📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 31 at 8:30 AM ET through Nov 01 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 242 unique markets across 26 new events, plus 1,454 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Will Haley Stevens rescind her endorsement of El-Sayed?: Before Nov 4, 2026 — bid 10¢ / ask 12¢
KPOW Midterms on Nov 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?: D+16 or redder bid 2¢ / ask 8¢, D+24 or redder bid 82¢ / ask 89¢, D+26 or redder bid 89¢ / ask 98¢
KPOW Midterms on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM EST?: D+30 or redder bid 33¢ / ask 40¢, Even or redder bid 10¢ / ask 18¢, R+5 or redder bid 6¢ / ask 15¢
KPOW Midterms on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?: D+30 or redder bid 33¢ / ask 41¢, Even or redder bid 10¢ / ask 18¢, R+5 or redder bid 6¢ / ask 15¢
Chipotle comparable restaurant sales in Q1 2027: Above -1.5% bid 26¢ (no asks), Above -1% bid 26¢ (no asks), Above -0.5% bid 21¢ (no asks)
Best AI this month: Claude bid 6¢ (no asks), Gemini ask 94¢ (no bids), Grok ask 94¢ (no bids)
Top Chinese AI company this month: Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot all at ask 94¢ (no bids)
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- KPOW Midterms on Nov 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?
- KPOW Midterms on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?
- KPOW Midterms on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM EST?
- Will Haley Stevens rescind her endorsement of El-Sayed?
- Broadway total attendance · week ending Nov 8, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Nov 2, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Nov 2, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Nov 2, 2026
- Anthropic share of requests on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel)
- Anthropic share of spend on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel)
- Best AI this month
- DeepSeek share of requests on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel)
- Google share of requests on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel)
- Google share of spend on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel)
- Moonshot AI share of spend on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel)
- Open source share of spend on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel)
- Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 4, 2026
- OpenAI share of requests on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel)
- OpenAI share of spend on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel)
- Top Chinese AI company this month
- Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
- Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
- Z.AI share of requests on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel)
- Z.AI share of spend on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel)
All New Events
🏛️ Politics — 1 event, 1 market
Laurent Nuñez announces departure as Interior Minister of France?: Before Dec 1, 2026 — listed Oct 31, 2026 at 5:14 PM ET
💹 Financials — 1 event, 6 markets
Chipotle comparable restaurant sales in Q1 2027 — 6 brackets — listed Oct 31, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 4.5% | ask 88¢ (no bids) |
| Above 5% | bid 11¢ (no asks) |
| Above 5.5% | — |
| Above -0.5% | bid 21¢ (no asks) |
| Above -1% | bid 26¢ (no asks) |
| Above -1.5% | bid 26¢ (no asks) |
🗳️ Elections — 4 events, 34 markets
KPOW Midterms on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM EST? — 13 outcomes — listed Oct 31, 2026 at 4:13 PM ET
View market options (13 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| R+5 or redder | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| D+5 or redder | bid 14¢ / ask 23¢ |
| D+45 or redder | bid 91¢ (no asks) |
| D+40 or redder | bid 71¢ / ask 80¢ |
| D+35 or redder | bid 52¢ / ask 61¢ |
| D+30 or redder | bid 33¢ / ask 40¢ |
| D+25 or redder | bid 29¢ / ask 38¢ |
| D+20 or redder | bid 25¢ / ask 34¢ |
| R+15 or redder | ask 9¢ (no bids) |
| D+15 or redder | bid 21¢ / ask 30¢ |
| R+10 or redder | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| D+10 or redder | bid 17¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Even or redder | bid 10¢ / ask 18¢ |
KPOW Midterms on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST? — 13 outcomes — listed Oct 31, 2026 at 4:13 PM ET
View market options (13 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| R+5 or redder | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| D+5 or redder | bid 14¢ / ask 23¢ |
| D+45 or redder | bid 91¢ (no asks) |
| D+40 or redder | bid 71¢ / ask 80¢ |
| D+35 or redder | bid 52¢ / ask 61¢ |
| D+30 or redder | bid 33¢ / ask 41¢ |
| D+25 or redder | bid 29¢ / ask 38¢ |
| D+20 or redder | bid 25¢ / ask 34¢ |
| R+15 or redder | ask 9¢ (no bids) |
| D+15 or redder | bid 21¢ / ask 30¢ |
| R+10 or redder | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| D+10 or redder | bid 17¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Even or redder | bid 10¢ / ask 18¢ |
KPOW Midterms on Nov 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST? — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 31, 2026 at 4:13 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| D+26 or redder | bid 89¢ / ask 98¢ |
| D+24 or redder | bid 82¢ / ask 89¢ |
| D+22 or redder | bid 66¢ / ask 75¢ |
| D+20 or redder | bid 33¢ / ask 42¢ |
| D+18 or redder | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| D+16 or redder | bid 2¢ / ask 8¢ |
| D+14 or redder | ask 9¢ (no bids) |
Will Haley Stevens rescind her endorsement of El-Sayed?: Before Nov 4, 2026 (bid 10¢ / ask 12¢) — listed Oct 31, 2026 at 2:35 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 4 events, 60 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Nov 2, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 01, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
Tracking: Yedhayya Saami, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Shararat, Ramayana: Judi Jodi (Song) | Namit M, Nitesh T | Ranbir K, Sai P | AR Rahman, Shreya G, Kumar V, Pós (Ao Vivo), KALYANI (Remix), Guzarish, GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION], Dame Tu Cosita, Dai Dai, Daddy Yankee and Diljit Dosanjh - POKITO (Official Music Video), Casa Tupka Anthemo, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat, ADDICTED
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Nov 2, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 01, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
Tracking: Yedhayya Saami, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Shararat, Ramayana: Judi Jodi (Song) | Namit M, Nitesh T | Ranbir K, Sai P | AR Rahman, Shreya G, Kumar V, Pós (Ao Vivo), KALYANI (Remix), Guzarish, GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION], Dame Tu Cosita, Dai Dai, Daddy Yankee and Diljit Dosanjh - POKITO (Official Music Video), Casa Tupka Anthemo, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat, ADDICTED
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Nov 2, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 01, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
Tracking: WTF GOIN, Todo Lo Fue, Thriller [YouTube video 5: 4V90AmXnguw], Thriller [YouTube video 3: sOnqjkJTMaA], Prelude to the End (An Animated Short Film), Megan Thee Stallion - Thin Ice - Tina Tuesday Freestyle, Foogiano - Halfway In [Official Music Video], Dai Dai, Daddy Yankee and Diljit Dosanjh - POKITO (Official Music Video), Choosin' Texas, Before AC/DC Were the Headliners, This Is How They Opened the Show | “Live Wire” 1979, BbY WOW, Alma Rota, AH HA, ADDICTED
Broadway total attendance · week ending Nov 8, 2026 — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 01, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
🔬 Science and Technology — 16 events, 141 markets
Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai) — 9 outcomes — listed Oct 31, 2026 at 12:59 PM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Qwen | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| MiniMax | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Kimi | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Grok | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| GLM | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Gemini | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dola | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Claude | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| ChatGPT | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
Top Chinese AI company this month — 9 outcomes — listed Oct 31, 2026 at 12:58 PM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Z.ai | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Xiaomi | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Tencent | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Moonshot | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| MiniMax | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| DeepSeek | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| ByteDance | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Baidu | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Alibaba | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
Open source share of spend on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 31, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 4, 2026 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 31, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
Google share of spend on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 31, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
Z.AI share of spend on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 31, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
Moonshot AI share of spend on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 31, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
OpenAI share of spend on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 31, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
Anthropic share of spend on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 31, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
Z.AI share of requests on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 31, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
Google share of requests on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 31, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
OpenAI share of requests on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 31, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
Anthropic share of requests on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 31, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
DeepSeek share of requests on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 31, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE) — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 31, 2026 at 12:58 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| MiMo | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Kimi | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Grok | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| GLM | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Gemini | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| DeepSeek | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Claude | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| ChatGPT | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
Best AI this month — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 31, 2026 at 12:59 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Grok | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| ChatGPT | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Kimi | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Muse | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Gemini | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Qwen | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Claude | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
🔄 Recurring Markets
1,454 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 📊 Economics | 888 | 52 | Daily Diesel Price, West Virginia gas price, Vermont gas price, +49 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 368 | 54 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 120 | 19 | Trump meet monthly, Judges confirmed, Trump approval rating, +16 more |
| 💹 Financials | 60 | 2 | Monthly DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT, Monthly DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 15 | 1 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO |
| 🔬 Science and Technology | 3 | 1 | Top model |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.