📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 12 at 6:30 PM ET through Sep 13 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 181 unique markets across 34 new events, plus 723 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 14, 2026?: Below 38.9% bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, 39.5% bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, 39.4% bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $6.200 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above $6.205 bid 87¢ / ask 98¢, Above $6.210 bid 83¢ / ask 98¢
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 14, 2026: Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu) bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video) bid 8¢ / ask 15¢, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip bid 1¢ / ask 11¢
Open Source market share on Sep 14th: Above 87.5% bid 5¢ / ask 8¢, Above 85% bid 6¢ / ask 10¢, Above 82.5% bid 9¢ / ask 16¢
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 14, 2026: SaWaDiKa bid 1¢ / ask 4¢, Jhené Aiko - So Good feat. Kendrick Lamar (Official Audio) bid 7¢ / ask 12¢, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video) bid 2¢ / ask 18¢
Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?: Yes — bid 14¢ / ask 18¢
Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?: Yes — bid 14¢ / ask 18¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Diesel prices this week
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 14, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 14, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 14, 2026
- New Scottish referendum
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 14, 2026?
- Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
- Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
- Will Wales announce an independence referendum?
- Alabama Attorney General winner?
- Alabama Lieutenant Governor winner?
- Alabama Secretary of State winner?
- Arkansas Lieutenant Governor winner?
- Arkansas Secretary of State winner?
- California Secretary of State winner?
- Connecticut Secretary of State winner?
- Idaho Lieutenant Governor winner?
- Idaho Secretary of State winner?
- Illinois Secretary of State winner?
- Kansas Secretary of State winner?
- Massachusetts Secretary of State winner?
- Nebraska Secretary of State winner?
- New Mexico Secretary of State winner?
- North Dakota Secretary of State winner?
- Oklahoma Lieutenant Governor winner?
- Rhode Island Lieutenant Governor winner?
- South Carolina Secretary of State winner?
- South Dakota Secretary of State winner?
- Vermont Secretary of State winner?
- Wyoming Secretary of State winner?
All New Events
🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 9 markets
Open Source market share on Sep 14th — 9 brackets — listed Sep 13, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 87.5% | bid 5¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 85% | bid 6¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 82.5% | bid 9¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 80% | bid 9¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Above 77.5% | bid 12¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Above 75% | bid 19¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above 72.5% | bid 33¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Above 70% | bid 49¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 67.5% | bid 58¢ / ask 84¢ |
💹 Financials — 1 event, 10 markets
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Sep 12, 2026 at 8:50 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.11% or above | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| 5.13% or above | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| 5.15% or above | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| 5.17% or above | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| 5.19% or above | — |
| 5.21% or above | — |
| 5.23% or above | — |
| 5.25% or above | — |
| 5.27% or above | — |
| 5.29% or above | — |
🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 45 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 14, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu) | bid 7¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | bid 6¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Training Season (Live) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Shararat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video) | bid 6¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Parvati | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| LE SSERAFIM (르세라핌) 'Made My Night' OFFICIAL MV with OVERWATCH | bid 1¢ / ask 18¢ |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | bid 11¢ / ask 36¢ |
| CRUSH - BENİM OLSANA | Official Music Video | bid 18¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Chhathi Maiya - The VVAAN | Sidharth Malhotra & Tamannaah | Vishal Mishra | Kaushal K | Chinni P | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| BbY WOW | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Basinga Balaalu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 14, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu) | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Training Season (Live) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Shararat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video) | bid 8¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Parvati | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| LE SSERAFIM (르세라핌) 'Made My Night' OFFICIAL MV with OVERWATCH | bid 3¢ / ask 58¢ |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | ask 25¢ (no bids) |
| Golden | ask 25¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 29¢ / ask 81¢ |
| CRUSH - BENİM OLSANA | Official Music Video | bid 7¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Chhathi Maiya - The VVAAN | Sidharth Malhotra & Tamannaah | Vishal Mishra | Kaushal K | Chinni P | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| BbY WOW | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Basinga Balaalu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 14, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| WTF GOIN | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Todo Lo Fue | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sunflower | bid 12¢ / ask 51¢ |
| SaWaDiKa | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video) | bid 2¢ / ask 18¢ |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jhené Aiko - So Good feat. Kendrick Lamar (Official Audio) | bid 7¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dead Fresh | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | bid 12¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Choosin' Texas | bid 20¢ / ask 64¢ |
| BbY WOW | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Backdoor | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| AH HA | last 1¢ (book empty) |
📊 Economics — 3 events, 53 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 31 brackets (showing 25) — listed Sep 13, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $6.255 | bid 2¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above $6.250 | bid 12¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above $6.245 | bid 13¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Above $6.240 | bid 13¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Above $6.235 | bid 36¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above $6.230 | bid 55¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Above $6.225 | bid 54¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $6.220 | bid 74¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $6.215 | bid 79¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $6.210 | bid 83¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $6.205 | bid 87¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $6.200 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.195 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.190 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.185 | bid 88¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.180 | bid 95¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.175 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.170 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.165 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.160 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.155 | bid 96¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.260 | — |
| Above $6.265 | — |
| Above $6.270 | — |
| Above $6.275 | — |
+ 6 more
Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026? — 12 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 13, 2026 at 4:01 PM ET
Tracking: United Kingdom, UAE, Taiwan, Saudi Arabia, Norway, South Korea, Japan, India, France, Mainland China, Canada, Brazil
Diesel prices this week — 10 brackets — listed Sep 13, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $6.52 | last 7¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.54 | — |
| Above $6.56 | — |
| Above $6.58 | — |
| Above $6.60 | — |
| Above $6.62 | last 5¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.64 | — |
| Above $6.66 | last 6¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.68 | — |
| Above $6.70 | — |
🏛️ Politics — 5 events, 15 markets
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 14, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 38.9% | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 39.5% | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 39.4% | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| 39.3% | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
| 39.2% | bid 34¢ / ask 40¢ |
| 39.1% | bid 21¢ / ask 27¢ |
| 39.0% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 38.9% | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 39.5% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
New Scottish referendum — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 13, 2026 at 1:14 PM ET
Tracking: Before 2028, Before 2029, Before 2030
Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?: Yes (bid 14¢ / ask 18¢) — listed Sep 13, 2026 at 2:55 PM ET
Will Wales announce an independence referendum?: Yes (bid 16¢ / ask 24¢) — listed Sep 13, 2026 at 2:55 PM ET
Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?: Yes (bid 14¢ / ask 18¢) — listed Sep 13, 2026 at 2:54 PM ET
🗳️ Elections — 21 events, 49 markets
Nebraska Secretary of State winner? — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 12, 2026 at 8:13 PM ET
Tracking: Sarah J. Slattery, Scott Petersen, Paul Rumbaugh, Bob Krist
Arkansas Secretary of State winner? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 12, 2026 at 8:13 PM ET
Tracking: Michael Pakko, Kim Hammer, Kelly Grappe
Kansas Secretary of State winner? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 12, 2026 at 8:13 PM ET
Tracking: Scott Morgan, Pat Proctor, Jennifer Day
South Dakota Secretary of State winner? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 12, 2026 at 8:13 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Tamara J. Lesnar | — |
| Terrence Davis | — |
| Heather Baxter | bid 75¢ / ask 99¢ |
Vermont Secretary of State winner? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 12, 2026 at 8:12 PM ET
Tracking: Sarah Copeland Hanzas, Rachel Shaw, H. Brooke Paige
Wyoming Secretary of State winner? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 12, 2026 at 8:12 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Tamara Trujillo | — |
| Robert Short | bid 75¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Bryan McCarty | — |
Alabama Secretary of State winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 12, 2026 at 8:13 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Wayne Rogers | — |
| Caroleene Dobson | bid 80¢ / ask 99¢ |
California Secretary of State winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 12, 2026 at 8:13 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Shirley N. Weber | bid 75¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Donald P. (Don) Wagner | — |
Connecticut Secretary of State winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 12, 2026 at 8:13 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Stephanie Thomas | bid 75¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Peter Lumaj | — |
Idaho Secretary of State winner? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 12, 2026 at 8:13 PM ET
Tracking: Shawn Keenan, Phil McGrane
Illinois Secretary of State winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 12, 2026 at 8:13 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Diane M. Harris | — |
| Alexi Giannoulias | bid 75¢ / ask 99¢ |
Massachusetts Secretary of State winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 12, 2026 at 8:13 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| William Francis Galvin | bid 75¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Anne R. Brensley | — |
New Mexico Secretary of State winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 12, 2026 at 8:13 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Ramona L. Goolsby | — |
| Amanda López Askin | bid 75¢ / ask 99¢ |
North Dakota Secretary of State winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 12, 2026 at 8:13 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Ryan Braunberger | — |
| Michael Howe | bid 75¢ / ask 99¢ |
South Carolina Secretary of State winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 12, 2026 at 8:13 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Mark Hammond | bid 75¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Jason Belton | — |
Alabama Lieutenant Governor winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 12, 2026 at 8:12 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Republican party | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Democratic party | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
Arkansas Lieutenant Governor winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 12, 2026 at 8:12 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Republican party | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Libertarian party | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
Idaho Lieutenant Governor winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 12, 2026 at 8:12 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Republican party | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Democratic party | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
Oklahoma Lieutenant Governor winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 12, 2026 at 8:12 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Republican party | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Democratic party | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
Rhode Island Lieutenant Governor winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 12, 2026 at 8:12 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Republican party | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Democratic party | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
Alabama Attorney General winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 12, 2026 at 6:36 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Katherine Robertson | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Jeffrey McLaughlin | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
🔄 Recurring Markets
723 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 360 | 54 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more |
| 📊 Economics | 313 | 19 | Massachusetts gas price, Tennessee gas price, Arizona gas price, +16 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 30 | 6 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Will Album be runner up this week?, Billboard Top 200 #1, +3 more |
| 💹 Financials | 20 | 1 | S&P 500 above/below |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.