Prediction News Network delivers clear context and insight on tradable events, informed both by the event itself and the current price.

Trending Today: Spotify Wrapped 2025 was just released earlier this morning. What will #1 song on Spotify this week? (December 5)

Today’s Video Rundown

What’s Happening: The Anaconda reboot is lining up as a holiday wildcard. Early chatter is surprisingly warm for a legacy-creature feature, with critics calling it a “pretty solid snake movie” and the marketing leaning hard into meta-comedy with Paul Rudd and Jack Black. The MPA just stamped it with a PG-13 rating—mirroring the 1997 original—signaling broad commercial positioning rather than a darker horror pivot. Plot-wise, it’s a jungle-set remake-within-a-remake that reportedly plays lighter than expected, but still delivers enough genre beats to keep creature-feature fans engaged.

Market Pricing

Scenarios: If critics lean into the film’s meta-humor and Rudd/Black chemistry, the score can easily stabilize in the 60–65 band—lifting Above 60 into the low 60s. If reviews frame it as too broad, too meta, or too effects-light, expect a mid-50s landing—pressuring Above 60 toward the mid-40s.

If audience reception outperforms (holiday crowd + PG-13 accessibility), a late-cycle bump could keep the consensus slightly above neutral, helping the 60 line hold.
High-end tails (75+) require outsized critical charm for a creature reboot—currently a low-probability path.

Trading Takeaway: Market is correctly clustered around a modest fresh/rotten pivot with a 60-handle anchor. Liquidity is light but clean enough to position. The film’s early sentiment is noticeably better than typical legacy creature reboots, but still capped by genre bias. Above 60 at 56¢ offers a defensible long with moderate upside and controlled downside—essentially a bet that the film lands slightly “better than expected” in a soft holiday lane.

What’s Happening: Critics Choice Best Picture markets are tightening after the BTL* shortlists dropped — and they delivered a clear hierarchy. Sinners dominated with 13 mentions, confirming industry-wide craft strength. Marty Supreme continued its awards-season surge with placements across casting, cinematography, production design, editing, costumes, and score. Wicked: For Good matched expectations with a robust nine shortlists, solidifying its generalist appeal across crafts.

Official film and TV nominations drop Friday, Dec. 5 at 9 a.m. PT, televised and streamed across E!, USA, and CCA channels. Chelsea Handler returns as host for the fourth straight year, with the awards airing Jan 4th.

The surprise mover: It Was Just an Accident, which landed a key editing nod (a historically predictive category), triggering a sharp repricing. Meanwhile, Bugonia cooled after missing in several heavy-hitter categories like sound and visual effects, pushing it into correction territory.

*In film awards and filmmaking, Below the Line (BTL) refers to the craft and technical categories — the departments responsible for the physical making of the movie. These are roles that are not considered “above the line” creative leads (director, writers, producers, lead actors).

Market Pricing

Scenarios

If Sinners converts its BTL sweep into above-the-line (director/screenplay) traction on Dec. 5, its 99¢ ceiling becomes hard — any remaining “No” liquidity evaporates.

If Wicked: For Good nabs directing or casting/ensemble support, its 80¢ could snap toward the low 90s; if not, it risks slipping behind Bugonia/Accident cluster.

If Accident shows up in screenplay and lands a surprise acting nod, the recent leg higher continues — 60¢ → mid-70s is realistic.

Trading Takeaway: Top of book is basically price locked — Marty Supreme and Sinners are priced like foregone conclusions and should be treated as capital sinks, not opportunities. The real edge sits in the middle tranche, where volatility is being mispriced. It Was Just an Accident has clean upside if it hits a screenplay nomination.. Wicked remains the safest mid-priced long with broad appeal and strong craft alignment. Long Wicked: For Good Yes at 80¢

What’s Happening: Detroit rolls into Milwaukee as one of the league’s hottest teams — 17-4, winners of 15 of 17, and hunting a third straight win. Cade Cunningham is operating at MVP-usage levels (28.2 PPG, 9.3 APG), Jalen Duren is stacking double-doubles, and Detroit’s defense continues to close games even on off-shooting nights.

Milwaukee sits at 9-13 and trending the opposite direction: eight losses in nine, including a collapse against Washington as a double-digit favorite. Giannis is probable, but the Bucks remain thin and turnover-prone, and their defensive slippage late in games has been consistent. Detroit already beat them by 13 in this building two weeks ago.

Market Pricing

Scenarios: If Giannis looks fully mobile early — particularly attacking downhill and generating forced rotations — Milwaukee’s 41% team 3P shooting can punch the market back toward a true coin flip, with Bucks Yes pushing into the mid-40s.

If Detroit’s point-of-attack defense controls Ryan Rollins and limits Milwaukee’s secondary creators, the Pistons’ turnover edge (forcing 17.1 per game) should cascade into extra possessions.

Trading Takeaway: Detroit has the cleaner form, the healthier roster, the defensive edge, and the recent H2H win — all while Milwaukee continues to leak second-half leads and rank dead last in FT rate. Liquidity is solid, spreads are tight, and the fundamental picture supports Detroit’s current premium. At 62¢, the Pistons still screen as +EV relative to matchup strength and team trajectory. Long Detroit Yes.

7 Top 25 Ranked College Basketball Games: Only one matchup with both teams ranked: #6 Louisville (61%) @ #25 Arkansas (39%)

9 NBA games tonight, headlined by Spurs (27%) at Magic (74%). Harrison Barnes and D’Aaron Fox combined for 60 points last night in the 126-199 victory against the Grizzlies. The Magic are riding a 3-game winning streak, scoring 112 or more in eight straight.

5 NHL games on the slate, early games start at 7 pm ET, Washington Capitals (55%) @ SJ Sharks (45%) close out the night at 10:00 pm ET.

$230,192 — No at 99¢ for Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? by GetEvenOrGetEven…

$138,316 — No at 100¢ for Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025? by AgricultureSecre…

$240,085 — No at 58¢ for Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? by chungusgkhan

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