📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 09 at 6:30 PM ET through Sep 10 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 197 unique markets across 22 new events, plus 4,302 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
US existing home sales for September: Above 3.60M bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above 3.70M bid 91¢ / ask 97¢, Above 3.80M bid 80¢ / ask 89¢
Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $6.005 bid 97¢ / ask 98¢, Above $5.995 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above $5.990 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Will Trump issue dividend payments in 2026?: Yes — bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Will Trump issue Obamacare rebates before Election Day?: Yes — bid 72¢ / ask 73¢
Will the DOJ fine Nvidia over the Groq deal in 2026?: Yes — bid 9¢ / ask 10¢
Diesel prices this week: Above $6.12 bid 65¢ / ask 67¢, Above $6.20 bid 10¢ / ask 14¢, Above $6.18 bid 20¢ / ask 24¢
EV commodity prices on Sep 10, 2026: Above 1231.36 bid 1¢ / ask 3¢, Above 1201.36 bid 97¢ / ask 99¢, Above 1221.36 bid 7¢ / ask 12¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 11, 2026?
- Will the DOJ fine Nvidia over the Groq deal in 2026?
- Will Trump issue dividend payments in 2026?
- Will Trump issue Obamacare rebates before Election Day?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 11, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 11, 2026
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 11, 2026
All New Events
🔬 Science and Technology — 2 events, 4 markets
Qwen market share this week — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 10, 2026 at 3:49 PM ET
OpenAI market share this week: Above 24% (bid 37¢ / ask 76¢) — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 3:48 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 4 events, 12 markets
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 11, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 39.2% | bid 38¢ / ask 43¢ |
| 39.8% | last 5¢ (book empty) |
| 39.7% | last 3¢ (book empty) |
| 39.6% | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| 39.5% | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| 39.4% | bid 2¢ / ask 18¢ |
| 39.3% | bid 39¢ / ask 48¢ |
| 39.2% | bid 2¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Above 39.8% | last 3¢ (book empty) |
Will Trump issue dividend payments in 2026?: Yes (bid 5¢ / ask 6¢) — listed Sep 09, 2026 at 11:28 PM ET
Will Trump issue Obamacare rebates before Election Day?: Yes (bid 72¢ / ask 73¢) — listed Sep 09, 2026 at 11:08 PM ET
Will the DOJ fine Nvidia over the Groq deal in 2026?: Yes (bid 9¢ / ask 10¢) — listed Sep 09, 2026 at 9:04 PM ET
💹 Financials — 4 events, 40 markets
2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 10:22 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.51% or above | bid 51¢ / ask 55¢ |
| 4.53% or above | bid 41¢ / ask 45¢ |
| 4.55% or above | bid 33¢ / ask 44¢ |
| 4.57% or above | bid 28¢ / ask 47¢ |
| 4.59% or above | bid 28¢ / ask 47¢ |
| 4.61% or above | bid 28¢ / ask 47¢ |
| 4.63% or above | bid 25¢ / ask 44¢ |
| 4.65% or above | bid 20¢ / ask 40¢ |
| 4.67% or above | bid 16¢ / ask 36¢ |
| 4.69% or above | bid 14¢ / ask 34¢ |
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 9:34 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.91% or above | bid 54¢ / ask 73¢ |
| 4.93% or above | bid 54¢ / ask 73¢ |
| 4.95% or above | bid 53¢ / ask 71¢ |
| 4.97% or above | bid 47¢ / ask 67¢ |
| 4.99% or above | bid 42¢ / ask 62¢ |
| 5.01% or above | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| 5.03% or above | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| 5.05% or above | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| 5.07% or above | bid 22¢ / ask 42¢ |
| 5.09% or above | bid 18¢ / ask 38¢ |
7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 9:32 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.76% or above | bid 50¢ / ask 70¢ |
| 4.78% or above | bid 47¢ / ask 67¢ |
| 4.8% or above | bid 43¢ / ask 63¢ |
| 4.82% or above | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| 4.84% or above | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| 4.86% or above | bid 34¢ / ask 54¢ |
| 4.88% or above | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| 4.9% or above | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| 4.92% or above | bid 24¢ / ask 44¢ |
| 4.94% or above | bid 21¢ / ask 41¢ |
5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 9:31 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.66% or above | bid 53¢ / ask 73¢ |
| 4.68% or above | bid 50¢ / ask 70¢ |
| 4.7% or above | bid 46¢ / ask 66¢ |
| 4.72% or above | bid 42¢ / ask 62¢ |
| 4.74% or above | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| 4.76% or above | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| 4.78% or above | bid 33¢ / ask 53¢ |
| 4.8% or above | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| 4.82% or above | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| 4.84% or above | bid 23¢ / ask 43¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 5 events, 61 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 11, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu) | bid 10¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | bid 9¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Training Season (Live) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tera Mera Rishta | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Shararat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Radhimaa (From "Think Indie") | ask 79¢ (no bids) |
| Parvati | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| EVAN (에반) 'Death of Me' Official MV | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
| Dai Dai | bid 10¢ / ask 77¢ |
| BbY WOW | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Basinga Balaalu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barsaat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barbaadi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Aisi Meri Vibe | Vibe | Preity | Kunal | Sparsh | Vanshika | Kanfuzion | Khillari | Irfana | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 11, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu) | ask 80¢ (no bids) |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | ask 88¢ (no bids) |
| Training Season (Live) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tera Mera Rishta | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Shararat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Radhimaa (From "Think Indie") | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Parvati | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Golden | ask 42¢ (no bids) |
| EVAN (에반) 'Death of Me' Official MV | ask 67¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 43¢ / ask 89¢ |
| BbY WOW | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Basinga Balaalu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barsaat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barbaadi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Aisi Meri Vibe | Vibe | Preity | Kunal | Sparsh | Vanshika | Kanfuzion | Khillari | Irfana | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 11, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| WTF GOIN | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Todo Lo Fue | bid 1¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Sunflower | bid 1¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Spiritbox - Mourning (Official Video) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Look Like My Mama | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Life Goes On | bid 1¢ / ask 56¢ |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | ask 92¢ (no bids) |
| Janice STFU | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dead Fresh | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | bid 7¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Choosin' Texas | bid 33¢ / ask 89¢ |
| BbY WOW | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| AH HA | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 09, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Bernie Sanders | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | bid 10¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Hakeem Jeffries | — |
| Jon Ossoff | — |
| Abdul El-Sayed | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| JD Vance | — |
| Erika Kirk | — |
| Andy Burnham | — |
| Steve Witkoff | — |
| Jared Kushner | — |
| Susie Wiles | — |
| Kevin Warsh | — |
| Mark Carney | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Christopher Nolan | — |
| James Stephen "Jimmy" Donaldson / MrBeast | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
Oscar nominees: Best Picture: Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother (bid 1¢ / ask 12¢) — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 2:16 PM ET
📊 Economics — 7 events, 80 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $6.025 | bid 44¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Above $6.020 | bid 60¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above $6.015 | bid 78¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above $6.010 | bid 91¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above $6.005 | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $6.000 | bid 96¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $5.995 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.990 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.985 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.980 | bid 95¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.975 | bid 95¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.970 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.965 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.960 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.955 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.950 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.945 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.940 | bid 96¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.935 | bid 96¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.930 | bid 96¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.925 | bid 96¢ (no asks) |
EV commodity prices on Sep 10, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Sep 09, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1321.36 | ask 14¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1311.36 | ask 23¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1301.36 | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1291.36 | ask 67¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1281.36 | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1271.36 | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1261.36 | ask 34¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1251.36 | ask 35¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1241.36 | ask 37¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1231.36 | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 1221.36 | bid 7¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 1211.36 | bid 45¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above 1201.36 | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1191.36 | bid 92¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1181.36 | bid 92¢ (no asks) |
US SPR level for the week ending September 11, 2026 — 12 brackets — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 4:42 PM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 291M | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 290M | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 289M | — |
| Above 288M | — |
| Above 287M | — |
| Above 286M | — |
| Above 285M | — |
| Above 284M | — |
| Above 283M | — |
| Above 282M | — |
| Above 281M | — |
| Above 280M | — |
Diesel prices this week — 10 brackets — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 10:02 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $6.12 | bid 65¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Above $6.14 | bid 49¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Above $6.16 | bid 34¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Above $6.18 | bid 20¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above $6.20 | bid 10¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above $6.22 | bid 4¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above $6.24 | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above $6.26 | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.28 | — |
| Above $6.30 | — |
US existing home · Median sales price in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 10, 2026 at 4:29 PM ET
US existing home sales for September — 8 brackets — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 1:36 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 4.30M | bid 1¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Above 4.20M | bid 1¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 4.10M | bid 3¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 4.00M | bid 30¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Above 3.90M | bid 57¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above 3.80M | bid 80¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 3.70M | bid 91¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 3.60M | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
Turkey rate decision in October — 5 outcomes — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 11:06 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | bid 60¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Hike more than 250bps | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Hike 1-250bps | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Cut more than 250bps | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Cut 1-250bps | bid 26¢ / ask 36¢ |
🔄 Recurring Markets
4,302 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,408 | 16 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, 10Y how high monthly, +13 more |
| 📊 Economics | 454 | 30 | Ohio gas price, TX gas price, New Jersey gas prices, +27 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 383 | 55 | Where will it rain this weekend?, Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, +52 more |
| 🔬 Science and Technology | 39 | 2 | Top 3 AI companies daily, Top AI model daily token usage |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 18 | 4 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, Billboard Hot 100 #1, +1 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.