Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (May 08 at 3:38 PM ET through May 09 at 3:38 PM ET). Our scan picked up 45 unique markets across 13 new events, plus 424 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Top AI this week: Grok bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Claude bid 97¢ / ask 98¢, ChatGPT bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Top Coding AI this week: Claude bid 94¢ / ask 97¢, Qwen last 1¢ (book empty), MiniMax last 1¢ (book empty)
MD-01 Republican nominee?: Chris Bruneau bid 1¢ / ask 6¢, Andy Harris bid 94¢ / ask 99¢
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 329?: Yes — bid 2¢ / ask 9¢
Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 — bid 12¢ / ask 19¢
NY-01 Democratic nominee?: Luca Nascimbene, Jonathan Schneider, Jonathan Jacobs all at bid 1¢ / ask 8¢
Which state laws will be enacted in 2026?: Medical Cannabis Expansion bid 57¢ / ask 64¢, Health Information Privacy Act bid 57¢ / ask 64¢, Drag Show Restrictions bid 17¢ / ask 24¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Which state laws will be enacted in 2026?
- Will Donald Trump attend UFC 329?
- Will Donald Trump attend UFC 330?
All New Events
🎬 Entertainment — 1 event, 1 market
American Music Award for Best Hip-Hop Album?: MASA (bid 13¢ / ask 27¢) — listed May 08, 2026 at 3:51 PM ET
📊 Economics — 1 event, 5 markets
CPI year-over-year in Jun 2026? — 5 brackets — listed May 08, 2026 at 5:40 PM ET
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Exactly 4.1% | ask 92¢ (no bids) |
| Exactly 4.2% | ask 92¢ (no bids) |
| Exactly 4.3% | ask 92¢ (no bids) |
| Exactly 4.4% | ask 92¢ (no bids) |
| Exactly 4.5% | ask 92¢ (no bids) |
🔬 Science and Technology — 2 events, 17 markets
Top Coding AI this week — 9 outcomes — listed May 09, 2026 at 10:22 AM ET
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Qwen | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| MiniMax | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kimi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Grok | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| GLM | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Gemini | ask 92¢ (no bids) |
| Dola | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Claude | bid 94¢ / ask 97¢ |
| ChatGPT | ask 92¢ (no bids) |
Top AI this week — 8 outcomes — listed May 09, 2026 at 10:18 AM ET
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Grok | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| ChatGPT | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Muse | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Gemini | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dola | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Claude | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Amazon Nova | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Qwen | last 1¢ (book empty) |
🏛️ Politics — 3 events, 9 markets
Which state laws will be enacted in 2026? — 7 outcomes — listed May 08, 2026 at 4:02 PM ET
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Medical Cannabis Expansion | bid 57¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Health Information Privacy Act | bid 57¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Drag Show Restrictions | bid 17¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Companion AI Protection Act | bid 57¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Clean Energy Affordability Rewrite | bid 57¢ / ask 64¢ |
| AI Anti-Discrimination | bid 37¢ / ask 44¢ |
| $15 Minimum Wage by 2029 | bid 17¢ / ask 24¢ |
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 330?: Yes (bid 11¢ / ask 19¢) — listed May 08, 2026 at 11:26 PM ET
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 329?: Yes (bid 2¢ / ask 9¢) — listed May 08, 2026 at 11:25 PM ET
🗳️ Elections — 6 events, 13 markets
NY-01 Democratic nominee? — 5 outcomes — listed May 08, 2026 at 4:55 PM ET
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Lukas Ventouras | bid 28¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Luca Nascimbene | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Jonathan Schneider | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Jonathan Jacobs | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Christopher Gallant | bid 51¢ / ask 59¢ |
CO-02 Republican nominee? — 2 outcomes — listed May 08, 2026 at 4:55 PM ET
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Kelley Dennison | bid 71¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Christina Blunt | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
UT-02 Republican nominee? — 2 outcomes — listed May 08, 2026 at 4:55 PM ET
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Karianne Lisonbee | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Blake Moore | bid 71¢ / ask 79¢ |
MD-01 Republican nominee? — 2 outcomes — listed May 08, 2026 at 4:55 PM ET
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Chris Bruneau | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Andy Harris | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?: Catherine West (ask 95¢ (no bids)) — listed May 09, 2026 at 1:21 PM ET
Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 12¢ / ask 19¢) — listed May 08, 2026 at 5:45 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
424 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 74 | 7 | Daily US Spotify artist chart, Daily Global Spotify songs, Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, +4 more |
| 📊 Economics | 46 | 3 | US gas price up, United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel , US flight cancellations this week |
| 🔬 Science and Technology | 15 | 6 | Top model, RTX 5090 Weekly Price, B200 Weekly Price, +3 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.