Fresh markets just hit Kalshi. Below: the launches with real money to make right now, then the full inventory — culture, politics, the economy. We did the scan so you can spot the trade.
Past 24 hours (Apr 15 at 10:28 AM ET → Apr 16 at 10:28 AM ET): 79 unique markets across 16 new events, plus 5,541 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Will the TX-23 special election be scheduled to a date before the midterms?: In 2026 — YES 23¢ → 24¢ (very tight spread)
Will Newsom endorse in the California Governor's race?: Matt Mahan YES 13¢ → 14¢, Katie Porter YES 13¢ → 14¢, Xavier Becerra YES 13¢ → 21¢ (very tight spread)
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize?: Sam Altman, Dario Amodei all at YES 1¢ → 5¢ (very tight spread)
Oscar for Best Picture?: 1949 / Fatherland — YES 2¢ → 6¢ (very tight spread)
Emmy Award for Comedy Series : Rooster — YES 1¢ → 6¢ (very tight spread)
When will DHS be funded again?: Before May 15, 2026 YES 37¢ → 43¢, Before May 22, 2026 YES 46¢ → 54¢, Before May 8, 2026 YES 26¢ → 34¢ (tight spread)
Who will have a #1 album this year?: Olivia Rodrigo — YES 79¢ → 85¢ (tight spread)
Oscar nominations for Best Actor?: Jeremy Strong — YES 32¢ → 39¢ (tight spread)
📖 New here? How to read this post
On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, "Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?" Each event contains one or more markets, the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like "Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?" at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds ("Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?"), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
All New Events
🏢 Companies — 1 event, 1 market
Zyn US shipment volume in Q1 2026: above 195 million (YES 47¢ → 63¢) — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 11:18 AM ET
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 5 markets
Will Newsom endorse in the California Governor's race? — 5 outcomes — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 6:02 PM ET
Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
Xavier Becerra | YES 13¢ → 21¢ |
Tom Steyer | YES 36¢ → 44¢ |
No one | YES 1¢ → 49¢ |
Matt Mahan | YES 13¢ → 14¢ |
Katie Porter | YES 13¢ → 14¢ |
🏛️ Politics — 2 events, 4 markets
When will DHS be funded again? — 3 outcomes — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 5:14 PM ET
Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
Before May 8, 2026 | YES 26¢ → 34¢ |
Before May 15, 2026 | YES 37¢ → 43¢ |
Before May 22, 2026 | YES 46¢ → 54¢ |
Will the TX-23 special election be scheduled to a date before the midterms?: In 2026 (YES 23¢ → 24¢) — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 6:20 PM ET
📊 Economics — 2 events, 30 markets
China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Apr 16, 2026 at 8:03 AM ET
Truflation EV Commodity Index for April 16, 2026 — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Apr 15, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 10 events, 39 markets
Who will host Vogue’s ‘Live at the Met Gala’ in 2026? — 13 outcomes — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
Quenlin Blackwell | — |
Kendall Jenner | — |
Keke Palmer | — |
Jake Shane | — |
Harry Daniels | — |
Emma Chamberlain | — |
Emily Ratajkowski | — |
Clavicular | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
Chloe Fineman | — |
Cara Delevingne | — |
Amelia Dimoldenberg | — |
Alix Earle | — |
Alex Cooper | — |
Which performances will happen during Coachella 2026 (Weekend 2)? — 11 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Apr 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Tracking: Young Thug, The Strokes, Sombr, Sexyy Red, Sabrina Carpenter, PinkPantheress, KATSEYE, Karol G, Justin Bieber, Foster the People, Central Cee
How many weeks will Dandelion by Ella Langley spend at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026? — 6 brackets — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
at least 6 weeks | YES 27¢ → 39¢ |
at least 5 weeks | YES 36¢ → 48¢ |
at least 4 weeks | YES 48¢ → 58¢ |
at least 3 weeks | YES 58¢ → 72¢ |
at least 2 weeks | YES 86¢ → 95¢ |
at least 1 week | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
Where will Kanye West / Ye perform this year? — 2 outcomes — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 11:46 AM ET
Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
Stade Velodrome | YES 29¢ → 37¢ |
Silesian Stadium | YES 72¢ → 80¢ |
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? — 2 outcomes — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 10:34 AM ET
Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
Dario Amodei | YES 1¢ → 5¢ |
Sam Altman | YES 1¢ → 5¢ |
Who will have a #1 album this year?: Olivia Rodrigo (YES 79¢ → 85¢) — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 11:07 AM ET
Oscar nominations for Best Supporting Actor?: Jeremy Strong (YES 36¢ → 44¢) — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 11:05 AM ET
Emmy Award for Comedy Series : Rooster (YES 1¢ → 6¢) — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 11:02 AM ET
Oscar nominations for Best Actor?: Jeremy Strong (YES 32¢ → 39¢) — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET
Oscar for Best Picture?: 1949 / Fatherland (YES 2¢ → 6¢) — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 10:28 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
5,541 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
💹 Financials | 4950 | 4 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, USD/JPY daily range, +1 more |
🌤️ Climate and Weather | 271 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Lowest Temperature SATX, Low Temperature Atlanta, +39 more |
📊 Economics | 183 | 12 | US gas price up, Italy Inflation Rate YoY Prel, Euro Area Inflation Rate YoY Flash, +9 more |
🎬 Entertainment | 137 | 15 | Weekly US Spotify chart, Weekly US Spotify artist chart, Daily Global Spotify songs, +12 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.