Kalshi Markets: Ulta Spend, Oscar Winner & More

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 23 at 8:30 AM ET through Oct 24 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 279 unique markets across 156 new events, plus 1,562 recurring bracket markets.

🎬 Entertainment

2 events

16 markets

🏛️ Politics

5 events

11 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

5 events

58 markets

🗳️ Elections

6 events

43 markets

💹 Financials

138 events

151 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Ulta Credit Card Spend in October: Above 82 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above 86 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above 90 bid 84¢ / ask 87¢

Will the U.S. release a federal definition of ultra-processed food in 2026?: Before 2027 — bid 25¢ / ask 26¢

Sarawak state election: GPS number of seats?: 81 or more bid 12¢ / ask 13¢, 80 or more bid 29¢ / ask 30¢, 78 or more bid 61¢ / ask 62¢

Oscar Winner: Best Director: Nathan Fielder — bid 22¢ / ask 23¢

Will Louise Lucas resign from the Virginia Senate?: Before Jul 1, 2027 bid 19¢ / ask 21¢, Before Dec 1, 2026 bid 4¢ / ask 6¢, Before Jan 13, 2027 bid 10¢ / ask 16¢

Number of data centers in Pennsylvania in 2026?: Above 235 bid 50¢ / ask 53¢, Above 240 bid 42¢ / ask 46¢, Above 245 bid 39¢ / ask 44¢

Larger margin: Graham or Donalds?: Darline Graham bid 53¢ / ask 59¢, Byron Donalds bid 37¢ / ask 46¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🎬 Entertainment

🏛️ Politics

🔬 Science and Technology

🗳️ Elections

💹 Financials

All New Events

🎬 Entertainment — 2 events, 16 markets

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 25, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 24, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

Tracking: WTF GOIN, Todo Lo Fue, The Aura Farmer, Tate McRae - 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show Performance, Straight Tequila Night (Official Video), Nicole Kidman, ❌Ángel Caído (R.I.P. Santa Fe Klan)❌ 🐀, Megan Thee Stallion - Thin Ice - Tina Tuesday Freestyle, Housewife (Official Video), expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video), Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 8: hLOheGDwD_0], Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 5: nUsrYVxrDwI], BbY WOW, AH HA

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Oscar Winner: Best Director: Nathan Fielder (bid 22¢ / ask 23¢) — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 10:06 AM ET

🏛️ Politics — 5 events, 11 markets

Will Louise Lucas resign from the Virginia Senate? — 4 outcomes — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 12:25 PM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 19¢ / ask 21¢
Before Jan 13, 2027	bid 10¢ / ask 16¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 4¢ / ask 6¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 30¢ / ask 37¢

When will CISA issue a new Emergency Directive? — 4 outcomes — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 10:44 AM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 75¢ / ask 83¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 37¢ / ask 43¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 55¢ / ask 63¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 15¢ / ask 23¢

Will the U.S. release a federal definition of ultra-processed food in 2026?: Before 2027 (bid 25¢ / ask 26¢) — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 1:04 PM ET

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?: Corey Lewandowski (bid 21¢ / ask 59¢) — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 11:27 AM ET

Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?: Feridun Hadi Sinirlioğlu (ask 20¢ (no bids)) — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 10:35 AM ET

🔬 Science and Technology — 5 events, 58 markets

Top Text to Speech AI this week — 17 outcomes — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET

View market options (17 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
VUI Labs	bid 1¢ / ask 34¢
StepFun	bid 2¢ / ask 34¢
SpeechifyAI	bid 1¢ / ask 45¢
SpaceXAI	bid 1¢ / ask 45¢
Smallest.ai	bid 1¢ / ask 45¢
OpenAI	bid 1¢ / ask 45¢
Nvidia	bid 1¢ / ask 45¢
Mistral	bid 1¢ / ask 45¢
MiniMax	bid 1¢ / ask 45¢
Inworld	bid 1¢ / ask 45¢
Google	bid 1¢ / ask 45¢
Fish Audio	bid 1¢ / ask 45¢
ElevenLabs	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Cartesia	bid 1¢ / ask 45¢
Async	bid 1¢ / ask 45¢
Amazon	bid 1¢ / ask 45¢
Alibaba	—

Top Open Source AI this week — 13 outcomes — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET

View market options (13 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Xiaomi	—
Thinking Machines	bid 1¢ / ask 50¢
OpenAI	bid 1¢ / ask 50¢
Nvidia	bid 1¢ / ask 56¢
Mistral	bid 1¢ / ask 56¢
MiniMax	bid 1¢ / ask 56¢
Meta	bid 1¢ / ask 56¢
Kimi	—
Google	bid 1¢ / ask 56¢
GLM	—
DeepSeek	—
Cohere	bid 1¢ / ask 56¢
Alibaba	—

Top Text to Image AI this week — 11 outcomes — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET

View market options (11 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
SpaceXAI	bid 1¢ / ask 56¢
Reve	bid 1¢ / ask 56¢
Recraft	bid 1¢ / ask 56¢
OpenAI	—
Nvidia	bid 1¢ / ask 45¢
Microsoft	bid 1¢ / ask 44¢
Krea	bid 1¢ / ask 45¢
HiDream	bid 1¢ / ask 45¢
Google	—
Bytedance	bid 1¢ / ask 45¢
Black Forest Labs	bid 1¢ / ask 45¢

Top Text to Video AI this week — 10 outcomes — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET

View market options (10 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Vidu	bid 20¢ / ask 48¢
SpaceXAI	bid 4¢ / ask 24¢
Skywork AI	bid 8¢ / ask 63¢
PixVerse	bid 2¢ / ask 52¢
MiniMax	bid 2¢ / ask 21¢
Lightricks	bid 5¢ / ask 60¢
KlingAI	bid 5¢ / ask 62¢
Google	bid 1¢ / ask 19¢
ByteDance	bid 7¢ / ask 64¢
Alibaba	bid 6¢ / ask 23¢

Number of data centers in Pennsylvania in 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 12:58 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 245	bid 39¢ / ask 44¢
Above 240	bid 42¢ / ask 46¢
Above 235	bid 50¢ / ask 53¢
Above 230	bid 52¢ / ask 57¢
Above 225	bid 64¢ / ask 91¢
Above 220	bid 68¢ / ask 89¢
Above 215	bid 69¢ / ask 99¢

🗳️ Elections — 6 events, 43 markets

Which local officials will be recalled? — 14 outcomes — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET

View market options (14 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Susan Ptaszenski	bid 11¢ / ask 89¢
Sheila Coats	bid 11¢ / ask 89¢
Laurie DeShano	bid 42¢ / ask 92¢
James Vetter	bid 11¢ / ask 89¢
Jerry Cain	bid 11¢ / ask 88¢
Harry Thomas	bid 11¢ / ask 88¢
Evan Hickman	bid 11¢ / ask 89¢
Elaine Ferris	bid 11¢ / ask 88¢
Christina Price	bid 11¢ / ask 88¢
Brian Pillmore	bid 11¢ / ask 89¢
Brett Kemble	bid 11¢ / ask 88¢
Bill Bean	bid 12¢ / ask 88¢
Amanda Kimbel-Sparks	bid 12¢ / ask 88¢
Andrew Greenberg	bid 12¢ / ask 88¢

Which data center ballot measures will pass? — 10 outcomes — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 9:35 PM ET

View market options (10 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Trenton, Ohio Issue 17	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Piqua, Ohio Section 138 amendment	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Janesville, Wisconsin GM/JATCO referendum	bid 10¢ / ask 89¢
Joliet Township, Illinois advisory question	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Grove City, Ohio Issue 28	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Emporia, Kansas Question 2	bid 9¢ (no asks)
El Dorado, Kansas data center ordinance	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Boulder City, Nevada Question 1	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Ashville, Ohio EdgeConneX referendum	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Alhambra, California Measure DB	bid 10¢ (no asks)

Sarawak state election: GPS number of seats? — 9 outcomes — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 11:37 AM ET

View market options (9 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
81 or more	bid 12¢ / ask 13¢
80 or more	bid 29¢ / ask 30¢
78 or more	bid 61¢ / ask 62¢
76 or more	bid 83¢ / ask 84¢
74 or more	bid 91¢ / ask 92¢
72 or more	bid 94¢ / ask 95¢
70 or more	bid 94¢ / ask 95¢
66 or more	bid 94¢ / ask 95¢
60 or more	bid 96¢ / ask 97¢

Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Ra'am win? — 6 brackets — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 11:31 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 8	ask 91¢ (no bids)
Above 7	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 6	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 5	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 4	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 3	bid 9¢ (no asks)

Larger margin: Graham or Donalds? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 7:25 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Byron Donalds	bid 37¢ / ask 46¢
Darline Graham	bid 53¢ / ask 59¢

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 11:11 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Roy Cooper	last 1¢ (book empty)
Brian Kemp	last 1¢ (book empty)

💹 Financials — 138 events, 151 markets

Klarna Credit Card Spend in October 2026 — 8 brackets — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 50	bid 26¢ / ask 90¢
Above 40	bid 47¢ / ask 94¢
Above 30	bid 62¢ / ask 92¢
Above 210	ask 88¢ (no bids)
Above 220	ask 88¢ (no bids)
Above 230	ask 88¢ (no bids)
Above 20	bid 29¢ / ask 90¢
Above 10	bid 44¢ / ask 98¢

Corrugated recyclable paper PPI in November 2026 — 5 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 23, 2026 at 2:27 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Ulta Credit Card Spend in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 90	bid 84¢ / ask 87¢
Above 86	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 82	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

1,562 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
📊 Economics	927	55	Wisconsin gas price, Daily Diesel Price, Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand, +52 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	364	54	Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more
🏛️ Politics	144	21	Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?, Traffic through the Bab al-Mandab Strait, Will Trump do anything today?, +18 more
💹 Financials	99	7	10Y how low weekly, 10Y how high weekly, DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT, +4 more
🎬 Entertainment	15	1	DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO
🔬 Science and Technology	13	1	Open-weight AI market share (OpenRouter)

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: Ulta Credit Card Spend, Oscar Winner, Sarawak Election — Past 24 Hours (as of 8:30:17 AM ET, Oct 24)