Kalshi Markets: TN-09, 2028 VP, Dow Jones Predictions

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 05 at 8:30 AM ET through Aug 06 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 767 unique markets across 53 new events, plus 3,886 recurring bracket markets.

🏛️ Politics

1 event

1 market

🌤️ Climate and Weather

2 events

12 markets

🏢 Companies

2 events

18 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

4 events

51 markets

📊 Economics

4 events

56 markets

🗳️ Elections

5 events

9 markets

🎬 Entertainment

11 events

69 markets

💹 Financials

24 events

551 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

TN-09 Democratic nominee?: London Lamar — bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Music Industry: Total USA Album Equivalent Units in 2026: Above 952.7M bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above 1.1B bid 95¢ / ask 99¢, Above 1.2B bid 92¢ / ask 97¢

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 6, 2026 at 11am EDT: At least $54,595 bid 18¢ / ask 20¢, At least $54,585 bid 18¢ / ask 21¢, At least $54,580 bid 18¢ / ask 21¢

Urban Outfitters comparable sales in fiscal 2027: Above 9% bid 1¢ / ask 4¢, Above 8% bid 1¢ / ask 5¢, Above 7% bid 1¢ / ask 7¢

2028 Republican VP nominee: Tim Scott — bid 3¢ / ask 6¢

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 6, 2026 at 12pm EDT: At least $54,595 bid 18¢ / ask 22¢, At least $54,585 bid 18¢ / ask 23¢, At least $54,580 bid 18¢ / ask 23¢

NC-11 Republican nominee on Aug 11, 2026?: Kevin Corbin bid 3¢ / ask 7¢, Tim Moffitt bid 57¢ / ask 63¢, No one bid 7¢ / ask 13¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🏛️ Politics

When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?

🌤️ Climate and Weather

🏢 Companies

📊 Economics

🔬 Science and Technology

🗳️ Elections

🎬 Entertainment

💹 Financials

All New Events

🏛️ Politics — 1 event, 1 market

When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?: Before Aug 15, 2026 (bid 7¢ / ask 14¢) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 2:59 PM ET

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 2 events, 12 markets

When will the next hurricane form? — 8 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 9:19 PM ET

Tracking: Before Sep 15, 2026, Before Sep 1, 2026, Before Oct 15, 2026, Before Oct 1, 2026, Before Nov 15, 2026, Before Nov 1, 2026, Before Dec 1, 2026, Before Aug 15, 2026

🔗 View on Kalshi →

When will the next Category 5 hurricane form? — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 9:20 PM ET

Tracking: Before Sep 1, 2026, Before Oct 1, 2026, Before Nov 1, 2026, Before Dec 1, 2026

🔗 View on Kalshi →

🏢 Companies — 2 events, 18 markets

Sea Limited Shopee GMV in fiscal 2026 — 11 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:38 AM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $176 billion	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Above $174 billion	ask 7¢ (no bids)
Above $172 billion	bid 3¢ / ask 11¢
Above $170 billion	bid 12¢ / ask 20¢
Above $168 billion	bid 25¢ / ask 33¢
Above $166 billion	bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
Above $164 billion	bid 59¢ / ask 67¢
Above $162 billion	bid 74¢ / ask 82¢
Above $160 billion	bid 85¢ / ask 93¢
Above $158 billion	bid 91¢ / ask 99¢
Above $156 billion	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢

Urban Outfitters comparable sales in fiscal 2027 — 7 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:38 AM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9%	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Above 8%	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Above 7%	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Above 6%	bid 7¢ / ask 15¢
Above 5%	bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
Above 4%	bid 70¢ / ask 78¢
Above 3%	bid 91¢ / ask 99¢

🔬 Science and Technology — 4 events, 51 markets

Top Text to Speech AI this week — 17 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 5:39 PM ET

Tracking: VUI Labs, StepFun, SpeechifyAI, SpaceXAI, Smallest.ai, OpenAI, Nvidia, Mistral, MiniMax, Inworld, Google, Fish Audio, ElevenLabs, Cartesia, Async, Amazon, Alibaba

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Top Open Source AI this week — 13 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 7:01 PM ET

Tracking: Xiaomi, Thinking Machines, OpenAI, Nvidia, Mistral, MiniMax, Meta, Kimi, Google, GLM, DeepSeek, Cohere, Alibaba

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Top Text to Image AI this week — 11 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 7:01 PM ET

Tracking: SpaceXAI, Reve, Recraft, OpenAI, Nvidia, Microsoft, Krea, HiDream, Google, Bytedance, Black Forest Labs

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Top Text to Video AI this week — 10 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 5:53 PM ET

Tracking: Vidu, SpaceXAI, Skywork AI, PixVerse, MiniMax, Lightricks, KlingAI, Google, ByteDance, Alibaba

🔗 View on Kalshi →

📊 Economics — 4 events, 56 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Aug 06, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $5.395	—
Above $5.390	—
Above $5.385	—
Above $5.380	—
Above $5.375	—
Above $5.370	—
Above $5.365	—
Above $5.360	ask 75¢ (no bids)
Above $5.355	—
Above $5.350	ask 85¢ (no bids)
Above $5.345	ask 70¢ (no bids)
Above $5.340	—
Above $5.335	—
Above $5.330	—
Above $5.325	—
Above $5.320	—
Above $5.315	—
Above $5.310	—
Above $5.305	—
Above $5.300	—
Above $5.295	bid 80¢ / ask 99¢

EV commodity prices on Aug 6, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 1313.72	ask 69¢ (no bids)
Above 1303.72	ask 69¢ (no bids)
Above 1293.72	—
Above 1283.72	—
Above 1273.72	—
Above 1263.72	—
Above 1253.72	—
Above 1243.72	—
Above 1233.72	bid 41¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1223.72	bid 41¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1213.72	bid 41¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1203.72	bid 41¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1193.72	bid 31¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1183.72	bid 31¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1173.72	bid 31¢ / ask 99¢

Credit Card Delinquency Rate in Q2 2026 — 13 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 2:13 PM ET

View market strikes (13 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 2.98%	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Above 2.97%	bid 4¢ / ask 12¢
Above 2.96%	bid 7¢ / ask 15¢
Above 2.95%	bid 9¢ / ask 17¢
Above 2.94%	bid 12¢ / ask 20¢
Above 2.93%	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
Above 2.92%	bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
Above 2.91%	bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
Above 2.90%	bid 46¢ / ask 54¢
Above 2.89%	bid 61¢ / ask 69¢
Above 2.88%	bid 73¢ / ask 81¢
Above 2.87%	bid 81¢ / ask 89¢
Above 2.86%	bid 91¢ / ask 99¢

Global account ownership in the next Global Findex release — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 4:14 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

🗳️ Elections — 5 events, 9 markets

NC-11 Republican nominee on Aug 11, 2026? — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 12:55 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Tim Moffitt	bid 57¢ / ask 63¢
No one	bid 7¢ / ask 13¢
Kevin Corbin	bid 3¢ / ask 7¢
Jennifer Balkcom	bid 8¢ / ask 14¢
Adam Smith	bid 8¢ / ask 15¢

TN-09 Democratic nominee?: London Lamar (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — listed Aug 06, 2026 at 12:21 AM ET

South Dakota Senate winner?: Brian Bengs (bid 4¢ / ask 8¢) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 12:18 PM ET

2028 Republican VP nominee: Tim Scott (bid 3¢ / ask 6¢) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET

Lima Mayor winner?: Rafael López Aliaga (bid 2¢ / ask 7¢) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 10:49 AM ET

🎬 Entertainment — 11 events, 69 markets

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 7, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 06, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: เพราะพี่รักจริง, Waka Waka, Todo Lo Fue, Sunflower, Shararat, Sebebi Yar, petal, Nano, MOON, Life Goes On, Jaiye Sajana, Golden, Dai Dai, Basinga Balaalu, Barbaadi

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 7, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 06, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 7, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 06, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: Todo Lo Fue, Sunflower, Rod Wave - Hustle (Official Music Video), petal, Meek Mill - Nightmares To Dreams (Official Video), Life Goes On, Janice STFU, It Doesn't Matter, I See Why, ICONIC BY MISTAKE, Golden, FDO, Dead Fresh, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Music Industry: Total USA Pure Album Sales in 2026 — 10 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 1:50 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 140M	last 6¢ (book empty)
Above 135M	ask 6¢ (no bids)
Above 130M	ask 6¢ (no bids)
Above 125M	ask 6¢ (no bids)
Above 120M	ask 6¢ (no bids)
Above 117.7M	ask 6¢ (no bids)
Above 115M	bid 1¢ / ask 8¢
Above 111.1M	bid 5¢ / ask 17¢
Above 105M	bid 36¢ / ask 48¢
Above 100M	bid 87¢ / ask 97¢

Music Industry: Total USA Album Equivalent Units in 2026 — 6 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 2:07 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 952.7M	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 877.3M	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1.4B	bid 80¢ / ask 90¢
Above 1.3B	bid 90¢ / ask 96¢
Above 1.2B	bid 92¢ / ask 97¢
Above 1.1B	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢

How many Followers will clavicular have on Kick this year? — 2 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 8:31 PM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 550,000	ask 91¢ (no bids)
At least 600,000	ask 95¢ (no bids)

Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actor — 2 outcomes — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 2:55 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Antonio Banderas	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Guy Pearce	bid 20¢ / ask 27¢

Oscar nominees: Best Actress: Virginie Efira (bid 19¢ / ask 25¢) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 3:20 PM ET

#3 Song on Spotify U.S. in 2026?: Mr. Brightside (bid 1¢ / ask 10¢) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 3:16 PM ET

YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA: petal (ask 5¢ (no bids)) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 3:07 PM ET

Who will have a #1 album this year?: Rod Wave (bid 76¢ / ask 88¢) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 2:57 PM ET

💹 Financials — 24 events, 551 markets

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $54,595	bid 18¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,590	bid 18¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,585	bid 18¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,580	bid 18¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,575	bid 18¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,570	bid 18¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,565	bid 18¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,560	bid 12¢ (no asks)
At least $54,555	bid 18¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,550	bid 18¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,545	bid 12¢ (no asks)
At least $54,540	bid 12¢ (no asks)
At least $54,535	bid 18¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,530	bid 18¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,525	bid 18¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,520	bid 12¢ (no asks)
At least $54,515	bid 12¢ (no asks)
At least $54,510	bid 12¢ (no asks)
At least $54,505	bid 18¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,500	bid 26¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,495	bid 27¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,490	bid 27¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,485	bid 28¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,480	bid 28¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,475	bid 29¢ / ask 97¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 6, 2026 at 3pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $54,595	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
At least $54,590	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
At least $54,585	bid 19¢ / ask 27¢
At least $54,580	bid 19¢ / ask 27¢
At least $54,575	bid 20¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,570	bid 20¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,565	bid 20¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,560	bid 21¢ / ask 29¢
At least $54,555	bid 21¢ / ask 29¢
At least $54,550	bid 22¢ / ask 30¢
At least $54,545	bid 22¢ / ask 30¢
At least $54,540	bid 23¢ / ask 31¢
At least $54,535	bid 24¢ / ask 32¢
At least $54,530	bid 24¢ / ask 32¢
At least $54,525	bid 25¢ / ask 33¢
At least $54,520	bid 25¢ / ask 33¢
At least $54,515	bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
At least $54,510	bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
At least $54,505	bid 27¢ / ask 35¢
At least $54,500	bid 27¢ / ask 35¢
At least $54,495	bid 28¢ / ask 36¢
At least $54,490	bid 28¢ / ask 36¢
At least $54,485	bid 29¢ / ask 37¢
At least $54,480	bid 30¢ / ask 38¢
At least $54,475	bid 30¢ / ask 38¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 6, 2026 at 2pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $54,595	bid 18¢ / ask 25¢
At least $54,590	bid 18¢ / ask 25¢
At least $54,585	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
At least $54,580	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
At least $54,575	bid 19¢ / ask 27¢
At least $54,570	bid 19¢ / ask 27¢
At least $54,565	bid 20¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,560	bid 20¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,555	bid 21¢ / ask 29¢
At least $54,550	bid 21¢ / ask 29¢
At least $54,545	bid 22¢ / ask 30¢
At least $54,540	bid 22¢ / ask 30¢
At least $54,535	bid 23¢ / ask 31¢
At least $54,530	bid 23¢ / ask 31¢
At least $54,525	bid 24¢ / ask 32¢
At least $54,520	bid 24¢ / ask 32¢
At least $54,515	bid 25¢ / ask 33¢
At least $54,510	bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
At least $54,505	bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
At least $54,500	bid 27¢ / ask 35¢
At least $54,495	bid 27¢ / ask 35¢
At least $54,490	bid 28¢ / ask 36¢
At least $54,485	bid 28¢ / ask 36¢
At least $54,480	bid 29¢ / ask 37¢
At least $54,475	bid 30¢ / ask 38¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 6, 2026 at 1pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $54,595	bid 18¢ / ask 23¢
At least $54,590	bid 16¢ / ask 24¢
At least $54,585	bid 18¢ / ask 24¢
At least $54,580	bid 18¢ / ask 25¢
At least $54,575	bid 18¢ / ask 25¢
At least $54,570	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
At least $54,565	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
At least $54,560	bid 19¢ / ask 27¢
At least $54,555	bid 19¢ / ask 27¢
At least $54,550	bid 20¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,545	bid 20¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,540	bid 21¢ / ask 29¢
At least $54,535	bid 22¢ / ask 30¢
At least $54,530	bid 22¢ / ask 30¢
At least $54,525	bid 23¢ / ask 31¢
At least $54,520	bid 23¢ / ask 31¢
At least $54,515	bid 24¢ / ask 32¢
At least $54,510	bid 24¢ / ask 32¢
At least $54,505	bid 25¢ / ask 33¢
At least $54,500	bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
At least $54,495	bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
At least $54,490	bid 27¢ / ask 35¢
At least $54,485	bid 27¢ / ask 35¢
At least $54,480	bid 28¢ / ask 36¢
At least $54,475	bid 29¢ / ask 37¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 6, 2026 at 12pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $54,595	bid 18¢ / ask 22¢
At least $54,590	bid 14¢ / ask 22¢
At least $54,585	bid 18¢ / ask 23¢
At least $54,580	bid 18¢ / ask 23¢
At least $54,575	bid 18¢ / ask 24¢
At least $54,570	bid 18¢ / ask 24¢
At least $54,565	bid 18¢ / ask 25¢
At least $54,560	bid 17¢ / ask 25¢
At least $54,555	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
At least $54,550	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
At least $54,545	bid 19¢ / ask 27¢
At least $54,540	bid 19¢ / ask 27¢
At least $54,535	bid 20¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,530	bid 20¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,525	bid 21¢ / ask 29¢
At least $54,520	bid 22¢ / ask 30¢
At least $54,515	bid 22¢ / ask 30¢
At least $54,510	bid 23¢ / ask 31¢
At least $54,505	bid 23¢ / ask 31¢
At least $54,500	bid 24¢ / ask 32¢
At least $54,495	bid 25¢ / ask 33¢
At least $54,490	bid 25¢ / ask 33¢
At least $54,485	bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
At least $54,480	bid 27¢ / ask 35¢
At least $54,475	bid 27¢ / ask 35¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 6, 2026 at 11am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $54,595	bid 18¢ / ask 20¢
At least $54,590	bid 12¢ / ask 20¢
At least $54,585	bid 18¢ / ask 21¢
At least $54,580	bid 18¢ / ask 21¢
At least $54,575	bid 18¢ / ask 22¢
At least $54,570	bid 18¢ / ask 22¢
At least $54,565	bid 18¢ / ask 23¢
At least $54,560	bid 18¢ / ask 23¢
At least $54,555	bid 18¢ / ask 24¢
At least $54,550	bid 18¢ / ask 24¢
At least $54,545	bid 18¢ / ask 25¢
At least $54,540	bid 18¢ / ask 25¢
At least $54,535	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
At least $54,530	bid 19¢ / ask 27¢
At least $54,525	bid 19¢ / ask 27¢
At least $54,520	bid 20¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,515	bid 20¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,510	bid 21¢ / ask 29¢
At least $54,505	bid 22¢ / ask 30¢
At least $54,500	bid 22¢ / ask 30¢
At least $54,495	bid 23¢ / ask 31¢
At least $54,490	bid 24¢ / ask 32¢
At least $54,485	bid 24¢ / ask 32¢
At least $54,480	bid 25¢ / ask 33¢
At least $54,475	bid 26¢ / ask 34¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 6, 2026 at 10am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $54,595	bid 13¢ (no asks)
At least $54,590	bid 13¢ (no asks)
At least $54,585	bid 14¢ / ask 94¢
At least $54,580	bid 14¢ (no asks)
At least $54,575	bid 14¢ (no asks)
At least $54,570	bid 15¢ (no asks)
At least $54,565	bid 18¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,560	bid 16¢ (no asks)
At least $54,555	bid 18¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,550	bid 18¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,545	bid 18¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,540	bid 18¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,535	bid 19¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,530	bid 20¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,525	bid 20¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,520	bid 21¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,515	bid 21¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,510	bid 22¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,505	bid 23¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,500	bid 24¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,495	bid 24¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,490	bid 25¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,485	bid 26¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,480	bid 27¢ / ask 97¢
At least $54,475	bid 27¢ / ask 97¢

+ 35 more

Sea Limited Shopee GMV in Q3 — 15 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $43 billion	ask 8¢ (no bids)
Above $42.5 billion	bid 3¢ / ask 11¢
Above $42 billion	bid 9¢ / ask 17¢
Above $41.5 billion	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
Above $41 billion	bid 29¢ / ask 37¢
Above $40.5 billion	bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
Above $40 billion	bid 55¢ / ask 63¢
Above $39.5 billion	bid 68¢ / ask 76¢
Above $39 billion	bid 79¢ / ask 87¢
Above $38.5 billion	bid 86¢ / ask 94¢
Above $38 billion	bid 90¢ / ask 98¢
Above $37.5 billion	bid 93¢ / ask 99¢
Above $37 billion	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢
Above $36.5 billion	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Above $36 billion	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢

Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in fiscal 2027 — 13 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:38 AM ET

View market strikes (13 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 970	bid 15¢ / ask 23¢
Above 960	bid 28¢ / ask 36¢
Above 950	bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
Above 940	bid 59¢ / ask 67¢
Above 930	bid 73¢ / ask 81¢
Above 920	bid 83¢ / ask 91¢
Above 910	bid 89¢ / ask 97¢
Above 900	bid 93¢ / ask 99¢
Above 890	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢
Above 880	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Above 870	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Above 860	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Above 850	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢

Toll Brothers delivered homes in fiscal 2026 — 12 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:38 AM ET

View market strikes (12 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9900	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Above 9800	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Above 9700	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Above 9600	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Above 10700	bid 14¢ / ask 22¢
Above 10600	bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
Above 10500	bid 58¢ / ask 66¢
Above 10400	bid 77¢ / ask 85¢
Above 10300	bid 89¢ / ask 97¢
Above 10200	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢
Above 10100	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Above 10000	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢

Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in Q3 — 12 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET

View market strikes (12 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 890	bid 5¢ / ask 13¢
Above 885	bid 10¢ / ask 18¢
Above 880	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
Above 875	bid 27¢ / ask 35¢
Above 870	bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
Above 865	bid 48¢ / ask 56¢
Above 860	bid 59¢ / ask 67¢
Above 855	bid 68¢ / ask 76¢
Above 850	bid 77¢ / ask 85¢
Above 845	bid 84¢ / ask 92¢
Above 840	bid 88¢ / ask 96¢
Above 835	bid 91¢ / ask 99¢

Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in Q3 — 10 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 218	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Above 216	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Above 214	bid 1¢ / ask 8¢
Above 212	bid 4¢ / ask 12¢
Above 210	bid 12¢ / ask 20¢
Above 208	bid 24¢ / ask 32¢
Above 206	bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
Above 204	bid 58¢ / ask 66¢
Above 202	bid 74¢ / ask 82¢
Above 200	bid 84¢ / ask 92¢

Starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:38 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 19 million	bid 6¢ / ask 14¢
Above 18.5 million	bid 11¢ / ask 19¢
Above 18 million	bid 16¢ / ask 24¢
Above 17.5 million	bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
Above 17 million	bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
Above 16.5 million	bid 51¢ / ask 59¢
Above 16 million	bid 64¢ / ask 72¢
Above 15.5 million	bid 81¢ / ask 89¢
Above 15 million	bid 91¢ / ask 99¢

Ulta comparable sales in Q3 — 9 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7.5%	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Above 7%	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Above 6.5%	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Above 6%	bid 2¢ / ask 10¢
Above 5.5%	bid 7¢ / ask 15¢
Above 5%	bid 15¢ / ask 23¢
Above 4.5%	bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
Above 4%	bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
Above 3.5%	bid 55¢ / ask 63¢

Ulta comparable sales in fiscal 2026 — 8 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:38 AM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7%	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Above 6.5%	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Above 6%	bid 2¢ / ask 10¢
Above 5.5%	bid 8¢ / ask 16¢
Above 5%	bid 19¢ / ask 27¢
Above 4.5%	bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
Above 4%	bid 56¢ / ask 64¢
Above 3.5%	bid 76¢ / ask 84¢

Starlink active subscribers in Q3 — 8 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 16 million	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Above 15.5 million	bid 8¢ / ask 16¢
Above 15 million	bid 24¢ / ask 32¢
Above 14.5 million	bid 46¢ / ask 54¢
Above 14 million	bid 68¢ / ask 76¢
Above 13.5 million	bid 84¢ / ask 92¢
Above 13 million	bid 91¢ / ask 99¢
Above 12.5 million	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢

Talen Energy TWh generation in Q3 — 8 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 15.5 twh	bid 82¢ / ask 90¢
Above 15 twh	bid 89¢ / ask 97¢
Above 14.5 twh	bid 92¢ / ask 99¢
Above 14 twh	bid 92¢ / ask 99¢
Above 13.5 twh	bid 93¢ / ask 99¢
Above 13 twh	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢
Above 12.5 twh	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢
Above 12 twh	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢

Toast total locations in Q3 — 6 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Urban Outfitters comparable sales in Q3 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:35 AM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9%	bid 3¢ / ask 11¢
Above 7%	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
Above 5%	bid 48¢ / ask 56¢
Above 3%	bid 81¢ / ask 89¢
Above 11%	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢

Sea Limited Garena paying users in Q3 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 81 million	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Above 78 million	bid 7¢ / ask 15¢
Above 75 million	bid 30¢ / ask 38¢
Above 72 million	bid 62¢ / ask 70¢
Above 69 million	bid 85¢ / ask 93¢

Match total payers in Q3 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 13.4 million	bid 78¢ / ask 86¢
Above 13.2 million	bid 88¢ / ask 96¢
Above 13 million	bid 92¢ / ask 99¢
Above 12.8 million	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢
Above 12.6 million	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢

Sea Limited Garena paying users in Q4 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 78 million	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Above 74 million	bid 9¢ / ask 17¢
Above 70 million	bid 53¢ / ask 61¢
Above 66 million	bid 88¢ / ask 96¢

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 99.7351 — listed Aug 06, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

CAVA restaurants in Q2: Above 474 (bid 87¢ / ask 94¢) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 8:55 AM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

3,886 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
💹 Financials	3,252	6	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, USD/JPY daily range, +3 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	372	46	Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, Hourly Directional Austin Temperature, +43 more
🎬 Entertainment	241	7	What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, +4 more
📊 Economics	21	2	US gas price up, US gas price up

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: TN-09 Democratic Nominee, 2028 Republican VP, Dow Jones — Past 24 Hours (as of 8:30:18 AM ET, Aug 06)

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🏛️ Politics — 1 event, 1 market

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 2 events, 12 markets

🏢 Companies — 2 events, 18 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 4 events, 51 markets

📊 Economics — 4 events, 56 markets

🗳️ Elections — 5 events, 9 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 11 events, 69 markets

💹 Financials — 24 events, 551 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

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