid 88¢ / ask 98¢
Before May 1, 2027	bid 72¢ / ask 82¢
Before Mar 1, 2027	bid 53¢ / ask 63¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 83¢ / ask 93¢
Before Feb 1, 2027	bid 33¢ / ask 43¢
Before Dec 1, 2027	bid 91¢ / ask 99¢

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢
Before Sep 1, 2027	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢
Before Mar 1, 2027	bid 83¢ / ask 93¢
Before Jun 1, 2027	bid 91¢ / ask 99¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 23¢ / ask 33¢
Before Feb 1, 2027	bid 72¢ / ask 82¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 86¢ / ask 96¢

Outcome	Price
Sóstenes Cavalcante	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Luiz Philippe de Orleans e Bragança	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Hugo Motta	bid 83¢ / ask 90¢
Altineu Côrtes	bid 2¢ / ask 9¢

Bracket	Price
At least 16	bid 5¢ / ask 15¢
At least 14	bid 25¢ / ask 35¢
At least 12	bid 57¢ / ask 67¢
At least 10	bid 83¢ / ask 93¢

Outcome	Price
Tereza Cristina	bid 9¢ / ask 19¢
Rogério Marinho	bid 15¢ / ask 25¢
Davi Alcolumbre	bid 58¢ / ask 68¢

Bracket	Price
Above 4.88%	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 4.87%	—
Above 4.86%	—
Above 4.85%	—
Above 4.84%	—
Above 4.83%	—
Above 4.82%	—
Above 4.81%	—
Above 4.80%	—
Above 4.79%	—
Above 4.78%	—
Above 4.77%	—
Above 4.76%	—
Above 4.75%	—
Above 4.74%	—
Above 4.73%	—
Above 4.72%	—
Above 4.71%	—
Above 4.70%	—
Above 4.69%	—
Above 4.68%	—
Above 4.67%	—
Above 4.66%	—
Above 4.65%	—
Above 4.64%	—

Bracket	Price
4.99% or above	ask 21¢ (no bids)
4.97% or above	bid 2¢ / ask 27¢
4.95% or above	bid 7¢ / ask 35¢
4.93% or above	bid 13¢ / ask 44¢
4.91% or above	bid 20¢ / ask 54¢
4.89% or above	bid 31¢ / ask 68¢
4.87% or above	bid 43¢ / ask 79¢
4.85% or above	bid 56¢ / ask 88¢
4.83% or above	bid 64¢ / ask 95¢
4.81% or above	bid 70¢ / ask 98¢
4.79% or above	bid 77¢ / ask 99¢
4.77% or above	bid 83¢ (no asks)
4.75% or above	bid 87¢ (no asks)
4.73% or above	bid 91¢ (no asks)
4.71% or above	bid 93¢ (no asks)
5.01% or above	—
5.03% or above	—
5.05% or above	—
5.07% or above	—
5.09% or above	—
5.11% or above	—
5.13% or above	—
5.15% or above	—
5.17% or above	—
5.19% or above	—

New Kalshi Markets: Senate Minority Leader, French Election, USD/CAD — Past 24 Hours (as of 6:30:23 PM ET, Nov 09)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

📊 Economics — 1 event, 3 markets

🏢 Companies — 1 event, 3 markets

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 1 event, 11 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 45 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 10 events, 89 markets

🏛️ Politics — 15 events, 51 markets

🗳️ Elections — 25 events, 119 markets

💹 Financials — 247 events, 3,269 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

Prediction News Network

Bracket	Price
5.39% or above	ask 11¢ (no bids)
5.37% or above	ask 15¢ (no bids)
5.35% or above	bid 3¢ / ask 21¢
5.33% or above	bid 6¢ / ask 31¢
5.31% or above	bid 14¢ / ask 42¢
5.29% or above	bid 31¢ / ask 54¢
5.27% or above	bid 48¢ / ask 72¢
5.25% or above	bid 57¢ / ask 86¢
5.23% or above	bid 69¢ / ask 94¢
5.21% or above	bid 77¢ / ask 98¢
5.19% or above	bid 85¢ (no asks)
5.17% or above	bid 90¢ (no asks)
5.15% or above	bid 93¢ (no asks)
5.13% or above	bid 96¢ (no asks)
5.11% or above	bid 98¢ (no asks)

Bracket	Price
4.79% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 16¢
4.77% or above	bid 5¢ / ask 25¢
4.75% or above	bid 9¢ / ask 31¢
4.73% or above	bid 16¢ / ask 39¢
4.71% or above	bid 25¢ / ask 46¢
4.69% or above	bid 38¢ / ask 55¢
4.67% or above	bid 49¢ / ask 67¢
4.65% or above	bid 57¢ / ask 77¢
4.63% or above	bid 63¢ / ask 86¢
4.61% or above	bid 70¢ / ask 92¢
4.59% or above	bid 77¢ / ask 95¢
4.57% or above	bid 80¢ (no asks)
4.55% or above	bid 85¢ (no asks)
4.53% or above	bid 89¢ (no asks)
4.51% or above	bid 91¢ (no asks)

Bracket	Price
4.64% or above	bid 9¢ / ask 27¢
4.62% or above	bid 14¢ / ask 36¢
4.6% or above	bid 21¢ / ask 44¢
4.58% or above	bid 34¢ / ask 52¢
4.56% or above	bid 46¢ / ask 64¢
4.54% or above	bid 55¢ / ask 75¢
4.52% or above	bid 63¢ / ask 84¢
4.5% or above	bid 69¢ / ask 91¢
4.48% or above	bid 75¢ / ask 95¢
4.46% or above	bid 80¢ / ask 97¢
4.44% or above	bid 85¢ (no asks)
4.42% or above	bid 88¢ (no asks)
4.4% or above	bid 91¢ (no asks)
4.38% or above	bid 93¢ (no asks)
4.36% or above	bid 94¢ (no asks)

Outcome	Price
Extreme Greed	bid 1¢ / ask 8¢
Extreme Fear	bid 19¢ / ask 29¢
Neutral	bid 12¢ / ask 22¢
Greed	bid 12¢ / ask 22¢
Fear	bid 34¢ / ask 44¢

Bracket	Price
Above 91	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 89	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above 87	bid 6¢ (no asks)