Overview
It’s a scorcher on Kalshi—both figuratively and literally—as users went wild over weather weirdness, political plot twists, and a truly nuclear tennis take.
From the chaotic NYC heat markets to Tesla's latest executive dumpster fire, traders are split between disbelief and euphoria.
3 Most Talked-About Markets
1. Highest Temperature in NYC on June 26, 2025
What started as a straightforward weather market descended into a masterclass in collective confusion.
The debate over whether the official high was 89°F at 1:51 AM or some lower figure later in the day sent bettors spiraling. Bulls clung to the 89.1°F reading like a lifeline, while bears waved NOAA charts and timestamped screenshots. “You are totally right, but holding the wrong side of this position”
Despite a 98% consensus earlier, the final temperature flirtation with multiple brackets created a price action meltdown that mirrored a weather report written by Kafka.
2. Tesla Deliveries Q2 2025
Sentiment around Tesla is tumbling faster than its execs are exiting. With a 56% chance the company won’t hit 350,000 deliveries this quarter, the bears are emboldened by high-level firings and headlines like “rats continue to abandon ship.”
One user summed it up: “FIRED—this quarter is going to be an absolute disaster.” While bulls were nowhere to be found today, the mood among shorts was celebratory, bordering on smug.
Musk fatigue might finally be hitting Kalshi’s investor crowd.
3. NYC Mayoral Race: Eric Adams vs. Zohran Mamdani
This market exploded with personality and political passion. With Zohran now seen as the clear frontrunner, Adams bulls sounded shell-shocked.
Some still held faith in the incumbent’s machine, but others celebrated missing out on Mamdani primary shares like they were recounting the Super Bowl. “Don’t mess with the Zohran, baby!”
Bears, meanwhile, warned of polling surprises and third-party chaos. Either way, this race is Kalshi’s political theater of the week.
Quote Board
“I mean there’s gotta be at least one schmuck who buys it.”
“Fuck Moutet but happy for you.”
“TRUMP NEEDS to AURA FARM some MAKE A WISH KIDS .... or else I’m COOKED”
Trend Watch
🏃 Faith Kipyegon, running a sub-4 minute mile quietly crept into the spotlight today, drawing eyes and chuckles in equal measure. One poster mused about Nike pacers and promotional pressure like it was a Marvel origin story.
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