📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 19 at 6:30 PM ET through Sep 20 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 99 unique markets across 9 new events, plus 795 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 21, 2026?: Below 39.8% bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, 40.4% bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, 40.3% bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $6.550 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above $6.545 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above $6.540 bid 4¢ / ask 6¢
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 21, 2026: Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu) bid 6¢ / ask 8¢, Dai Dai bid 20¢ / ask 56¢, Maluma & Shakira - AGUA (Official Video) bid 2¢ / ask 39¢
10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?: 6% or above bid 1¢ / ask 7¢, 5.75% or above bid 3¢ / ask 13¢, 5.5% or above bid 11¢ / ask 21¢
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 21, 2026: Parvati bid 1¢ / ask 10¢, new trick bid 4¢ / ask 35¢, Dai Dai bid 51¢ / ask 82¢
Open Source market share on Sep 20th: Above 70% bid 78¢ / ask 94¢, Above 90% bid 2¢ / ask 21¢, Above 75% bid 70¢ / ask 90¢
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 21, 2026: Maluma & Shakira - AGUA (Official Video) bid 3¢ / ask 41¢, Joseph bid 6¢ / ask 52¢, Sunflower bid 7¢ / ask 56¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
All New Events
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 1 market
Which lists will win a Knesset seat?: Reservists–Economic Party — listed Sep 20, 2026 at 5:02 PM ET
🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 9 markets
Open Source market share on Sep 20th — 9 brackets — listed Sep 20, 2026 at 2:24 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 90% | bid 2¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above 87.5% | bid 6¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Above 85% | bid 6¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Above 82.5% | bid 8¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Above 80% | bid 15¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Above 77.5% | bid 57¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 75% | bid 70¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 72.5% | bid 43¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above 70% | bid 78¢ / ask 94¢ |
🏛️ Politics — 1 event, 9 markets
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 21, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 39.8% | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 40.4% | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 40.3% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 40.2% | bid 19¢ / ask 23¢ |
| 40.1% | bid 34¢ / ask 39¢ |
| 40.0% | bid 19¢ / ask 24¢ |
| 39.9% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 39.8% | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 40.4% | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
📊 Economics — 1 event, 21 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Sep 20, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $6.555 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.550 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above $6.545 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above $6.540 | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above $6.535 | bid 6¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above $6.530 | bid 10¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Above $6.525 | bid 18¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above $6.520 | bid 37¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Above $6.515 | bid 46¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above $6.510 | bid 60¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above $6.505 | bid 73¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Above $6.500 | bid 86¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Above $6.495 | bid 95¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $6.490 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.485 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.480 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.475 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.470 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.465 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.460 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.455 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
💹 Financials — 2 events, 14 markets
2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Sep 20, 2026 at 3:40 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.71% or above | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| 4.73% or above | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| 4.75% or above | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| 4.77% or above | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| 4.79% or above | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| 4.81% or above | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| 4.83% or above | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| 4.85% or above | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| 4.87% or above | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| 4.89% or above | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
10Y US Treasury yield at year-end? — 4 brackets — listed Sep 20, 2026 at 5:29 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.25% or above | bid 27¢ / ask 37¢ |
| 5.5% or above | bid 11¢ / ask 21¢ |
| 5.75% or above | bid 3¢ / ask 13¢ |
| 6% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 45 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 21, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 20, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zid | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu) | bid 6¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | bid 12¢ / ask 56¢ |
| Training Season (Live) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Shararat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Parvati | bid 12¢ / ask 57¢ |
| new trick | bid 10¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Maluma & Shakira - AGUA (Official Video) | bid 2¢ / ask 39¢ |
| KALYANI (Remix) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Jai Jai Ram | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Golden | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 20¢ / ask 56¢ |
| Basinga Balaalu | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Barsaat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 21, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 20, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zid | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Training Season (Live) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Shararat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Parvati | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| new trick | bid 4¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Maluma & Shakira - AGUA (Official Video) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Jai Jai Ram | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Golden | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 51¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Basinga Balaalu | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Barsaat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 21, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 20, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| WTF GOIN | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Sunflower | bid 7¢ / ask 56¢ |
| new trick | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Maluma & Shakira - AGUA (Official Video) | bid 3¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Lord Verity - Master of Humanity (song) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Let’s Get Married | bid 4¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Joseph | bid 6¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Janice STFU | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Golden | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dead Fresh | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 20¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Choosin' Texas | bid 8¢ / ask 64¢ |
| BbY WOW | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Barely Breathing | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| AH HA | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
🔄 Recurring Markets
795 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 📊 Economics | 384 | 23 | Minnesota gas price, Oregon gas price, Maryland gas price, +20 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 365 | 54 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 36 | 5 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Billboard Top 200 #1, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, +2 more |
| 💹 Financials | 10 | 1 | B200 Monthly |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.