A taker stepped up on YES, taking the YES side of "Will Osasuna be Relegated from La Liga in 2025-26 Season?" — the YES side wins if Osasuna is relegated from La Liga this season. The trade covered 3,480,000 YES contracts at 16¢ each, totaling $556,800. With no resting orders and zero liquidity on the book, the market showed no clean absorption — the price has run from 4¢ to 16¢ across the session's trade flow. YES currently sits at 16¢, implying a ~16% probability of relegation.
📊 Last 9 trades: 9 trades over 11.6 hours (7:12 AM to 6:48 PM ET), YES volume leads $1,148,475 to $54, as price moved from 11¢ to 16¢ (+5¢). One $591,600 YES trade (3,480,000 contracts) accounts for 52% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.