📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jun 04 at 6:30 PM ET through Jun 05 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 304 unique markets across 44 new events, plus 5,698 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
USD/MXN high in June 2026?: 19 or above bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, 17.75 or above bid 74¢ / ask 75¢, 18.5 or above bid 49¢ / ask 51¢
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in August: Maintain current rate bid 64¢ / ask 65¢, Hike more than 25bps bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Hike 1-25bps bid 34¢ / ask 35¢
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (6/5-6/12)?: Above 6.2% — bid 35¢ / ask 36¢
Claude Opus 4.8 debut arena score: Above 1520 bid 10¢ / ask 11¢, Above 1515 bid 9¢ / ask 10¢, Above 1510 bid 20¢ / ask 21¢
EV commodity prices on Jun 5, 2026: Above 1280.77 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 1270.77 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 1260.77 bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Love Island UK S13E5: Will a new Bombshell enter?: Yes — bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- EV commodity prices on Jun 5, 2026
- Reserve Bank of India rate decision in August
- How high will the Nasdaq-100 price get in 2026?
- USD/MXN high in June 2026?
- When will EA's take-private acquisition close?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (6/5-6/12)?
- When will AP call the Los Angeles mayoral primary?
- Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (6/5-6/12)?
- How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (6/7-6/13)
- Trump late night post this week? (6/7-6/13)
- When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
- When will Trump's Attorney General pick be confirmed?
- Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (6/7 - 6/13)
- Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (6/8-6/14)
- BET Awards for Album of the Year?
- BET Awards for Fashion Vanguard Award?
- BET Awards for Video of the Year?
- Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Drama Series
- Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series
- Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Lead Actor In A Drama Series
- Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Lead Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie
- Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Lead Actress In A Comedy Series
- Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Lead Actress In A Drama Series
- Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Lead Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie
- Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Limited Or Anthology Series
- Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Comedy Series
- Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Drama Series
- Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie
- Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Comedy Series
- Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Drama Series
- Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie
- Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Television Movie
- Love Island UK S13E5: Will a new Bombshell enter?
- Pro Basketball Finals Game 2: New York vs. San Antonio: Attendance
- Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?
- Who will be featured on 'Daughter from Hell'?
- Will I Knew It, I Knew You debut #1 on the Billboard Hot 100?
- Will Taylor Swift get married at MSG this year?
All New Events
💹 Financials — 3 events, 14 markets
USD/MXN high in June 2026? — 6 brackets — listed Jun 05, 2026 at 2:37 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 19 or above | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| 18.75 or above | bid 10¢ / ask 14¢ |
| 18.5 or above | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| 18.25 or above | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| 18 or above | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| 17.75 or above | bid 74¢ / ask 75¢ |
How high will the Nasdaq-100 price get in 2026? — 6 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
When will EA's take-private acquisition close? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 4:41 PM ET
Tracking: Before Aug 1, 2026, Before Sep 1, 2026
🔬 Science and Technology — 3 events, 24 markets
Top Coding AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 3:42 PM ET
Tracking: Qwen, MiniMax, Kimi, Grok, GLM, Gemini, Dola, Claude, ChatGPT
Best AI this week — 8 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 3:40 PM ET
Tracking: Grok, ChatGPT, Muse, Gemini, Dola, Claude, Amazon Nova, Qwen
Claude Opus 4.8 debut arena score — 7 brackets — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 10:20 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1520 | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 1515 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 1510 | bid 20¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above 1505 | bid 37¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Above 1500 | bid 53¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Above 1495 | bid 60¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above 1490 | bid 80¢ / ask 81¢ |
📊 Economics — 3 events, 30 markets
EV commodity prices on Jun 5, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1340.77 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1330.77 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1320.77 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1310.77 | — |
| Above 1300.77 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1290.77 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1280.77 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 1270.77 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 1260.77 | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 1250.77 | bid 19¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 1240.77 | bid 52¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 1230.77 | bid 85¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1220.77 | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1210.77 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1200.77 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 2:13 PM ET
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in August — 5 outcomes — listed Jun 05, 2026 at 11:17 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | bid 64¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Hike more than 25bps | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Hike 1-25bps | bid 34¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Cut more than 25bps | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Cut 1-25bps | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
🗳️ Elections — 4 events, 5 markets
When will AP call the Los Angeles mayoral primary? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 7:12 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jun 12 | bid 40¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Before Jun 20 | bid 81¢ / ask 89¢ |
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (6/5-6/12)?: Yes (bid 45¢ / ask 47¢) — listed Jun 05, 2026 at 2:47 PM ET
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (6/5-6/12)?: Above 6.2% (bid 35¢ / ask 36¢) — listed Jun 05, 2026 at 10:32 AM ET
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?: Hunter Biden (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 6:39 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 6 events, 19 markets
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (6/7-6/13) — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 10:39 AM ET
Trump late night post this week? (6/7-6/13) — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 10:39 AM ET
Tracking: 5-6 AM, 4-5 AM, 3-4 AM, 2-3 AM, 1-2 AM
When will Trump's Attorney General pick be confirmed? — 4 outcomes — listed Jun 05, 2026 at 2:50 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 54¢ / ask 60¢ |
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (6/8-6/14): Yes — listed Jun 05, 2026 at 10:39 AM ET
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (6/7 - 6/13): Above 0 — listed Jun 05, 2026 at 10:39 AM ET
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?: Before Jun 10, 2026 (bid 64¢ / ask 68¢) — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 7:36 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 25 events, 212 markets
Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Drama Series — 13 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 2:04 PM ET
Tracking: The Testaments, Task, Stranger Things, Slow Horses, Pluribus, The Pitt, Paradise, The Morning Show, A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms, Industry, The Gilded Age, Euphoria, The Diplomat
Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie — 12 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 2:34 PM ET
Tracking: Troy Kotsur, Tom Hollander, Richard Gadd, Richard Jenkins, Nick Offerman, Michael Pena, Jonathan Banks, Jamie Bell, Jake Lacy, David Harbour, Charles Melton, Alessandro Nivola
Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Lead Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie — 11 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 2:27 PM ET
Tracking: Riz Ahmed, Richard Gadd, Paul Anthony Kelly, Oscar Isaac, Michael Shannon, Matthew Rhys, Jason Bateman, Jamie Bell, David Harbour, Cillian Murphy, Charlie Hunnam
Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Drama Series — 11 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 2:13 PM ET
Tracking: Taylor Dearden, Sydney Sweeney, Nicole Beharie, Katherine LaNasa, Karolina Wydra, Julianne Nicholson, Isa Briones, Fiona Dourif, Emilia Jones, Christine Baranski, Allison Janney
Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Comedy Series — 11 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 1:43 PM ET
Tracking: Shrinking, Rooster, Only Murders in the Building, Nobody Wants This, Margo's Got Money Troubles, Jury Duty Presents: Company Retreat, Hacks, The Comeback, The Chair Company, The Bear, Abbott Elementary
BET Awards for Fashion Vanguard Award? — 10 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 5:09 PM ET
Tracking: ZENDAYA, Tie, TEYANA TAYLOR, RIHANNA, DOECHII, COLMAN DOMINGO, CARDI B, BEYONCÉ, BAD BUNNY, A$AP ROCKY
Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie — 10 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET
Tracking: Yuh-Jung Youn, Sophia Lillis, Naomi Watts, Laurie Metcalf, Grace Gummer, Dakota Fanning, Constance Zimmer, Cailee Spaeny, Brittany Snow, Betty Gilpin
Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Lead Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie — 10 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 2:23 PM ET
Tracking: Tessa Thompson, Sarah Pidgeon, Sarah Snook, Rachel Weisz, Robin Wright, Linda Cardellini, Kerry Washington, Helen Mirren, Claire Danes, Carey Mulligan
Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Television Movie — 10 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 2:21 PM ET
Tracking: The Thursday Murder Club, Swiped, Straw, Remarkably Bright Creatures, Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man, Happy Gilmore 2, Echo Valley, Deep Cover, The Best You Can, A Winter's Song
Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Limited Or Anthology Series — 10 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 2:19 PM ET
Tracking: Love Story, Lord of the Flies, Half Man, DTF St. Louis, Death by Lightning, Black Rabbit, Beef, The Beast in Me, Bait, All Her Fault
Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Drama Series — 10 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 2:16 PM ET
Tracking: Tom Pelphrey, Patrick Ball, James Marsden, Jacob Elordi, Jack Lowden, Gerran Howell, Dexter Sol Ansell, Colman Domingo, Carlos-Manuel Vesga, Billy Crudup
Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Lead Actor In A Drama Series — 10 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 2:09 PM ET
Tracking: Walton Goggins, Tom Hiddleston, Sterling K. Brown, Rufus Sewell, Peter Claffey, Noah Wyle, Mark Ruffalo, Jon Hamm, Gary Oldman, Billy Bob Thornton
Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Lead Actress In A Drama Series — 10 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 2:06 PM ET
Tracking: Zendaya, Rhea Seehorn, Reese Witherspoon, Michelle Pfeiffer, Marisa Abela, Keri Russell, Kathy Bates, Jennifer Aniston, Chase Infiniti, Carrie Coon
Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Comedy Series — 10 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET
Tracking: Tyler James Williams, Paul W. Downs, Nick Offerman, Michael Urie, Marcello Hernandez, Harrison Ford, Ebon Moss-Bachrach, Bowen Yang, Ben Kingsley, Andrew Scott
Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Comedy Series — 10 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 1:57 PM ET
Tracking: Sheryl Lee Ralph, Michelle Pfeiffer, Liza Colon-Zayas, Jessica Williams, Janelle James, Hannah Einbinder, Danielle Deadwyler, Carol Burnett, Ashley Padilla, Allison Janney
Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series — 10 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 1:53 PM ET
Tracking: Yahya Abdul-Mateen II, Tim Robinson, Ted Danson, Steve Carell, Steve Martin, Martin Short, Jeremy Allen White, Jason Segel, Ethan Hawke, Adam Brody
Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Lead Actress In A Comedy Series — 10 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 1:49 PM ET
Tracking: Selena Gomez, Rachel Sennott, Quinta Brunson, Lisa Kudrow, Kristen Wiig, Kristen Bell, Jenna Ortega, Jean Smart, Elle Fanning, Ayo Edebiri
Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year? — 10 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 11:04 AM ET
Tracking: Timothée Chalamet, Taylor Swift, Shaquille O'Neal, Selena Gomez, Scarlett Johansson, The Rock, Paul George, Jay-Z, Dua Lipa, Beyoncé
BET Awards for Video of the Year? — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
Tracking: Tie, LUTHER, LET 'EM KNOW, FOLDED, ESCAPE ROOM (SHORT FILM), CHANEL, BURNING BLUE, ANXIETY, 100
BET Awards for Album of the Year? — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 05, 2026 at 4:53 PM ET
Tracking: Tie, THE ROMANTIC, MUTT DELUXE: HEEL, LET GOD SORT EM OUT, HEARTS SOLD SEPARATELY, THE FALL-OFF, EVERYTHING IS A LOT., DON'T TAP THE GLASS, AM I THE DRAMA?
Pro Basketball Finals Game 2: New York vs. San Antonio: Attendance — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Sunisa Lee | bid 4¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Larry David | bid 3¢ / ask 16¢ |
Will Taylor Swift get married at MSG this year?: Before Jan 1, 2027 — listed Jun 05, 2026 at 5:39 PM ET
Will I Knew It, I Knew You debut #1 on the Billboard Hot 100?: I Knew It, I Knew You by Taylor Swift (bid 68¢ / ask 69¢) — listed Jun 05, 2026 at 1:29 PM ET
Who will be featured on 'Daughter from Hell'?: Selena Gomez (bid 2¢ / ask 11¢) — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Love Island UK S13E5: Will a new Bombshell enter?: Yes (bid 2¢ / ask 3¢) — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 6:34 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
5,698 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 5,100 | 8 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 range, +5 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 📊 Economics | 155 | 12 | US gas price up, Truflation Bitcoin Purchasing Power Index, CoinMarketCap Total Market Cap , +9 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 111 | 7 | Daily Global Spotify songs, Daily US Spotify chart, Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, +4 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 28 | 4 | Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?, Will Trump do anything today?, President RCP approval rating this week, +1 more |
| 🔬 Science and Technology | 15 | 6 | Top model, RTX 5090 Weekly Price, B200 Weekly Price, +3 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.