📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 05 at 6:30 PM ET through Aug 06 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 836 unique markets across 51 new events, plus 3,719 recurring bracket markets.

🏛️ Politics
2 events
5 markets
🌤️ Climate and Weather
2 events
12 markets
🗳️ Elections
5 events
13 markets
🔬 Science and Technology
8 events
89 markets
🎬 Entertainment
10 events
94 markets
💹 Financials
11 events
444 markets
📊 Economics
13 events
179 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Closest Senate race in 2026?: Idaho, South Dakota all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Alaska Senate: who will advance?: Earl Southworth, Shirley Saucerman, Reece Roberts all at bid 1¢ / ask 4¢

When will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act?: Before Oct 1, 2026 bid 42¢ / ask 47¢, Before Aug 11, 2026 bid 10¢ / ask 16¢, Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 49¢ / ask 57¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🌤️ Climate and Weather
🏛️ Politics
🗳️ Elections
🔬 Science and Technology
🎬 Entertainment
💹 Financials
📊 Economics

All New Events

🏛️ Politics — 2 events, 5 markets

View market options (3 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Aug 11, 2026bid 10¢ / ask 16¢
Before Oct 1, 2026bid 42¢ / ask 47¢
Before Jan 1, 2027bid 49¢ / ask 57¢
View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Aug 9, 2026bid 72¢ / ask 79¢
Before Aug 10, 2026bid 76¢ / ask 84¢

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 2 events, 12 markets

When will the next hurricane form? — 8 outcomes — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 9:19 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Sep 15, 2026bid 7¢ / ask 57¢
Before Sep 1, 2026bid 3¢ / ask 29¢
Before Oct 15, 2026bid 2¢ / ask 74¢
Before Oct 1, 2026bid 68¢ / ask 74¢
Before Nov 15, 2026ask 94¢ (no bids)
Before Nov 1, 2026ask 85¢ (no bids)
Before Dec 1, 2026last 95¢ (book empty)
Before Aug 15, 2026ask 5¢ (no bids)

When will the next Category 5 hurricane form? — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 9:20 PM ET

Tracking: Before Sep 1, 2026, Before Oct 1, 2026, Before Nov 1, 2026, Before Dec 1, 2026

🗳️ Elections — 5 events, 13 markets

Alaska Senate: who will advance? — 8 outcomes — listed Aug 06, 2026 at 12:50 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Gerald Heikesbid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Scott Kohlhaasbid 1¢ / ask 4¢
David Lesliebid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Richard Mayersbid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Heather McElwainbid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Reece Robertsbid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Shirley Saucermanbid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Earl Southworthbid 1¢ / ask 4¢

Closest Senate race in 2026? — 2 outcomes — listed Aug 06, 2026 at 12:46 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
South Dakotabid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Idahobid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Who will drop out of their election?: Alani Bankhead (bid 8¢ / ask 12¢) — listed Aug 06, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET

Chicago Mayor winner?: Willie Wilson (bid 1¢ / ask 3¢) — listed Aug 06, 2026 at 12:48 PM ET

TN-09 Democratic nominee?: London Lamar (bid 1¢ / ask 3¢) — listed Aug 06, 2026 at 12:21 AM ET

🔬 Science and Technology — 8 events, 89 markets

Google average token price on Aug 14, 2026 — 16 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 06, 2026 at 4:27 PM ET

Top Open Source AI this week — 13 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 7:01 PM ET

Tracking: Xiaomi, Thinking Machines, OpenAI, Nvidia, Mistral, MiniMax, Meta, Kimi, Google, GLM, DeepSeek, Cohere, Alibaba

OpenAI average token price on Aug 14, 2026 — 11 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 06, 2026 at 4:32 PM ET

DeepSeek average token price on Aug 14, 2026 — 11 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 06, 2026 at 4:24 PM ET

Top Text to Image AI this week — 11 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 7:01 PM ET

Tracking: SpaceXAI, Reve, Recraft, OpenAI, Nvidia, Microsoft, Krea, HiDream, Google, Bytedance, Black Forest Labs

Google average token price on Aug 31, 2026 — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 06, 2026 at 4:27 PM ET

OpenAI average token price on Aug 31, 2026 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 06, 2026 at 4:32 PM ET

DeepSeek average token price on Aug 31, 2026 — 8 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 06, 2026 at 4:24 PM ET

🎬 Entertainment — 10 events, 94 markets

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least 90 minutesbid 3¢ / ask 13¢
At least 75 minutesbid 10¢ / ask 20¢
At least 60 minutesbid 17¢ / ask 26¢
At least 45 minutesbid 23¢ / ask 33¢
At least 360 minutesask 5¢ (no bids)
At least 345 minutesask 6¢ (no bids)
At least 330 minutesask 6¢ (no bids)
At least 315 minutesask 7¢ (no bids)
At least 300 minutesask 7¢ (no bids)
At least 30 minutesbid 31¢ / ask 40¢
At least 285 minutesask 8¢ (no bids)
At least 270 minutesask 8¢ (no bids)
At least 255 minutesask 8¢ (no bids)
At least 240 minutesask 9¢ (no bids)
At least 225 minutesask 9¢ (no bids)
At least 210 minutesask 10¢ (no bids)
At least 20 minutesbid 83¢ / ask 93¢
At least 195 minutesask 10¢ (no bids)
At least 180 minutesbid 1¢ / ask 11¢
At least 165 minutesbid 1¢ / ask 11¢
At least 150 minutesbid 1¢ / ask 11¢
At least 15 minutesbid 87¢ / ask 97¢
At least 135 minutesbid 2¢ / ask 12¢
At least 120 minutesbid 2¢ / ask 12¢
At least 105 minutesbid 3¢ / ask 13¢

+ 1 more

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 7, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 06, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: เพราะพี่รักจริง, Waka Waka, Todo Lo Fue, Sunflower, Shararat, Sebebi Yar, petal, Nano, MOON, Life Goes On, Jaiye Sajana, Golden, Dai Dai, Basinga Balaalu, Barbaadi

View market options (15 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
เพราะพี่รักจริง
Waka Waka
Todo Lo Fue
Sunflower
Shararat
Sebebi Yar
petal
Nano
MOON
Life Goes On
Jaiye Sajana
Golden
Dai Daibid 60¢ / ask 99¢
Basinga Balaalu
Barbaadi

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 7, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 06, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: Todo Lo Fue, Sunflower, Rod Wave - Hustle (Official Music Video), petal, Meek Mill - Nightmares To Dreams (Official Video), Life Goes On, Janice STFU, It Doesn't Matter, I See Why, ICONIC BY MISTAKE, Golden, FDO, Dead Fresh, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas

View market options (10 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Shawn Ryan Show
Rotten Mangobid 60¢ / ask 96¢
The MeidasTouch Podcast
KILL TONYask 14¢ (no bids)
The Joe Rogan Experience
Financial Audit
Dr. Insanity Podcasts
The Diary Of A CEO
Candace Owens
48 Hours
View market options (8 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Stray Kids
Oliver Tree
Moneybagg Yolast 1¢ (book empty)
Lil Babybid 1¢ / ask 39¢
KATSEYE
Ice Spice
Ella Langleyask 75¢ (no bids)
Ariana Grande
View market strikes (2 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least 550,000ask 92¢ (no bids)
At least 600,000ask 94¢ (no bids)

Oscar nominees: Best Picture: Primetime (bid 31¢ / ask 39¢) — listed Aug 06, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET

Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor: John Leguizamo (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢) — listed Aug 06, 2026 at 1:59 PM ET

💹 Financials — 11 events, 444 markets

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $54,020bid 30¢ / ask 38¢
At least $54,015bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
At least $54,010bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
At least $54,005bid 32¢ / ask 40¢
At least $54,000bid 33¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,995bid 33¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,990bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,985bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,980bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,975bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,970bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,965bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,960bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,955bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,950bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,945bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,940bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,935bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,930bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,925bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,920bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,915bid 44¢ / ask 52¢
At least $53,910bid 44¢ / ask 52¢
At least $53,905bid 45¢ / ask 53¢
At least $53,900bid 46¢ / ask 54¢

+ 35 more

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $54,020bid 30¢ / ask 38¢
At least $54,015bid 30¢ / ask 38¢
At least $54,010bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
At least $54,005bid 32¢ / ask 40¢
At least $54,000bid 32¢ / ask 40¢
At least $53,995bid 33¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,990bid 33¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,985bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,980bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,975bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,970bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,965bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,960bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,955bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,950bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,945bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,940bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,935bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,930bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,925bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,920bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,915bid 44¢ / ask 52¢
At least $53,910bid 44¢ / ask 52¢
At least $53,905bid 45¢ / ask 53¢
At least $53,900bid 46¢ / ask 54¢

+ 35 more

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $54,020bid 29¢ / ask 37¢
At least $54,015bid 30¢ / ask 38¢
At least $54,010bid 30¢ / ask 38¢
At least $54,005bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
At least $54,000bid 32¢ / ask 40¢
At least $53,995bid 32¢ / ask 40¢
At least $53,990bid 33¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,985bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,980bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,975bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,970bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,965bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,960bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,955bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,950bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,945bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,940bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,935bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,930bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,925bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,920bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,915bid 44¢ / ask 52¢
At least $53,910bid 44¢ / ask 52¢
At least $53,905bid 45¢ / ask 53¢
At least $53,900bid 46¢ / ask 54¢

+ 35 more

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $54,020bid 28¢ / ask 36¢
At least $54,015bid 29¢ / ask 37¢
At least $54,010bid 29¢ / ask 37¢
At least $54,005bid 30¢ / ask 38¢
At least $54,000bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
At least $53,995bid 32¢ / ask 40¢
At least $53,990bid 32¢ / ask 40¢
At least $53,985bid 33¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,980bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,975bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,970bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,965bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,960bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,955bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,950bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,945bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,940bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,935bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,930bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,925bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,920bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,915bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,910bid 44¢ / ask 52¢
At least $53,905bid 45¢ / ask 53¢
At least $53,900bid 46¢ / ask 54¢

+ 35 more

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $54,020bid 28¢ / ask 36¢
At least $54,015bid 28¢ / ask 36¢
At least $54,010bid 29¢ / ask 37¢
At least $54,005bid 30¢ / ask 38¢
At least $54,000bid 30¢ / ask 38¢
At least $53,995bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
At least $53,990bid 32¢ / ask 40¢
At least $53,985bid 33¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,980bid 33¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,975bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,970bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,965bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,960bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,955bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,950bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,945bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,940bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,935bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,930bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,925bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,920bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,915bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,910bid 44¢ / ask 52¢
At least $53,905bid 45¢ / ask 53¢
At least $53,900bid 46¢ / ask 54¢

+ 35 more

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $54,020bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
At least $54,015bid 27¢ / ask 35¢
At least $54,010bid 27¢ / ask 35¢
At least $54,005bid 28¢ / ask 36¢
At least $54,000bid 29¢ / ask 37¢
At least $53,995bid 30¢ / ask 38¢
At least $53,990bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
At least $53,985bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
At least $53,980bid 32¢ / ask 40¢
At least $53,975bid 33¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,970bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,965bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,960bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,955bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,950bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,945bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,940bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,935bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,930bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,925bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,920bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,915bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,910bid 44¢ / ask 52¢
At least $53,905bid 45¢ / ask 53¢
At least $53,900bid 46¢ / ask 54¢

+ 35 more

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $54,020bid 23¢ / ask 31¢
At least $54,015bid 23¢ / ask 31¢
At least $54,010bid 24¢ / ask 32¢
At least $54,005bid 25¢ / ask 33¢
At least $54,000bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
At least $53,995bid 27¢ / ask 35¢
At least $53,990bid 28¢ / ask 36¢
At least $53,985bid 29¢ / ask 37¢
At least $53,980bid 30¢ / ask 38¢
At least $53,975bid 30¢ / ask 38¢
At least $53,970bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
At least $53,965bid 32¢ / ask 40¢
At least $53,960bid 33¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,955bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,950bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,945bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,940bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,935bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,930bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,925bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,920bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,915bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,910bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,905bid 45¢ / ask 53¢
At least $53,900bid 46¢ / ask 54¢

+ 35 more

Anthropic average token price on Aug 31, 2026 — 11 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 06, 2026 at 4:20 PM ET

Anthropic average token price on Aug 14, 2026 — 11 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 06, 2026 at 4:16 PM ET

Will GTA VI preorders be reported: Yes (bid 20¢ / ask 28¢) — listed Aug 06, 2026 at 1:56 PM ET

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 99.7351 — listed Aug 06, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

📊 Economics — 13 events, 179 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Aug 06, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $5.395bid 1¢ / ask 14¢
Above $5.390bid 1¢ / ask 14¢
Above $5.385bid 1¢ / ask 29¢
Above $5.380bid 1¢ / ask 34¢
Above $5.375bid 1¢ / ask 35¢
Above $5.370bid 1¢ / ask 34¢
Above $5.365bid 1¢ / ask 37¢
Above $5.360bid 1¢ / ask 44¢
Above $5.355bid 1¢ / ask 51¢
Above $5.350bid 1¢ / ask 54¢
Above $5.345bid 1¢ / ask 59¢
Above $5.340
Above $5.335
Above $5.330bid 51¢ / ask 98¢
Above $5.325bid 51¢ / ask 98¢
Above $5.320bid 56¢ / ask 98¢
Above $5.315last 98¢ (book empty)
Above $5.310bid 31¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.305bid 68¢ / ask 98¢
Above $5.300bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above $5.295bid 99¢ (no asks)

EV commodity prices on Aug 6, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 1313.72ask 25¢ (no bids)
Above 1303.72ask 35¢ (no bids)
Above 1293.72ask 30¢ (no bids)
Above 1283.72ask 68¢ (no bids)
Above 1273.72ask 20¢ (no bids)
Above 1263.72ask 40¢ (no bids)
Above 1253.72ask 95¢ (no bids)
Above 1243.72bid 40¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1233.72bid 75¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1223.72bid 80¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1213.72bid 76¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1203.72bid 81¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1193.72bid 83¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1183.72bid 90¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1173.72bid 91¢ / ask 99¢

US nominal GDP growth in 2036 — 13 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 06, 2026 at 4:16 PM ET

US nominal GDP growth in 2035 — 13 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 06, 2026 at 4:11 PM ET

US nominal GDP growth in 2034 — 13 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 06, 2026 at 4:07 PM ET

US nominal GDP growth in 2033 — 13 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 06, 2026 at 4:02 PM ET

US nominal GDP growth in 2032 — 13 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 06, 2026 at 3:56 PM ET

US nominal GDP growth in 2031 — 13 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 06, 2026 at 3:51 PM ET

US nominal GDP growth in 2030 — 13 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 06, 2026 at 3:44 PM ET

US nominal GDP growth in 2029 — 13 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 06, 2026 at 3:33 PM ET

US nominal GDP growth in 2028 — 13 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 06, 2026 at 3:25 PM ET

US nominal GDP growth in 2027 — 13 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 06, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET

US nominal GDP growth in 2026 — 13 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 06, 2026 at 2:57 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

3,719 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

CategoryMarketsSeriesTop Series
💹 Financials3,2605Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, USD/JPY daily range, +2 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather37847Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, Hourly Directional Austin Temperature, +44 more
📊 Economics609US gas price up, Weekly initial jobless claims, US Challenger job cuts, +6 more
🎬 Entertainment215DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Netflix TV ranking, RUNNER UP NETFLIX SHOW, +2 more

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.