A taker stepped up on NO in the "Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?" market, landing on the NO side — which wins if Spencer Pratt does not win the Los Angeles Mayoral Election. 25,000 NO contracts at 76¢ each, totaling $19,000. The book absorbed the trade as part of a sustained NO flow session, with price sliding 3¢ from 27¢ to 24¢ across 200 trades spanning 9:18 AM to 10:10 AM ET. Spencer Pratt's YES side now sits at 24¢, implying roughly a 24% probability of victory.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 50 minutes (9:20 AM to 10:10 AM ET), NO volume leads $104,162 to $8,122, as price moved from 27¢ to 24¢ (-3¢). One $37,000 NO trade (50,000 contracts) accounts for 33% of the flow.
📊 Last 1,151 trades: 1,151 trades over 12.0 hours (10:11 PM to 10:10 AM ET), NO volume leads $183,684 to $96,882, as price moved from 27¢ to 24¢ (-3¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.