📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jun 21 at 8:30 AM ET through Jun 22 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 52 unique markets across 4 new events, plus 5,396 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?: At least 3.00%, At least 2.75%, At least 2.50% all at bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
US Dollar Index move on July FOMC day?: At least 2.00% bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, At least 1.80% bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, At least 1.60% bid 11¢ / ask 12¢
Love Island USA Week 4: Elimination: Trinity bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Sincere bid 13¢ / ask 14¢, Melanie bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Love Island UK Week 4: Elimination: Yasmine bid 23¢ / ask 24¢, Tommy bid 25¢ / ask 26¢, Tina bid 19¢ / ask 20¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
All New Events
📊 Economics — 2 events, 22 markets
S&P 500 move on July FOMC day? — 12 brackets — listed Jun 21, 2026 at 4:53 PM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 3.00% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| At least 2.75% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| At least 2.50% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| At least 2.25% | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| At least 2.00% | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| At least 1.75% | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| At least 1.50% | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| At least 1.25% | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
| At least 1.00% | bid 22¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least 0.75% | bid 34¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least 0.50% | bid 44¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least 0.25% | bid 79¢ / ask 80¢ |
US Dollar Index move on July FOMC day? — 10 brackets — listed Jun 21, 2026 at 4:53 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 2.00% | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| At least 1.80% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| At least 1.60% | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| At least 1.40% | bid 17¢ / ask 18¢ |
| At least 1.20% | bid 28¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least 1.00% | bid 40¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least 0.80% | bid 45¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least 0.60% | bid 61¢ / ask 62¢ |
| At least 0.40% | bid 76¢ / ask 77¢ |
| At least 0.20% | bid 91¢ / ask 92¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 2 events, 30 markets
Love Island UK Week 4: Elimination — 18 outcomes — listed Jun 21, 2026 at 11:09 AM ET
View market options (18 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yasmine | bid 23¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Tommy | bid 25¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Tina | bid 19¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Simba | bid 28¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Sean | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Samraj | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Priya | bid 26¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Mica | bid 24¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Lorenzo | bid 21¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Lola | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Kavan | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Jasmine | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Halle | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Finley | bid 41¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Ellie | bid 12¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Chidi | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Angelista | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Aidan | bid 31¢ / ask 32¢ |
Love Island USA Week 4: Elimination — 12 outcomes — listed Jun 21, 2026 at 11:57 AM ET
View market options (12 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zach | bid 10¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Trinity | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Sincere | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Melanie | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Kenzie | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
| KC | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Kayda | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Jen | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Corbin | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Caleb | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Bryce | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Aniya | bid 22¢ / ask 23¢ |
🔄 Recurring Markets
5,396 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 5,010 | 6 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 range, +3 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 292 | 43 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +40 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 73 | 9 | Daily US Spotify artist chart, Daily Global Spotify songs, Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, +6 more |
| 📊 Economics | 21 | 1 | TSA check-ins this week |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.