📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 17 at 6:30 PM ET through Oct 18 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 134 unique markets across 15 new events, plus 1,390 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 19, 2026: Yeshanagula bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Olivia Rodrigo - expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video) bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, KALYANI (Remix) bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 19, 2026: Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Olivia Rodrigo - expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video), KALYANI (Remix) all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 19, 2026: The Live Footage That Launched Van Halen on MTV | Oakland Coliseum 1981 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Meek Mill - Wanna Be Free (feat. G Herbo) [Visualizer] bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 5: nUsrYVxrDwI] bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth in October: Above 101 bid 2¢ / ask 6¢, Above 99 bid 1¢ / ask 10¢, Above 97 bid 8¢ / ask 23¢
Google share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel): Above 12.4% bid 56¢ / ask 66¢, Above 12.6% bid 55¢ / ask 69¢, Above 11.1% bid 60¢ / ask 83¢
Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel): Above 16.6% bid 7¢ / ask 19¢, Above 4.3% bid 53¢ / ask 86¢, Above 12.0% bid 15¢ / ask 52¢
DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel): Above 13.9% bid 31¢ / ask 53¢, Above 13.3% bid 35¢ / ask 61¢, Above 12.7% bid 40¢ / ask 66¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 19, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 19, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 19, 2026
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?
- Match total payers in Q3
- Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth in October
- Anthropic share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)
- Anthropic share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)
- DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)
- Google share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)
- Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)
- Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 22, 2026
- OpenAI share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)
- OpenAI share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)
All New Events
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 1 market
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?: Edi Rama — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 6:08 PM ET
💹 Financials — 3 events, 16 markets
7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 7:50 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.16% or above | last 10¢ (book empty) |
| 5.18% or above | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| 5.2% or above | last 3¢ (book empty) |
| 5.22% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 5.24% or above | last 9¢ (book empty) |
| 5.26% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 5.28% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 5.3% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 5.32% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 5.34% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Match total payers in Q3 — 3 brackets — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 14.2 million | bid 12¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above 14.4 million | bid 12¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above 14.6 million | ask 88¢ (no bids) |
Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 97 | bid 8¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Above 99 | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 101 | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 45 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 19, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | bid 11¢ / ask 17¢ |
| TRALALA | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tate McRae - Housewife (Official Video) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Shararat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Parvati | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Olivia Rodrigo - expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video) | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| KALYANI (Remix) | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| KAALI HOODIE (MUSIC VIDEO) SIDHU MOOSE WALA FT BOHEMIA | THE KIDD | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
| GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION] | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Flower In A Hurricane [from GTAVI] | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | bid 23¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Casa Tupka Anthemo | bid 12¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Basinga Balaalu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barsaat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 19, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| TRALALA | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tate McRae - Housewife (Official Video) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Shararat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Parvati | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Olivia Rodrigo - expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video) | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| KALYANI (Remix) | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| KAALI HOODIE (MUSIC VIDEO) SIDHU MOOSE WALA FT BOHEMIA | THE KIDD | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION] | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Flower In A Hurricane [from GTAVI] | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | bid 58¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Casa Tupka Anthemo | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Basinga Balaalu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barsaat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 19, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| WTF GOIN | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tom MacDonald - "What America Is" | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Todo Lo Fue | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| The Live Footage That Launched Van Halen on MTV | Oakland Coliseum 1981 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Tate McRae - Housewife (Official Video) | bid 6¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Olivia Rodrigo - expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video) | bid 16¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Nicole Kidman | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Meek Mill - Wanna Be Free (feat. G Herbo) [Visualizer] | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Going On A Date - NSP | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Flower In A Hurricane [from GTAVI] | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Dai Dai | bid 29¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 10: hLOheGDwD_0] | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 5: nUsrYVxrDwI] | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Blue Moon | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Alma Rota | last 1¢ (book empty) |
🔬 Science and Technology — 8 events, 72 markets
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 22, 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 68.2% | bid 2¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 66.5% | bid 5¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Above 63.8% | bid 9¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above 61.9% | bid 15¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Above 59.7% | bid 23¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Above 54.9% | bid 23¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above 53.7% | bid 29¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above 51.9% | bid 52¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 47.3% | bid 62¢ / ask 97¢ |
Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 9.3% | bid 18¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 8.5% | bid 9¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 7.0% | bid 30¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Above 5.0% | bid 3¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 4.3% | bid 53¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Above 16.6% | bid 7¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Above 13.9% | bid 15¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Above 12.0% | bid 15¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Above 10.7% | bid 21¢ / ask 70¢ |
OpenAI share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 19.0% | bid 1¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 17.4% | bid 4¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above 14.9% | bid 21¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Above 14.2% | bid 20¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 13.4% | bid 24¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Above 13.1% | bid 23¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Above 12.0% | bid 29¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 11.7% | bid 32¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Above 11.5% | bid 34¢ / ask 83¢ |
Anthropic share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 42.8% | bid 2¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 42.3% | bid 1¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Above 41.4% | bid 2¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Above 38.1% | ask 86¢ (no bids) |
| Above 37.1% | bid 4¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 35.2% | bid 8¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above 34.5% | bid 13¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 32.4% | bid 21¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Above 30.6% | bid 22¢ / ask 84¢ |
Google share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 16.9% | bid 4¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Above 16.1% | bid 8¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Above 14.8% | bid 19¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Above 13.4% | bid 28¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Above 13.1% | bid 22¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 12.6% | bid 55¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Above 12.4% | bid 56¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 12.0% | bid 40¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above 11.1% | bid 60¢ / ask 83¢ |
OpenAI share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 25.7% | bid 3¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Above 25.0% | bid 5¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Above 24.4% | bid 8¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Above 23.8% | bid 15¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 22.9% | bid 21¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Above 22.3% | bid 24¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above 21.7% | bid 28¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Above 19.6% | bid 47¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Above 18.5% | bid 56¢ / ask 89¢ |
Anthropic share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 8.5% | bid 12¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above 7.9% | bid 19¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above 7.6% | bid 26¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above 7.3% | bid 32¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 7.1% | bid 36¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above 6.6% | bid 48¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Above 5.7% | bid 55¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Above 5.2% | bid 61¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 5.0% | bid 60¢ / ask 89¢ |
DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 15.3% | bid 10¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Above 14.1% | bid 30¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 13.9% | bid 31¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above 13.3% | bid 35¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above 12.7% | bid 40¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 12.5% | bid 37¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Above 12.0% | bid 21¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Above 11.4% | bid 25¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 10.2% | bid 26¢ / ask 88¢ |
🔄 Recurring Markets
1,390 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 📊 Economics | 942 | 54 | Colorado gas price, Pennsylvania gas price, Daily Diesel Price, +51 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 373 | 54 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 48 | 6 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, Billboard Hot 100 #1, +3 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 27 | 4 | VoteHub GCB, Trump approval rating, Number of Trump Truth Social posts today?, +1 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.