📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jun 20 at 6:30 PM ET through Jun 21 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 87 unique markets across 7 new events, plus 378 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?: At least 3.00% bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, At least 2.75% bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, At least 2.00% bid 49¢ / ask 51¢
US Dollar Index move on July FOMC day?: At least 2.00% bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, At least 1.80% bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, At least 0.20% bid 91¢ / ask 92¢
Love Island USA Week 4: Elimination: Zach bid 11¢ / ask 12¢, Trinity bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, KC bid 10¢ / ask 11¢
Love Island USA S8: Sunday elimination: NONE bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Zach last 1¢ (book empty), Trinity last 1¢ (book empty)
Keir Starmer departure announced?: Before Jun 23, 2026 bid 81¢ / ask 82¢, Before Jul 23, 2026 bid 92¢ / ask 96¢, Before Jul 24, 2026 bid 87¢ / ask 98¢
Love Island UK: Sunday Elimination: Yasmine, Tommy, Tina all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Love Island UK Week 4: Elimination: Tommy bid 41¢ / ask 42¢, Simba bid 52¢ / ask 53¢, Samraj bid 52¢ / ask 53¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
All New Events
🏛️ Politics — 1 event, 3 markets
Keir Starmer departure announced? — 3 outcomes — listed Jun 20, 2026 at 7:22 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jul 23, 2026 | bid 92¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Before Jul 24, 2026 | bid 87¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Before Jun 23, 2026 | bid 81¢ / ask 82¢ |
📊 Economics — 2 events, 22 markets
S&P 500 move on July FOMC day? — 12 brackets — listed Jun 21, 2026 at 4:53 PM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 3.00% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| At least 2.75% | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| At least 2.50% | bid 6¢ / ask 12¢ |
| At least 2.25% | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
| At least 2.00% | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least 1.75% | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least 1.50% | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least 1.25% | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least 1.00% | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least 0.75% | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least 0.50% | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least 0.25% | bid 20¢ / ask 88¢ |
US Dollar Index move on July FOMC day? — 10 brackets — listed Jun 21, 2026 at 4:53 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 2.00% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| At least 1.80% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| At least 1.60% | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| At least 1.40% | bid 1¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least 1.20% | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least 1.00% | bid 66¢ / ask 68¢ |
| At least 0.80% | bid 70¢ / ask 72¢ |
| At least 0.60% | bid 70¢ / ask 72¢ |
| At least 0.40% | bid 81¢ / ask 86¢ |
| At least 0.20% | bid 91¢ / ask 92¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 4 events, 62 markets
Love Island UK: Sunday Elimination — 19 outcomes — listed Jun 21, 2026 at 11:20 AM ET
View market options (19 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yasmine | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Tommy | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Tina | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Simba | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Sean | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Samraj | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Priya | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| NONE | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Mica | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Lorenzo | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Lola | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kavan | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Jasmine | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Halle | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Finley | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Ellie | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Chidi | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Angelista | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Aidan | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
Love Island UK Week 4: Elimination — 18 outcomes — listed Jun 21, 2026 at 11:09 AM ET
View market options (18 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yasmine | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Tommy | bid 41¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Tina | bid 44¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Simba | bid 52¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Sean | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Samraj | bid 52¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Priya | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Mica | bid 47¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Lorenzo | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Lola | bid 51¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Kavan | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Jasmine | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Halle | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Finley | bid 52¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Ellie | bid 52¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Chidi | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Angelista | bid 44¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Aidan | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
Love Island USA S8: Sunday elimination — 13 outcomes — listed Jun 21, 2026 at 11:42 AM ET
View market options (13 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zach | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Trinity | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sincere | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| NONE | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Melanie | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kenzie | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KC | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kayda | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jen | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Corbin | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Caleb | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Bryce | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Aniya | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Love Island USA Week 4: Elimination — 12 outcomes — listed Jun 21, 2026 at 11:57 AM ET
View market options (12 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zach | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Trinity | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Sincere | bid 7¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Melanie | bid 7¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Kenzie | bid 19¢ / ask 22¢ |
| KC | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Kayda | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Jen | bid 21¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Corbin | bid 16¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Caleb | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Bryce | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Aniya | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
🔄 Recurring Markets
378 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 292 | 43 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +40 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 73 | 9 | Daily US Spotify artist chart, Daily Global Spotify songs, Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, +6 more |
| 📊 Economics | 13 | 1 | US gas price up |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.