A taker stepped up on YES, taking the YES side of "Will Osasuna be Relegated from La Liga in 2025-26 Season?" — the YES side wins if Osasuna is relegated from La Liga in the 2025-26 season. 3,480,000 YES contracts at 17¢ each, totaling $591,600. With no resting orders and zero liquidity on the book, the trade crossed into a thin market where the price had already run from 4¢ to 17¢ across the prior 48 trades. YES sits at 17¢, implying a ~17% probability of relegation.
📊 Last 7 trades: 7 trades over 9.7 hours (7:12 AM to 4:51 PM ET), YES volume leads $591,675 to $54, as price moved from 11¢ to 17¢ (+6¢). One $591,600 YES trade (3,480,000 contracts) accounts for 100% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.