A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29999.99 at the end of May 26, 2026 at 4pm EDT?" — the NO side wins if the Nasdaq-100 closes below 30,000. 14,098 NO contracts at 70¢ each, totaling $9,869. With no resting liquidity in the book, the trade crossed against available orders as the YES price sat at 33¢ — a 5¢ drop from session open. YES now prices at 33¢, implying roughly a 33% probability the index clears 30,000 by close.
📊 Last 145 trades: 145 trades over 8.3 hours (6:57 AM to 3:15 PM ET), NO volume leads $12,421 to $692, as price moved from 14¢ to 33¢ (+19¢). One $9,869 NO trade (14,098 contracts) accounts for 75% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.