Kalshi Markets: Trump's Approval, Diesel Prices, Airlines

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 25 at 6:30 PM ET through Sep 26 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 178 unique markets across 92 new events, plus 881 recurring bracket markets.

🗳️ Elections

1 event

1 market

📊 Economics

1 event

21 markets

🏢 Companies

2 events

6 markets

🏛️ Politics

3 events

21 markets

🎬 Entertainment

3 events

45 markets

💹 Financials

82 events

84 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 27, 2026?: Below 38.5% bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, 39.1% bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 39.0% bid 4¢ / ask 5¢

Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $6.490 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above $6.485 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above $6.480 bid 4¢ / ask 5¢

United Airlines passengers flown in 2026: Above 196 million bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Above 194 million bid 7¢ / ask 15¢, Above 192 million bid 13¢ / ask 35¢

When will Trump, Xi and Putin meet together?: Before Jan 1, 2028 bid 50¢ / ask 51¢, Before Jul 1, 2027 bid 39¢ / ask 40¢, Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 35¢ / ask 36¢

Generic congressional ballot on Sep 27, 2026?: Below 7.9% bid 2¢ / ask 30¢, 8.2% bid 17¢ / ask 65¢, Above 8.5% bid 2¢ / ask 50¢

Will the Republican Senate margin be lower in Nebraska than Kansas?: Yes — bid 23¢ / ask 52¢

Grubhub App Downloads in September: Above 154, Above 150, Above 146 all at ask 33¢ (no bids)

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

📊 Economics

Diesel prices tomorrow

🗳️ Elections

Will the Republican Senate margin be lower in Nebraska than Kansas?

🏢 Companies

🎬 Entertainment

🏛️ Politics

💹 Financials

All New Events

🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 1 market

Will the Republican Senate margin be lower in Nebraska than Kansas?: Yes (bid 23¢ / ask 52¢) — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 8:59 PM ET

📊 Economics — 1 event, 21 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Sep 26, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $6.535	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.530	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.525	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.520	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.515	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.510	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.505	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.500	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.495	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.490	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above $6.485	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above $6.480	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Above $6.475	bid 11¢ / ask 15¢
Above $6.470	bid 29¢ / ask 33¢
Above $6.465	bid 53¢ / ask 57¢
Above $6.460	bid 75¢ / ask 78¢
Above $6.455	bid 90¢ / ask 92¢
Above $6.450	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above $6.445	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above $6.440	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above $6.435	bid 99¢ (no asks)

🏢 Companies — 2 events, 6 markets

United Airlines passengers flown in 2026 — 3 brackets — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 192 million	bid 13¢ / ask 35¢
Above 194 million	bid 7¢ / ask 15¢
Above 196 million	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢

Chipotle headcount in fiscal 2026 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 25, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

🏛️ Politics — 3 events, 21 markets

Generic congressional ballot on Sep 27, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 7.9%	bid 2¢ / ask 30¢
8.5%	bid 2¢ / ask 65¢
8.4%	bid 2¢ / ask 65¢
8.3%	bid 6¢ / ask 65¢
8.2%	bid 17¢ / ask 65¢
8.1%	bid 5¢ / ask 65¢
8.0%	bid 2¢ / ask 65¢
7.9%	bid 2¢ / ask 65¢
Above 8.5%	bid 2¢ / ask 50¢

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 27, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 38.5%	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
39.1%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
39.0%	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
38.9%	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
38.8%	bid 10¢ / ask 11¢
38.7%	bid 58¢ / ask 59¢
38.6%	bid 15¢ / ask 19¢
38.5%	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Above 39.1%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

When will Trump, Xi and Putin meet together? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 6:46 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 50¢ / ask 51¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 39¢ / ask 40¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 35¢ / ask 36¢

🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 45 markets

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 27, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 26, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Shararat	ask 95¢ (no bids)
SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Parvati	ask 95¢ (no bids)
KALYANI (Remix)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
GHOSTFACE KILLAH (Official Video) \| Sidhu Moose Wala \| Mxrci \| Navkaran Brar	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Endhayya Saami \| Ranabaali \| Full Song \| Vijay Deverakonda, Rashmika \| Rahul Sankrityan \| Ajay–Atul	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Dai Dai	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Casa Tupka Anthemo \| @YoYoHoneySingh feat. Priyanshi \| Full Video	ask 95¢ (no bids)
BbY WOW	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Basinga Balaalu	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Barsaat	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Afsaana Banaaya Aapne (From "Gunmaaster G9”)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Aaya Sher	ask 95¢ (no bids)

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 27, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 26, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Shararat	ask 95¢ (no bids)
SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Parvati	ask 95¢ (no bids)
KALYANI (Remix)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
GHOSTFACE KILLAH (Official Video) \| Sidhu Moose Wala \| Mxrci \| Navkaran Brar	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Endhayya Saami \| Ranabaali \| Full Song \| Vijay Deverakonda, Rashmika \| Rahul Sankrityan \| Ajay–Atul	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Dai Dai	ask 73¢ (no bids)
Casa Tupka Anthemo \| @YoYoHoneySingh feat. Priyanshi \| Full Video	ask 95¢ (no bids)
BbY WOW	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Basinga Balaalu	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Barsaat	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Afsaana Banaaya Aapne (From "Gunmaaster G9”)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Aaya Sher	ask 95¢ (no bids)

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 27, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 26, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
WTF GOIN	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Todo Lo Fue	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Sunflower	ask 95¢ (no bids)
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV	ask 95¢ (no bids)
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Joseph	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Janice STFU	ask 95¢ (no bids)
HOTEL LOBBY (Unc & Phew) (- A COLORS SHOW)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Golden	ask 95¢ (no bids)
DRAKE - QUEBEC	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Dai Dai	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Choosin' Texas	ask 95¢ (no bids)
BloodHound Q50 - My Girl (Official Music Video)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
BbY WOW	ask 95¢ (no bids)
AH HA	ask 95¢ (no bids)

💹 Financials — 82 events, 84 markets

Grubhub App Downloads in September — 3 brackets — listed Sep 26, 2026 at 1:01 AM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 146	ask 33¢ (no bids)
Above 150	ask 33¢ (no bids)
Above 154	ask 33¢ (no bids)

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 25, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

881 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
📊 Economics	500	30	Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand, Nevada gas price, Wisconsin gas price, +27 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	366	54	Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more
🎬 Entertainment	15	1	DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: Trump's RCP Approval, Diesel Prices, United Airlines — Past 24 Hours (as of 6:30:18 PM ET, Sep 26)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 1 market

📊 Economics — 1 event, 21 markets

🏢 Companies — 2 events, 6 markets

🏛️ Politics — 3 events, 21 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 45 markets

💹 Financials — 82 events, 84 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

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