A taker stepped up on YES, taking the YES side of "Will the S&P 500 be above 7509.9999 on May 26, 2026 at 3pm EDT?" — the YES side wins if the S&P 500 lands at 7,510 or above at the 3pm EDT print. 20,000 YES contracts at 75¢ each, totaling $15,000. The trade landed as the book showed no resting liquidity, with price already surging 60¢ from session open at 34¢ to a last print of 94¢. YES sits at a 94¢ last, implying approximately 94% probability.
📊 Last 64 trades: 64 trades over 51 minutes (2:01 PM to 2:52 PM ET), YES volume leads $15,889 to $651, as price moved from 34¢ to 94¢ (+60¢). One $15,000 YES trade (20,000 contracts) accounts for 91% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.