A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of whether Robert MacIntyre will lead at the end of Round 1 in the Charles Schwab Challenge — the NO side wins if MacIntyre does not hold the lead. 50,000 NO contracts at 98¢ each, totaling $48,800. The price shifted 1¢ across the session, moving from 3¢ to 2¢ on the YES side, with this trade landing into a market carrying no resting liquidity. YES now sits at approximately 2¢, implying roughly a 2% probability for MacIntyre leading after Round 1.
📊 Last 28 trades: 28 trades over 10.5 hours (7:05 AM to 5:33 PM ET), NO volume leads $48,800 to $390, price holding near 2¢. One $48,800 NO trade (50,000 contracts) accounts for 99% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.