Someone just bet $36,443 against "Will Patrick Reed win the PGA Championship?" on Kalshi's PGA Championship Winner market. 36,589 NO contracts at 100¢ each, totaling $36,442.64. With no resting orders and zero liquidity in the book, the market absorbed the trade without measurable slippage or price movement. The YES side remains priced at ~0¢, placing Patrick Reed's implied win probability at essentially 0%.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 34 minutes (4:46 PM to 5:21 PM ET), NO volume leads $68,499 to $1,096, price holding near 0¢. One $36,443 NO trade (36,589 contracts) accounts for 52% of the flow.
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over 7.2 hours (10:09 AM to 5:21 PM ET), NO volume leads $288,040 to $25,931, as price moved from 4¢ to 0¢ (-3¢).
📊 Past 12 hours: 2,392 trades over 11.8 hours (5:32 AM to 5:21 PM ET), NO volume leads $294,197 to $33,726, as price moved from 4¢ to 0¢ (-3¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.