Kalshi Markets: Taylor Swift Dress & ICE Director Confirmati

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jun 28 at 6:30 PM ET through Jun 29 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 286 unique markets across 40 new events, plus 5,473 recurring bracket markets.

📊 Economics

2 events

12 markets

🏛️ Politics

5 events

10 markets

🗳️ Elections

5 events

16 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

6 events

41 markets

🎬 Entertainment

7 events

101 markets

💹 Financials

15 events

106 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Taylor Swift: Wedding Dress: Valentino, Tom Ford, Schiaparelli all at bid 7¢ / ask 8¢

When will Lance Schroyer be confirmed as ICE director?: Before Aug 1, 2026 bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, Before Oct 1, 2026 bid 46¢ / ask 50¢, Before Mar 1, 2027 bid 73¢ / ask 77¢

Fear & Greed Index on Jul 2, 2026?: Extreme Greed bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Extreme Fear bid 30¢ / ask 31¢, Neutral bid 10¢ / ask 11¢

Week 27: Price of NVIDIA's A100 compute at end of week?: Above $2.00 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above $1.75 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above $1.50 bid 5¢ / ask 6¢

Week 32: Price of NVIDIA's H100 compute at end of week?: Above $4.00 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above $3.75 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above $3.50 bid 4¢ / ask 5¢

Week 31: Price of NVIDIA's H100 compute at end of week?: Above $4.00 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above $3.75 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above $3.50 bid 1¢ / ask 4¢

Week 30: Price of NVIDIA's H100 compute at end of week?: Above $3.75 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above $3.50 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above $2.00 bid 87¢ / ask 89¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

📊 Economics

🗳️ Elections

🏛️ Politics

🔬 Science and Technology

🎬 Entertainment

💹 Financials

All New Events

📊 Economics — 2 events, 12 markets

UC tuition for 2027–28 — 6 brackets — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 1:48 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $16,500	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Above $16,400	bid 14¢ / ask 16¢
Above $16,300	bid 28¢ / ask 31¢
Above $16,200	bid 65¢ / ask 68¢
Above $16,100	bid 77¢ / ask 80¢
Above $16,000	bid 90¢ / ask 91¢

US student loan debt at end of 2026 — 6 brackets — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $1.94 trillion	bid 22¢ / ask 24¢
Above $1.92 trillion	bid 32¢ / ask 34¢
Above $1.90 trillion	bid 41¢ / ask 43¢
Above $1.88 trillion	bid 72¢ / ask 74¢
Above $1.86 trillion	bid 90¢ / ask 91¢
Above $1.84 trillion	bid 93¢ / ask 94¢

🏛️ Politics — 5 events, 10 markets

When will Lance Schroyer be confirmed as ICE director? — 4 outcomes — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Oct 1, 2026	bid 46¢ / ask 50¢
Before Mar 1, 2027	bid 73¢ / ask 77¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 63¢ / ask 67¢
Before Aug 1, 2026	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢

Will the House pass additional defense funding? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 29, 2026 at 3:43 PM ET

Tracking: Before Oct 1, 2026, Before Jan 1, 2027

🔗 View on Kalshi →

When will FISA be reauthorized again? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 29, 2026 at 3:40 PM ET

Tracking: Before Jul 15, 2026, Before Oct 1, 2026

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Abelardo de la Espriella (bid 76¢ / ask 84¢) — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 3:31 PM ET

Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?: Abelardo de la Espriella (bid 71¢ / ask 79¢) — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET

🗳️ Elections — 5 events, 16 markets

Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO? — 8 outcomes — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 3:31 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Ursula von der Leyen	bid 10¢ / ask 12¢
Petr Pavel	bid 11¢ / ask 13¢
Mette Frederiksen	bid 10¢ / ask 12¢
Keir Starmer	bid 13¢ / ask 15¢
Kaja Kallas	bid 10¢ / ask 12¢
Klaus Iohannis	bid 12¢ / ask 14¢
Ben Wallace	bid 10¢ / ask 12¢
Alexander Stubb	bid 16¢ / ask 18¢

Will Serbia announce a snap election? — 3 outcomes — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 12:05 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Sep 1, 2026	bid 51¢ / ask 52¢
Before Oct 1, 2026	bid 58¢ / ask 60¢
Before Aug 1, 2026	bid 39¢ / ask 43¢

Will Trump endorse Netanyahu? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 3:33 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Sep 1, 2026	bid 16¢ / ask 18¢
Before Oct 28, 2026	bid 33¢ / ask 37¢

Who will win the next Serbian parliamentary election? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Student list	bid 13¢ / ask 14¢
SNS-led list	bid 81¢ / ask 85¢

Will Mallory McMorrow drop out?: Yes (bid 15¢ / ask 16¢) — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 11:49 AM ET

🔬 Science and Technology — 6 events, 41 markets

How many launches will Rocket Lab have before 2027? — 10 brackets — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 1:39 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 4	bid 89¢ / ask 94¢
Above 3	bid 91¢ / ask 96¢
Above 2	bid 94¢ / ask 97¢
Above 1	bid 95¢ / ask 96¢
Above 5	bid 77¢ / ask 85¢
Above 6	bid 68¢ / ask 76¢
Above 7	bid 56¢ / ask 64¢
Above 8	bid 46¢ / ask 54¢
Above 9	bid 33¢ / ask 41¢
Above 10	bid 21¢ / ask 29¢

Top Coding AI this week — 9 outcomes — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 11:12 AM ET

View market options (9 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Qwen	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
MiniMax	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Kimi	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Grok	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
GLM	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Gemini	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Dola	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Claude	bid 83¢ / ask 88¢
ChatGPT	bid 11¢ / ask 13¢

Top Coding AI this month — 8 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 29, 2026 at 1:08 PM ET

Tracking: MiMo, Kimi, Grok, GLM, Gemini, DeepSeek, Claude, ChatGPT

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Best AI this week — 8 outcomes — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Grok	last 1¢ (book empty)
ChatGPT	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Muse	last 1¢ (book empty)
Gemini	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Dola	last 1¢ (book empty)
Claude	bid 96¢ / ask 97¢
Amazon Nova	last 1¢ (book empty)
Qwen	last 1¢ (book empty)

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — 4 outcomes — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 5:24 PM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before August	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Before October	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Before November	bid 1¢ / ask 11¢
Before December	bid 2¢ / ask 12¢

When will Anthropic restore Fable 5 access for US customers? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 12:29 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 3, 2026	bid 26¢ / ask 27¢
Before Jul 7, 2026	bid 39¢ / ask 40¢

🎬 Entertainment — 7 events, 101 markets

Taylor Swift: Wedding Dress — 30 outcomes — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 4:19 PM ET

View market options (25 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Zuhair Murad	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Vivienne Westwood	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Vera Wang	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Valentino	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Tom Ford	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Schiaparelli	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Reem Acra	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Ralph Lauren	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Pronovias	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Oscar de la Renta	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Naeem Khan	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Monse	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Monique Lhuillier	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Mira Zwillinger	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Louis Vuitton	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Ines Di Santo	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Gucci	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Givenchy	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Georges Hobeika	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Galia Lahav	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Fendi	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Elie Saab	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Dolce & Gabbana	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Dior	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Chanel	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢

+ 5 more outcomes

Love Island UK: Monday Elimination — 26 outcomes — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 2:05 PM ET

View market options (25 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yasmine	last 1¢ (book empty)
Will	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Tommy	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Simba	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Sean	last 1¢ (book empty)
Samraj	last 1¢ (book empty)
Priya	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Olivia	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
NONE	bid 86¢ / ask 87¢
Nevaeh	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Mica	last 1¢ (book empty)
Martha	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Mara	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Lorenzo	last 1¢ (book empty)
Lola	last 1¢ (book empty)
Kavan	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Julia	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Jordon	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Jasmine	last 1¢ (book empty)
Finley	last 1¢ (book empty)
Ellie	last 1¢ (book empty)
Charleen	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Carlos	last 12¢ (book empty)
Angelista	last 2¢ (book empty)
Aidan	last 1¢ (book empty)

+ 1 more outcome

Love Island USA S8: Monday elimination — 20 outcomes — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 11:44 AM ET

View market options (20 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Zach	last 1¢ (book empty)
Trinity	last 1¢ (book empty)
Tierra	last 1¢ (book empty)
Sincere	last 1¢ (book empty)
Parmida	last 1¢ (book empty)
NONE	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Melanie	last 1¢ (book empty)
Kenzie	last 1¢ (book empty)
KC	last 1¢ (book empty)
Kayda	last 1¢ (book empty)
Jen	last 1¢ (book empty)
Jaiden	last 1¢ (book empty)
Gal	last 1¢ (book empty)
Dylan	last 1¢ (book empty)
Corbin	last 1¢ (book empty)
Carl	last 1¢ (book empty)
Caleb	last 1¢ (book empty)
Bryce	last 1¢ (book empty)
Aniya	last 1¢ (book empty)
Amora	last 1¢ (book empty)

Love Island UK S13: Winners — 11 outcomes — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 2:09 PM ET

View market options (11 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Aaron	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Carlos	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Jordon	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Tommy	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Will	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Charleen	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Julia	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Mara	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Martha	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Nevaeh	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Olivia	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢

Love Island UK Week 5: Elimination — 11 outcomes — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET

View market options (11 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Aaron	ask 85¢ (no bids)
Carlos	ask 85¢ (no bids)
Jordon	ask 85¢ (no bids)
Tommy	ask 60¢ (no bids)
Will	ask 85¢ (no bids)
Charleen	ask 60¢ (no bids)
Julia	ask 85¢ (no bids)
Mara	bid 40¢ / ask 85¢
Nevaeh	bid 40¢ / ask 85¢
Martha	ask 85¢ (no bids)
Olivia	ask 85¢ (no bids)

Love Island USA Week 5: Elimination — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 10:51 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Carl	bid 5¢ / ask 9¢
Amora	bid 38¢ / ask 39¢

Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce: Wedding attendees: Jason Kelce (bid 88¢ / ask 97¢) — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 3:57 PM ET

💹 Financials — 15 events, 106 markets

Week 32: Price of NVIDIA's H100 compute at end of week? — 9 brackets — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 3:01 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $4.00	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above $3.75	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above $3.50	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Above $3.25	bid 4¢ / ask 10¢
Above $3.00	bid 10¢ / ask 18¢
Above $2.75	bid 21¢ / ask 31¢
Above $2.50	bid 41¢ / ask 48¢
Above $2.25	bid 60¢ / ask 69¢
Above $2.00	bid 77¢ / ask 88¢

Week 31: Price of NVIDIA's H100 compute at end of week? — 9 brackets — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 3:01 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $4.00	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above $3.75	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above $3.50	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Above $3.25	bid 2¢ / ask 8¢
Above $3.00	bid 7¢ / ask 16¢
Above $2.75	bid 19¢ / ask 30¢
Above $2.50	bid 41¢ / ask 47¢
Above $2.25	bid 62¢ / ask 70¢
Above $2.00	bid 79¢ / ask 91¢

Week 30: Price of NVIDIA's H100 compute at end of week? — 9 brackets — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 3:01 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $4.00	bid 1¢ / ask 20¢
Above $3.75	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above $3.50	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above $3.25	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Above $3.00	bid 6¢ / ask 11¢
Above $2.75	bid 20¢ / ask 23¢
Above $2.50	bid 42¢ / ask 45¢
Above $2.25	bid 64¢ / ask 73¢
Above $2.00	bid 87¢ / ask 89¢

Week 29: Price of NVIDIA's H100 compute at end of week? — 9 brackets — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 3:01 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $4.00	bid 1¢ / ask 20¢
Above $3.75	bid 1¢ / ask 25¢
Above $3.50	bid 2¢ / ask 33¢
Above $3.25	bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Above $3.00	bid 2¢ / ask 9¢
Above $2.75	bid 13¢ / ask 24¢
Above $2.50	bid 40¢ / ask 46¢
Above $2.25	bid 74¢ / ask 80¢
Above $2.00	bid 86¢ / ask 98¢

Week 28: Price of NVIDIA's H100 compute at end of week? — 9 brackets — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 3:01 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $4.00	bid 1¢ / ask 20¢
Above $3.75	bid 1¢ / ask 25¢
Above $3.50	bid 2¢ / ask 33¢
Above $3.25	bid 2¢ / ask 50¢
Above $3.00	bid 2¢ / ask 50¢
Above $2.75	bid 2¢ / ask 60¢
Above $2.50	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above $2.25	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $2.00	bid 50¢ / ask 99¢

Week 27: Price of NVIDIA's H100 compute at end of week? — 9 brackets — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 3:01 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $4.00	bid 1¢ / ask 8¢
Above $3.75	bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Above $3.50	bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Above $3.25	bid 5¢ / ask 10¢
Above $3.00	bid 7¢ / ask 13¢
Above $2.75	bid 10¢ / ask 16¢
Above $2.50	bid 33¢ / ask 40¢
Above $2.25	bid 85¢ / ask 90¢
Above $2.00	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

Week 32: Price of NVIDIA's A100 compute at end of week? — 7 brackets — listed Jun 29, 2026 at 3:01 PM ET