A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of "Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?" — the NO side wins if Spencer Pratt does NOT win the Los Angeles Mayoral Election. 15,246 NO contracts at 74¢ each, totaling $11,282. The book absorbed the trade cleanly, with price holding flat at 26¢ on the YES side and no observable slippage. The market currently sits at 26–27¢ YES, implying roughly a 27% probability for the YES outcome.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 1.1 hours (12:58 PM to 2:06 PM ET), NO volume leads $18,238 to $7,296, price holding near 27¢. One $11,283 NO trade (15,246 contracts) accounts for 44% of the flow.
📊 Last 1,701 trades: 1,701 trades over 12.0 hours (2:07 AM to 2:06 PM ET), flow roughly balanced — $108,477 YES vs $105,615 NO, price holding near 27¢.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.