📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 11 at 6:30 PM ET through Sep 12 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 126 unique markets across 13 new events, plus 803 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 13, 2026?: 39.3% bid 49¢ / ask 50¢, Below 39.0% bid 7¢ / ask 9¢, 39.0% bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Brazil inflation rate in September: Above 3.60% bid 89¢ / ask 99¢, Above 3.70% bid 87¢ / ask 99¢, Above 3.80% bid 85¢ / ask 99¢
Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $6.150 bid 78¢ / ask 99¢, Above $6.155 bid 72¢ / ask 99¢, Above $6.160 bid 70¢ / ask 99¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 13, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 13, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 13, 2026
- When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?
- When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
- When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?
- When will P vs NP be resolved?
- When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
- When will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
All New Events
🏛️ Politics — 1 event, 9 markets
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 13, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 39.0% | bid 7¢ / ask 9¢ |
| 39.6% | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 39.5% | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 39.4% | bid 10¢ / ask 14¢ |
| 39.3% | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| 39.2% | bid 21¢ / ask 27¢ |
| 39.1% | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 39.0% | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 39.6% | bid 4¢ / ask 8¢ |
📊 Economics — 2 events, 32 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Sep 12, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $6.210 | bid 25¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.205 | bid 21¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.200 | bid 23¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.195 | bid 27¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.190 | bid 28¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.185 | bid 38¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.180 | bid 40¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.175 | bid 44¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.170 | bid 50¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.165 | bid 52¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.160 | bid 70¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.155 | bid 72¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.150 | bid 78¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.145 | bid 85¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.140 | bid 91¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.135 | bid 87¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.130 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.125 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.120 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.115 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.110 | bid 90¢ (no asks) |
Brazil inflation rate in September — 11 brackets — listed Sep 12, 2026 at 4:14 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 4.60% | bid 3¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Above 4.50% | bid 12¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Above 4.40% | bid 23¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Above 4.30% | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| Above 4.20% | bid 50¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 4.10% | bid 62¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Above 4.00% | bid 72¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above 3.90% | bid 80¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 3.80% | bid 85¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 3.70% | bid 87¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 3.60% | bid 89¢ / ask 99¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 45 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 13, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu), Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), 소연 (SOYEON) '퇴사할게여 (Narr. 기안84)' Official Music Video, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Parvati, Magale - Music Video | Baththa | Vijay Sethupathi | @SaiAbhyankkar | Balaji Tharaneetharan, KALYANI (Remix), IU 'Dear my crazy soulmate' MV, Golden, Dil | Coke Studio Nu.WAV | Afusic x Zoha Waseem x Ali Soomro, Dai Dai, Chhathi Maiya - The VVAAN | Sidharth Malhotra & Tamannaah | Vishal Mishra | Kaushal K | Chinni P, Basinga Balaalu, Barbaadi
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 13, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu), Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), 소연 (SOYEON) '퇴사할게여 (Narr. 기안84)' Official Music Video, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Parvati, Magale - Music Video | Baththa | Vijay Sethupathi | @SaiAbhyankkar | Balaji Tharaneetharan, KALYANI (Remix), IU 'Dear my crazy soulmate' MV, Golden, Dil | Coke Studio Nu.WAV | Afusic x Zoha Waseem x Ali Soomro, Dai Dai, Chhathi Maiya - The VVAAN | Sidharth Malhotra & Tamannaah | Vishal Mishra | Kaushal K | Chinni P, Basinga Balaalu, Barbaadi
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 13, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: WTF GOIN, Todo Lo Fue, Sunflower, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), LE SSERAFIM (르세라핌) 'Made My Night' OFFICIAL MV with OVERWATCH, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, Janice STFU, Golden, Dead Fresh, Dai Dai, crank 2 (Official Video), Choosin' Texas, BbY WOW, AH HA
🔬 Science and Technology — 7 events, 40 markets
When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem? — 6 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 12, 2026 at 5:54 PM ET
Tracking: Before 2028, Before Jul 1, 2027, Before 2027, Before Oct 1, 2026, Before Nov 1, 2026, Before Dec 1, 2026
When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved? — 6 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 12, 2026 at 5:51 PM ET
Tracking: Before 2032, Before 2031, Before 2030, Before 2029, Before 2028, Before 2027
When will P vs NP be resolved? — 6 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 12, 2026 at 5:49 PM ET
Tracking: Before 2040, Before 2035, Before 2030, Before 2029, Before 2028, Before 2027
When will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved? — 6 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 12, 2026 at 5:48 PM ET
Tracking: Before 2032, Before 2031, Before 2030, Before 2029, Before 2028, Before 2027
When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved? — 6 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 12, 2026 at 5:46 PM ET
Tracking: Before 2032, Before 2031, Before 2030, Before 2029, Before 2028, Before 2027
Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 12, 2026 at 5:52 PM ET
Tracking: Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem, Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP Problem, Hodge Conjecture, Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture
When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 12, 2026 at 5:45 PM ET
Tracking: Before 2040, Before 2035, Before 2030, Before 2029, Before 2028
🔄 Recurring Markets
803 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 📊 Economics | 397 | 26 | Pennsylvania gas price, Massachusetts gas price, Tennessee gas price, +23 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 360 | 54 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more |
| 💹 Financials | 31 | 2 | S&P 500 above/below, B200 Monthly |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 15 | 1 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.