Someone just bet against "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28739.99 at the end of May 19, 2026 at 12pm EDT?" with a $5,061 NO position in this multi-outcome financials market. 6,488 NO contracts at 78¢ each, totaling $5,061. The YES price has collapsed 31¢ across the session's four trades — from 53¢ down to 22¢ — suggesting the book offered little resistance to sustained NO pressure. YES now sits at 22¢, implying roughly a 22% probability the Nasdaq-100 clears 28,740 at noon EDT.
📊 Last 4 trades: 4 trades over 40 minutes (11:17 AM to 11:57 AM ET), NO volume leads $5,073 to $6, as price moved from 53¢ to 22¢ (-31¢). One $5,061 NO trade (6,488 contracts) accounts for 100% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.