Someone just bet $5,307 on "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29579.99 at the end of May 22, 2026 at 1pm EDT?" resolving YES. 8,165 YES contracts at 65¢ each, totaling $5,307.25. The price has moved against the buyer — sliding 6¢ from 71¢ to 65¢ across 9 trades spanning 12:03 PM to 12:57 PM ET, suggesting the book did not absorb prior flow cleanly. YES last prints at 65¢, implying roughly 65% probability.
📊 Last 9 trades: 9 trades over 55 minutes (12:03 PM to 12:57 PM ET), YES volume leads $5,490 to $95, as price moved from 71¢ to 65¢ (-6¢). One $5,308 YES trade (8,165 contracts) accounts for 95% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.