Kalshi Markets: Texas Governor, EV Prices, AI Official

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 23 at 8:30 AM ET through Sep 24 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 730 unique markets across 253 new events, plus 4,722 recurring bracket markets.

🌤️ Climate and Weather

6 events

30 markets

📊 Economics

6 events

58 markets

🎬 Entertainment

9 events

87 markets

🏛️ Politics

11 events

44 markets

🗳️ Elections

11 events

119 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

14 events

138 markets

💹 Financials

196 events

254 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Texas Governor-Senate combo: Democratic Governor, Republican Senator bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Republican Governor, Democratic Senator bid 34¢ / ask 36¢, Republicans sweep bid 37¢ / ask 42¢

EV commodity prices on Sep 24, 2026: Above 1214.21 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above 1264.21 bid 2¢ / ask 15¢, Above 1234.21 bid 71¢ / ask 93¢

When will the U.S. have a Cabinet-level AI official?: Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 12¢ / ask 13¢, Before Jan 1, 2029 bid 31¢ / ask 39¢, Before Jan 1, 2028 bid 21¢ / ask 29¢

When will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved?: Before 2027 bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Before 2040 bid 64¢ / ask 70¢, Before 2035 bid 5¢ / ask 67¢

Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?: Virginia bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Rhode Island bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, Oregon bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?: Florida bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Montana bid 1¢ / ask 3¢, Mississippi bid 3¢ / ask 5¢

Lean R Senate Race Combo: which states will Republicans win?: Nebraska bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, South Carolina bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Kansas, South Carolina bid 11¢ / ask 13¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🌤️ Climate and Weather

📊 Economics

🎬 Entertainment

🗳️ Elections

🏛️ Politics

🔬 Science and Technology

💹 Financials

All New Events

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 6 events, 30 markets

Hurricane Ulana category? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 23, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

Tracking: Category 5 or above, Category 4 or above, Category 3 or above, Category 2 or above, Category 1 or above

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Hurricane Pena category? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 23, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

Tracking: Category 5 or above, Category 4 or above, Category 3 or above, Category 2 or above, Category 1 or above

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Hurricane Olana category? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

Tracking: Category 5 or above, Category 4 or above, Category 3 or above, Category 2 or above, Category 1 or above

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Hurricane Nolo category? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

Tracking: Category 5 or above, Category 4 or above, Category 3 or above, Category 2 or above, Category 1 or above

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Hurricane Moke category? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

Tracking: Category 5 or above, Category 4 or above, Category 3 or above, Category 2 or above, Category 1 or above

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Hurricane Lala category? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

Tracking: Category 5 or above, Category 4 or above, Category 3 or above, Category 2 or above, Category 1 or above

🔗 View on Kalshi →

📊 Economics — 6 events, 58 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Sep 24, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $6.565	—
Above $6.560	—
Above $6.555	—
Above $6.550	—
Above $6.545	—
Above $6.540	—
Above $6.535	—
Above $6.530	—
Above $6.525	—
Above $6.520	—
Above $6.515	—
Above $6.510	—
Above $6.505	—
Above $6.500	—
Above $6.495	—
Above $6.490	—
Above $6.485	—
Above $6.480	—
Above $6.475	—
Above $6.470	—
Above $6.465	last 99¢ (book empty)

EV commodity prices on Sep 24, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 1324.21	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1314.21	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1304.21	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Above 1294.21	last 2¢ (book empty)
Above 1284.21	ask 43¢ (no bids)
Above 1274.21	ask 8¢ (no bids)
Above 1264.21	bid 2¢ / ask 15¢
Above 1254.21	bid 5¢ / ask 48¢
Above 1244.21	bid 28¢ / ask 56¢
Above 1234.21	bid 71¢ / ask 93¢
Above 1224.21	bid 71¢ / ask 97¢
Above 1214.21	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1204.21	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1194.21	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1184.21	bid 98¢ (no asks)

US SPR level for the week ending September 25, 2026 — 12 brackets — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 11:18 AM ET

View market strikes (12 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 290M	ask 10¢ (no bids)
Above 289M	ask 31¢ (no bids)
Above 288M	ask 22¢ (no bids)
Above 287M	ask 58¢ (no bids)
Above 286M	bid 5¢ / ask 42¢
Above 285M	bid 4¢ / ask 39¢
Above 284M	bid 57¢ / ask 82¢
Above 283M	bid 58¢ / ask 80¢
Above 282M	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above 281M	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above 280M	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 279M	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

Next Fed rate cut? — 5 outcomes — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 1:57 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before 2029	bid 76¢ / ask 79¢
Before 2028	bid 41¢ / ask 43¢
Before 2027	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Before July 2028	bid 62¢ / ask 65¢
Before July 2027	bid 19¢ / ask 21¢

Diesel prices in Sep 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 9:43 AM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $6.35	bid 22¢ / ask 75¢
Above $6.45	ask 45¢ (no bids)
Above $6.55	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Above $6.65	ask 11¢ (no bids)

Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in September?: Japan higher? (bid 29¢ / ask 78¢) — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 10:12 AM ET

🎬 Entertainment — 9 events, 87 markets

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 25, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 25, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 25, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: WTF GOIN, Sunflower, September, Lord Verity - Master of Humanity (song), Let’s Get Married, Joseph, Golden, Endhayya Saami | Ranabaali | Full Song | Vijay Deverakonda, Rashmika | Rahul Sankrityan | Ajay–Atul, DRAKE - QUEBEC, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, BloodHound Q50 - My Girl (Official Music Video), BbY WOW, AH HA, AGUA (Official Video)

🔗 View on Kalshi →

How long will The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore be? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 60 minutes	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
At least 59 minutes	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
At least 58 minutes	bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
At least 57 minutes	ask 89¢ (no bids)
At least 56 minutes	bid 6¢ (no asks)
At least 55 minutes	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
At least 54 minutes	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
At least 53 minutes	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
At least 52 minutes	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
At least 51 minutes	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
At least 50 minutes	bid 98¢ (no asks)
At least 49 minutes	bid 98¢ (no asks)
At least 48 minutes	bid 98¢ (no asks)
At least 47 minutes	bid 98¢ (no asks)
At least 46 minutes	bid 98¢ (no asks)

Dancing with the Stars · Episode 4 Elimination — 13 outcomes — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 10:07 AM ET

View market options (13 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Taylor Hanson	bid 8¢ / ask 11¢
Tyler Cameron	bid 18¢ / ask 19¢
Tatyana Ali	bid 30¢ / ask 33¢
Maura Higgins	last 1¢ (book empty)
Julia Stiles	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Jackson Olson	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Jenna Dewan	last 1¢ (book empty)
Harry Shum Jr.	last 1¢ (book empty)
Guillermo Rodriguez	bid 18¢ / ask 19¢
Ezra Frech	last 1¢ (book empty)
Connor Wood	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Ciara Miller	bid 14¢ / ask 15¢
Amber Glenn	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Taylor Swift Top 10 Spots — Billboard Hot 100 (Oct 10, 2026) — 11 brackets — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 11:33 AM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Exactly 9 songs	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Exactly 8 songs	bid 2¢ / ask 8¢
Exactly 7 songs	bid 6¢ / ask 16¢
Exactly 6 songs	bid 13¢ / ask 38¢
Exactly 5 songs	bid 29¢ / ask 58¢
Exactly 4 songs	bid 29¢ / ask 53¢
Exactly 3 songs	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Exactly 2 songs	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Exactly 10 songs	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Exactly 1 song	last 1¢ (book empty)
Exactly 0 songs	last 1¢ (book empty)

Oscar nominees: Best Original Screenplay: Behemoth! (bid 50¢ / ask 60¢) — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 6:41 PM ET

Taylor Swift: Top 4 spots on the Billboard Hot 100?: Exactly Yes (bid 67¢ / ask 70¢) — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 1:27 PM ET

Top 5 most searched people on Google in 2026: Lindsay Clancy (bid 81¢ / ask 89¢) — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 10:28 AM ET

🏛️ Politics — 11 events, 44 markets

Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — 21 outcomes — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 4:41 PM ET

View market options (21 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Alabama	bid 35¢ / ask 45¢
Arkansas	bid 35¢ / ask 45¢
Idaho	bid 35¢ / ask 45¢
Illinois	bid 92¢ / ask 99¢
Indiana	bid 35¢ / ask 45¢
Louisiana	bid 80¢ / ask 88¢
Maine	bid 15¢ / ask 25¢
Massachusetts	bid 15¢ / ask 25¢
Mississippi	bid 15¢ / ask 25¢
Missouri	bid 35¢ / ask 45¢
Nebraska	bid 55¢ / ask 65¢
New Hampshire	bid 35¢ / ask 45¢
New Mexico	bid 15¢ / ask 25¢
Oklahoma	bid 15¢ / ask 25¢
Oregon	bid 15¢ / ask 25¢
Rhode Island	bid 15¢ / ask 25¢
Utah	bid 35¢ / ask 45¢
Vermont	bid 17¢ / ask 23¢
Washington	bid 35¢ / ask 42¢
West Virginia	bid 35¢ / ask 45¢
Wyoming	bid 35¢ / ask 45¢

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 24, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 38.7%	bid 16¢ / ask 18¢
39.3%	last 1¢ (book empty)
39.2%	last 1¢ (book empty)
39.1%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
39.0%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
38.9%	bid 11¢ / ask 12¢
38.8%	bid 27¢ / ask 31¢
38.7%	bid 44¢ / ask 47¢
Above 39.3%	last 1¢ (book empty)

When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting? — 4 outcomes — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 8:07 PM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 59¢ / ask 88¢
Before Oct 1, 2026	bid 16¢ / ask 38¢
Before Nov 1, 2026	bid 36¢ / ask 60¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 58¢ / ask 60¢

When will the U.S. have a Cabinet-level AI official? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 6:41 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2029	bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 21¢ / ask 29¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 12¢ / ask 13¢

Will Xi leave the U.S. early?: Before Sep 25, 2026 (ask 85¢ (no bids)) — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET

Will Massachusetts suspend its gas tax?: Before Nov 3, 2026 (bid 9¢ / ask 13¢) — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 6:25 PM ET

Will Gina Hinojosa and Greg Abbott debate?: Before Nov 3, 2026 (bid 49¢ / ask 52¢) — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 12:13 PM ET

Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton debate?: Before Nov 3, 2026 (bid 10¢ / ask 35¢) — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 12:13 PM ET

Will Sherrod Brown and Jon Husted debate?: Before Nov 3, 2026 (bid 3¢ / ask 46¢) — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 12:12 PM ET

Will Chris Pappas and John E. Sununu debate?: Before Nov 3, 2026 (bid 6¢ (no asks)) — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 12:12 PM ET

Will Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley debate?: Before Nov 3, 2026 (bid 5¢ / ask 85¢) — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 12:12 PM ET

🗳️ Elections — 11 events, 119 markets

Battleground Senate Combo: which states will Democrats win? — 32 outcomes — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 3:37 PM ET

View market options (25 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Democratic sweep	bid 50¢ / ask 60¢
Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska	bid 2¢ / ask 12¢
Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio	ask 8¢ (no bids)
Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire	ask 7¢ (no bids)
Maine, Michigan, Alaska, Ohio	ask 6¢ (no bids)
Maine, Michigan, Alaska	ask 6¢ (no bids)
Maine, Michigan, Ohio	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Maine, Michigan	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Maine, New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio	ask 9¢ (no bids)
Maine, New Hampshire, Alaska	ask 7¢ (no bids)
Maine, New Hampshire, Ohio	ask 6¢ (no bids)
Maine, New Hampshire	ask 6¢ (no bids)
Maine, Alaska, Ohio	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Maine, Alaska	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Maine, Ohio	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Maine	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio	ask 8¢ (no bids)
Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska	ask 7¢ (no bids)
Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio	ask 6¢ (no bids)
Michigan, New Hampshire	ask 6¢ (no bids)
Michigan, Alaska, Ohio	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Michigan, Alaska	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Michigan, Ohio	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Michigan	ask 5¢ (no bids)
New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio	ask 6¢ (no bids)

+ 7 more outcomes

Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — 20 outcomes — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 3:43 PM ET

View market options (20 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Virginia	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Texas	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Rhode Island	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Oregon	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Ohio	bid 4¢ / ask 13¢
New Mexico	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
New Jersey	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
New Hampshire	bid 6¢ / ask 13¢
North Carolina	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Minnesota	bid 4¢ / ask 7¢
Michigan	bid 6¢ / ask 15¢
Maine	bid 16¢ / ask 27¢
Massachusetts	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Illinois	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Iowa	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Georgia	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Florida	bid 29¢ / ask 40¢
Delaware	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Colorado	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Alaska	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢

Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? — 16 outcomes — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 3:43 PM ET

View market options (16 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Virginia	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Texas	bid 36¢ / ask 41¢
South Carolina	bid 5¢ / ask 8¢
Ohio	bid 8¢ / ask 18¢
New Hampshire	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
North Carolina	bid 5¢ / ask 14¢
Montana	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Mississippi	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
Minnesota	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Michigan	bid 3¢ / ask 12¢
Louisiana	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
Kansas	bid 12¢ / ask 17¢
Iowa	bid 7¢ / ask 18¢
Georgia	bid 2¢ / ask 12¢
Florida	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Alaska	bid 8¢ / ask 16¢

British Columbia election: NDP number of seats? — 9 outcomes — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 2:19 PM ET

View market options (9 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
72 or more	bid 3¢ / ask 42¢
67 or more	bid 4¢ / ask 42¢
62 or more	bid 8¢ / ask 43¢
57 or more	bid 12¢ / ask 43¢
52 or more	bid 13¢ / ask 44¢
47 or more	bid 14¢ / ask 61¢
42 or more	bid 18¢ / ask 87¢
37 or more	bid 19¢ / ask 90¢
32 or more	bid 16¢ / ask 95¢

Lean R Senate Race Combo: which states will Republicans win? — 8 outcomes — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 3:38 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Republican sweep	bid 54¢ / ask 58¢
Nebraska, Kansas	bid 3¢ / ask 6¢
Nebraska, South Carolina	bid 10¢ / ask 14¢
Nebraska	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Kansas, South Carolina	bid 11¢ / ask 13¢
Kansas	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
South Carolina	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
None	bid 2¢ / ask 4¢

British Columbia election: Conservative number of seats? — 8 outcomes — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 2:19 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
52 or more	bid 6¢ / ask 15¢
47 or more	bid 21¢ / ask 30¢
42 or more	bid 47¢ / ask 56¢
37 or more	bid 74¢ / ask 83¢
32 or more	bid 87¢ / ask 91¢
27 or more	bid 90¢ / ask 94¢
22 or more	bid 92¢ / ask 95¢
17 or more	bid 95¢ / ask 97¢

Who will be British Columbia's Premier after the election? — 7 outcomes — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Niki Sharma	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Lorne Doerkson	bid 12¢ / ask 30¢
John Rustad	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Emily Lowan	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
David Eby	bid 69¢ / ask 88¢
Dallas Brodie	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Brenda Bailey	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Serbian parliamentary election: voter turnout — 5 brackets — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 5:09 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 4,350,000	ask 92¢ (no bids)
At least 4,500,000	ask 94¢ (no bids)
At least 4,650,000	—
At least 4,800,000	—
At least 4,950,000	—

Who will be a part of the next government of British Columbia? — 5 outcomes — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 2:21 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
OneBC	bid 11¢ / ask 17¢
BC NDP	bid 76¢ / ask 78¢
BC Greens	bid 36¢ / ask 45¢
CentreBC	bid 27¢ / ask 30¢
BC Conservatives	bid 21¢ / ask 30¢

British Columbia general election winner? — 5 outcomes — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 2:19 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
OneBC	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
BC NDP	bid 72¢ / ask 78¢
BC Greens	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
CentreBC	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
BC Conservatives	bid 21¢ / ask 27¢

Texas Governor-Senate combo — 4 outcomes — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 9:25 PM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Republicans sweep	bid 37¢ / ask 42¢
Republican Governor, Democratic Senator	bid 34¢ / ask 36¢
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Democrats sweep	bid 22¢ / ask 29¢

🔬 Science and Technology — 14 events, 138 markets

Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine: 2026 — 37 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 24, 2026 at 1:01 AM ET

Tracking: Zhijian James Chen, Yuk Ming Dennis Lo, Yuan Chang, Wolfram Schultz, Virginia Man-Yee Lee, Timothy Springer, Stuart Orkin, Seiji Ogawa, Stephen Elledge, Ronald Vale, Rosa Rademakers, Peter Walter, Napoleone Ferrara, Mary-Claire King, Michael N. Hall, Max D. Cooper, Lewis Cantley, Kazutoshi Mori, Kenji Kangawa, Karl Deisseroth, Jeffrey Gordon, James Fujimoto, Jeffrey Friedman, John Dick, Jean Bennett, +12 more

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Nobel Prize in Chemistry: 2026 — 30 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 24, 2026 at 1:01 AM ET

Tracking: Zhenan Bao, Tao Zhang, Takuzo Aida, Stephen Lippard, Stephen Buchwald, Shankar Balasubramanian, Peter G. Schultz, Pieter Cullis, Michele Parrinello, Michael Grätzel, Makoto Fujita, Krzysztof Matyjaszewski, Kazunari Domen, Jin-Quan Yu, Jean-Marie Tarascon, JoAnne Stubbe, Jens Nørskov, John Kasianowicz, James Collins, Hiroaki Suga, Henry Snaith, Harry Gray, Eric Jacobsen, Daniel Nocera, David Liu, +5 more

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Moonshot AI share of spend on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 29%	bid 1¢ / ask 13¢
Above 26%	bid 2¢ / ask 17¢
Above 24%	bid 7¢ / ask 27¢
Above 22%	bid 8¢ / ask 46¢
Above 21%	bid 4¢ / ask 66¢
Above 19%	bid 16¢ / ask 87¢
Above 18%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 16%	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 13%	bid 73¢ / ask 94¢

OpenAI share of spend on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 30%	bid 2¢ / ask 38¢
Above 29%	bid 2¢ / ask 38¢
Above 27%	bid 10¢ / ask 48¢
Above 26%	bid 10¢ / ask 58¢
Above 25%	bid 14¢ / ask 66¢
Above 24%	bid 17¢ / ask 84¢
Above 23%	bid 25¢ / ask 82¢
Above 22%	bid 29¢ / ask 88¢
Above 20%	bid 51¢ / ask 96¢

Google share of requests on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel) — 8 brackets — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 11:44 AM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 18%	ask 93¢ (no bids)
Above 16%	bid 2¢ / ask 23¢
Above 15%	—
Above 14%	—
Above 13%	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above 12%	—
Above 11%	—
Above 10%	bid 5¢ (no asks)

OpenAI share of requests on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel) — 7 brackets — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 11:44 AM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 25%	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Above 23%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 22%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 20%	—
Above 19%	—
Above 18%	—
Above 17%	—

DeepSeek share of requests on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel) — 7 brackets — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 11:44 AM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 26%	—
Above 24%	—
Above 23%	—
Above 22%	—
Above 21%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 20%	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 18%	—

When will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved? — 6 outcomes — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 4:55 PM ET

View market options (6 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before 2040	bid 64¢ / ask 70¢
Before 2035	bid 5¢ / ask 67¢
Before 2030	bid 31¢ / ask 94¢
Before 2029	bid 21¢ / ask 94¢
Before 2028	bid 12¢ (no asks)
Before 2027	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢

Anthropic share of spend on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel) — 6 brackets — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 11:44 AM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 46%	bid 2¢ / ask 46¢
Above 43%	bid 3¢ / ask 47¢
Above 40%	bid 8¢ / ask 56¢
Above 37%	bid 51¢ / ask 93¢
Above 34%	bid 54¢ / ask 92¢
Above 31%	bid 53¢ / ask 96¢

Anthropic share of requests on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel) — 6 brackets — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 11:44 AM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9%	—
Above 8%	—
Above 7%	—
Above 6%	—
Above 5%	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 11%	bid 1¢ / ask 48¢

Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess? — 4 outcomes — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 7:35 PM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before 2029	bid 20¢ / ask 89¢
Before 2028	bid 16¢ / ask 88¢
Before 2027	bid 8¢ / ask 14¢
Before 2030	bid 20¢ / ask 89¢

When will Anthropic release a personal AI agent? — 4 outcomes — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 7:12 PM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 62¢ / ask 68¢
Before Oct 1, 2026	bid 5¢ / ask 11¢
Before Nov 1, 2026	bid 36¢ / ask 43¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 52¢ / ask 58¢

When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent? — 4 outcomes — listed Sep 23, 2026 at 7:12 PM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 23¢ / ask 79¢
Before Oct 1, 2026	bid 15¢ / ask 18¢
Before Nov 1, 2026	bid 50¢ / ask 54¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 46¢ / ask 59¢

NYC Health sewer-entry warning before Nov 1, 2026?: Yes — listed Sep 24, 2026 at 12:42 AM ET