Someone just bet $48,000 against "Will Rory McIlroy win the PGA Championship?", taking the NO side in a multi-outcome PGA Championship winner market. The trade was 50,000 NO contracts at 96¢ each, totaling $48,000. The market absorbed the order with the YES price ticking up 1¢ from 3¢ to 4¢ across the 2-minute trade window, reflecting modest upward pressure. The YES side currently sits at 4¢, implying roughly a 4% probability that McIlroy wins the championship.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 3 minutes (5:25 PM to 5:28 PM ET), NO volume leads $90,205 to $2,129, price holding near 4¢. One $48,000 NO trade (50,000 contracts) accounts for 52% of the flow.
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over 24 minutes (5:04 PM to 5:28 PM ET), NO volume leads $331,032 to $15,868, price holding near 4¢.
📊 Past 12 hours: 5,000 trades over 1.3 hours (4:08 PM to 5:28 PM ET), NO volume leads $660,968 to $68,337, as price moved from 17¢ to 4¢ (-13¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.