📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 24 at 6:30 PM ET through Sep 25 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 388 unique markets across 42 new events, plus 4,721 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 28, 2026?: 4.9% or above, 4.92% or above, 4.94% or above all at bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Student list margin of victory in Serbia?: Student list, ≥20% bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Student list, ≥15% bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, Student list, ≥10% bid 9¢ / ask 16¢
SNS-led list margin of victory in Serbia?: SNS-led list, ≥5% bid 51¢ / ask 52¢, SNS-led list, ≥25% bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, SNS-led list, ≥20% bid 10¢ / ask 11¢
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4): October 3 bid 10¢ / ask 11¢, October 2 bid 16¢ / ask 17¢, October 1 bid 14¢ / ask 19¢
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4): Above 100 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above 10 bid 94¢ / ask 97¢, Above 75 bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 26, 2026?: Below 38.5%, 39.1%, 39.0% all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $6.500 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above $6.495 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above $6.490 bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- EV commodity prices on Sep 25, 2026
- Total Fed dissents in 2026
- Total Fed dissents in 2027
- Top Open Source AI this week
- Top Text to Image AI this week
- Top Text to Speech AI this week
- Top Text to Video AI this week
- Chicago Board of Education President winner?
- Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/25-10/2)?
- SNS-led list margin of victory in Serbia?
- Student list margin of victory in Serbia?
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
- People's Sexiest Man Alive for 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 26, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 26, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 26, 2026
- YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global
- YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 28, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 28, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 28, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 28, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 28, 2026?
- Gemini App Downloads in September
- Will Gen Digital acquire GoDaddy this year?
- Generic congressional ballot on Sep 26, 2026?
- How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/28-10/4)
- How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (9/27-10/3)
- How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (9/26-10/2)
- Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4)
- Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)
- Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/28 - 10/4)
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/28 - 10/4)
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 26, 2026?
- Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 2, 2026?
- Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (9/27 - 10/3)
- Will Trump visit China?
- Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/25-10/2)
All New Events
🔬 Science and Technology — 4 events, 51 markets
Top Text to Speech AI this week — 17 outcomes — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (17 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| VUI Labs | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| StepFun | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| SpeechifyAI | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| SpaceXAI | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Smallest.ai | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| OpenAI | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Nvidia | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Mistral | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Inworld | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ | |
| Fish Audio | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| ElevenLabs | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Cartesia | — |
| Async | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Amazon | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Alibaba | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
Top Open Source AI this week — 13 outcomes — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (13 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Xiaomi | ask 89¢ (no bids) |
| Thinking Machines | bid 2¢ / ask 59¢ |
| OpenAI | bid 2¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Nvidia | bid 2¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Mistral | bid 2¢ / ask 59¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 2¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Meta | bid 2¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Kimi | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ | |
| GLM | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| DeepSeek | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Cohere | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Alibaba | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
Top Text to Image AI this week — 11 outcomes — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (11 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| SpaceXAI | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Reve | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Recraft | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| OpenAI | — |
| Nvidia | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Microsoft | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Krea | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| HiDream | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ | |
| Bytedance | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Black Forest Labs | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
Top Text to Video AI this week — 10 outcomes — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (10 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Vidu | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| SpaceXAI | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Skywork AI | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| PixVerse | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Lightricks | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| KlingAI | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| — | |
| ByteDance | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Alibaba | — |
📊 Economics — 4 events, 57 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $6.550 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.545 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.540 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.535 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.530 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.525 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.520 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.515 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.510 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.505 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.500 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above $6.495 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above $6.490 | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above $6.485 | bid 25¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above $6.480 | bid 48¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Above $6.475 | bid 69¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above $6.470 | bid 84¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above $6.465 | bid 93¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above $6.460 | bid 93¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above $6.455 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.450 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
EV commodity prices on Sep 25, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Sep 24, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1305.40 | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1295.40 | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1285.40 | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1275.40 | ask 13¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1265.40 | ask 14¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1255.40 | ask 11¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1245.40 | ask 9¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1235.40 | bid 1¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Above 1225.40 | bid 87¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1215.40 | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1205.40 | bid 67¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1195.40 | bid 89¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1185.40 | bid 89¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1175.40 | bid 86¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1165.40 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Total Fed dissents in 2027 — 14 brackets — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 12:13 PM ET
View market strikes (14 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 13+ | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Exactly 9 | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Exactly 8 | bid 3¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Exactly 7 | bid 4¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Exactly 6 | bid 4¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Exactly 5 | bid 3¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Exactly 4 | bid 2¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Exactly 3 | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Exactly 2 | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Exactly 12 | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Exactly 11 | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Exactly 10 | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Exactly 1 | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Exactly 0 | bid 12¢ / ask 22¢ |
Total Fed dissents in 2026 — 7 brackets — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 13+ | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Exactly 9 | bid 21¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Exactly 8 | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Exactly 7 | bid 26¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Exactly 12 | bid 5¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Exactly 11 | bid 6¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Exactly 10 | bid 12¢ / ask 15¢ |
🗳️ Elections — 5 events, 18 markets
SNS-led list margin of victory in Serbia? — 5 outcomes — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| SNS-led list, ≥5% | bid 51¢ / ask 52¢ |
| SNS-led list, ≥25% | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| SNS-led list, ≥20% | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| SNS-led list, ≥15% | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
| SNS-led list, ≥10% | bid 31¢ / ask 32¢ |
Chicago Board of Education President winner? — 4 outcomes — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Victor Henderson | ask 92¢ (no bids) |
| Sendhil Revuluri | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Jessica Biggs | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Hilario Dominguez | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
Student list margin of victory in Serbia? — 4 outcomes — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Student list, ≥5% | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Student list, ≥20% | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Student list, ≥15% | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Student list, ≥10% | bid 9¢ / ask 16¢ |
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK? — 4 outcomes — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 12:29 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Al Carns | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Zia Yusuf | bid 1¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Darren Jones | ask 92¢ (no bids) |
| Jess Phillips | bid 1¢ / ask 78¢ |
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/25-10/2)?: Above 8.3% (bid 47¢ / ask 57¢) — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 12:10 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 6 events, 76 markets
YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Пешта | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Training Season | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Sebebi Yar (Live) | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| SaWaDiKa | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Parvati | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
| Mallepoola Pallaki | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | bid 7¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Irumudi Kattu | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Hootie Frutti | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Golden | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 8¢ / ask 87¢ |
| BbY WOW | ask 93¢ (no bids) |
| Barsaat | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| BACKROOMS | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 26, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu) | bid 9¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | bid 4¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Training Season (Live) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Parvati | bid 7¢ / ask 49¢ |
| KALYANI (Remix) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Golden | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| GHOSTFACE KILLAH (Official Video) | Sidhu Moose Wala | Mxrci | Navkaran Brar | bid 3¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Endhayya Saami | Ranabaali | Full Song | Vijay Deverakonda, Rashmika | Rahul Sankrityan | Ajay–Atul | bid 6¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Dai Dai | bid 14¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Casa Tupka Anthemo | @YoYoHoneySingh feat. Priyanshi | Full Video | bid 18¢ / ask 83¢ |
| BbY WOW | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Basinga Balaalu | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Barsaat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Afsaana Banaaya Aapne (From "Gunmaaster G9”) | bid 3¢ / ask 53¢ |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 26, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Training Season (Live) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Parvati | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Golden | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| GHOSTFACE KILLAH (Official Video) | Sidhu Moose Wala | Mxrci | Navkaran Brar | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Endhayya Saami | Ranabaali | Full Song | Vijay Deverakonda, Rashmika | Rahul Sankrityan | Ajay–Atul | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 18¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Casa Tupka Anthemo | @YoYoHoneySingh feat. Priyanshi | Full Video | bid 8¢ / ask 79¢ |
| BbY WOW | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Basinga Balaalu | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Barsaat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Afsaana Banaaya Aapne (From "Gunmaaster G9”) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| WTF GOIN (feat. 21 Savage) | ask 70¢ (no bids) |
| What You Need | ask 58¢ (no bids) |
| Sunflower | ask 93¢ (no bids) |
| SaWaDiKa | ask 78¢ (no bids) |
| Pink Blush | ask 78¢ (no bids) |
| misery. | ask 73¢ (no bids) |
| Joseph | ask 50¢ (no bids) |
| Janice STFU | ask 77¢ (no bids) |
| Hootie Frutti | bid 3¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Golden | ask 71¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 8¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Choosin' Texas | bid 18¢ / ask 75¢ |
| BbY WOW | bid 3¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Animal | ask 67¢ (no bids) |
| AH HA | ask 74¢ (no bids) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 26, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| WTF GOIN | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| WE ON (Official Video) | bid 3¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Todo Lo Fue | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Sunflower | bid 3¢ / ask 68¢ |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Joseph | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| Janice STFU | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Golden | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| DRAKE - QUEBEC | bid 14¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Dai Dai | bid 13¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Choosin' Texas | bid 14¢ / ask 84¢ |
| BloodHound Q50 - My Girl (Official Music Video) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| BbY WOW | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| AH HA | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
People's Sexiest Man Alive for 2026: Jensen Ackles (ask 82¢ (no bids)) — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 4:13 PM ET
💹 Financials — 8 events, 99 markets
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 28, 2026? — 25 brackets — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.34% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 5.32% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 5.3% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| 5.28% or above | ask 84¢ (no bids) |
| 5.26% or above | bid 8¢ / ask 85¢ |
| 5.24% or above | bid 13¢ / ask 86¢ |
| 5.22% or above | bid 18¢ / ask 88¢ |
| 5.2% or above | bid 29¢ / ask 86¢ |
| 5.18% or above | bid 17¢ / ask 91¢ |
| 5.16% or above | bid 12¢ / ask 89¢ |
| 5.14% or above | bid 32¢ / ask 85¢ |
| 5.12% or above | bid 41¢ / ask 90¢ |
| 5.1% or above | bid 33¢ / ask 95¢ |
| 5.08% or above | bid 50¢ / ask 92¢ |
| 5.06% or above | bid 50¢ / ask 93¢ |
| 5.04% or above | bid 23¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 5.02% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.98% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.96% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.94% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.92% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.9% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.88% or above | bid 71¢ (no asks) |
| 4.86% or above | bid 91¢ (no asks) |
30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 28, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.59% or above | bid 3¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 5.57% or above | bid 7¢ / ask 18¢ |
| 5.55% or above | bid 11¢ / ask 23¢ |
| 5.53% or above | bid 16¢ / ask 29¢ |
| 5.51% or above | bid 29¢ / ask 45¢ |
| 5.49% or above | bid 43¢ / ask 61¢ |
| 5.47% or above | bid 56¢ / ask 75¢ |
| 5.45% or above | bid 70¢ / ask 86¢ |
| 5.43% or above | bid 83¢ / ask 92¢ |
| 5.41% or above | bid 87¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.39% or above | bid 87¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.37% or above | bid 95¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.35% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.33% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.31% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 28, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.24% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 5.22% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 5.2% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 5.18% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 5.16% or above | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| 5.14% or above | bid 10¢ / ask 19¢ |
| 5.12% or above | bid 16¢ / ask 27¢ |
| 5.1% or above | bid 21¢ / ask 38¢ |
| 5.08% or above | bid 32¢ / ask 48¢ |
| 5.06% or above | bid 44¢ / ask 60¢ |
| 5.04% or above | bid 52¢ / ask 71¢ |
| 5.02% or above | bid 68¢ / ask 80¢ |
| 5% or above | bid 72¢ / ask 89¢ |
| 4.98% or above | bid 79¢ / ask 92¢ |
| 4.96% or above | bid 83¢ / ask 94¢ |
5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 28, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.19% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 5.17% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 5.15% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 5.13% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 5.11% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 5.09% or above | bid 4¢ / ask 9¢ |
| 5.07% or above | bid 9¢ / ask 16¢ |
| 5.05% or above | bid 11¢ / ask 17¢ |
| 5.03% or above | bid 16¢ / ask 21¢ |
| 5.01% or above | bid 16¢ / ask 36¢ |
| 4.99% or above | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| 4.97% or above | bid 42¢ / ask 61¢ |
| 4.95% or above | bid 55¢ / ask 74¢ |
| 4.93% or above | bid 67¢ / ask 84¢ |
| 4.91% or above | bid 76¢ / ask 91¢ |
2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 28, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.99% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 4.97% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 4.95% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 4.93% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| 4.91% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 4.89% or above | bid 7¢ / ask 15¢ |
| 4.87% or above | bid 13¢ / ask 22¢ |
| 4.85% or above | bid 24¢ / ask 35¢ |
| 4.83% or above | bid 40¢ / ask 58¢ |
| 4.81% or above | bid 63¢ / ask 81¢ |
| 4.79% or above | bid 72¢ / ask 88¢ |
| 4.77% or above | bid 84¢ / ask 93¢ |
| 4.75% or above | bid 88¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4.73% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4.71% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 25, 2026 at 12:21 PM ET
Gemini App Downloads in September — 3 brackets — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 12:01 AM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 110 | bid 2¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 90 | bid 6¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Above 70 | bid 49¢ / ask 87¢ |
Will Gen Digital acquire GoDaddy this year?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 26¢ / ask 34¢) — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 12:59 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 15 events, 87 markets
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4) — 11 brackets — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 12:11 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 75 | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 50 | bid 3¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 45 | bid 7¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 40 | bid 12¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Above 35 | bid 13¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 30 | bid 30¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Above 25 | bid 43¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Above 20 | bid 79¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 92¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 100 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 94¢ / ask 97¢ |
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 26, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 38.5% | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 39.1% | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 39.0% | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 38.9% | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 38.8% | bid 81¢ / ask 82¢ |
| 38.7% | bid 9¢ / ask 11¢ |
| 38.6% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 38.5% | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 39.1% | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
Generic congressional ballot on Sep 26, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 8.0% | bid 3¢ / ask 11¢ |
| 8.6% | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| 8.5% | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| 8.4% | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| 8.3% | bid 7¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 8.2% | bid 77¢ / ask 80¢ |
| 8.1% | bid 5¢ / ask 13¢ |
| 8.0% | bid 2¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Above 8.6% | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/28-10/4) — 8 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 25, 2026 at 12:10 PM ET
Tracking: 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, 0
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 2, 2026? — 7 outcomes — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 12:11 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Troy Jackson | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Sherrod Brown | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Mary Peltola | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
| James Talarico | bid 75¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Jon Ossoff | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Angie Nixon | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Abdul El-Sayed | bid 10¢ / ask 19¢ |
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4) — 7 outcomes — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 12:11 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| September 30 | bid 15¢ / ask 21¢ |
| September 29 | bid 14¢ / ask 22¢ |
| September 28 | bid 12¢ / ask 18¢ |
| October 4 | bid 13¢ / ask 19¢ |
| October 3 | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| October 2 | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
| October 1 | bid 14¢ / ask 19¢ |
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (9/26-10/2) — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 25, 2026 at 12:11 PM ET
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4) — 6 brackets — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 12:11 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 8 | bid 29¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Above 6 | bid 75¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 4 | bid 91¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 14 | bid 6¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 12 | bid 8¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 14¢ / ask 18¢ |
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/28 - 10/4) — 5 brackets — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 12:11 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 300 | bid 29¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above 290 | bid 45¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above 280 | bid 56¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 270 | bid 69¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 260 | bid 78¢ / ask 96¢ |
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/28 - 10/4) — 5 brackets — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 12:11 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 275 | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 250 | bid 5¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Above 225 | bid 18¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Above 200 | bid 42¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 175 | bid 81¢ / ask 95¢ |
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4) — 5 brackets — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 12:11 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 250 | bid 9¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 225 | bid 10¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 200 | bid 33¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above 175 | bid 59¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Above 150 | bid 69¢ / ask 82¢ |
How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (9/27-10/3) — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 25, 2026 at 12:12 PM ET
Will Trump visit China? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 1:41 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 81¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 80¢ / ask 90¢ |
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (9/27 - 10/3): Above 0 — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 12:10 PM ET
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/25-10/2): Above 37.7% (bid 45¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 12:10 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
4,721 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,752 | 18 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +15 more |
| 📊 Economics | 555 | 30 | California gas price, Michigan gas price, Georgia gas price, +27 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 366 | 54 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 32 | 4 | Will Trump do anything today?, Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?, President RCP approval rating this week, +1 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 16 | 2 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, WILL ALBUM DEBUT AT #1 |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.