A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of "Who will win the next presidential election?" — the NO side wins if the outcome does not happen, meaning Marco Rubio does not win. The trade landed 40,236 NO contracts at 83¢ each, totaling $33,396. The book absorbed the size without visible slippage, with the YES side holding near its prior 17c-18c range. The market now prices Marco Rubio's odds at roughly 17% on the YES side, with NO resting at 82c-83c.
📊 Last 13 trades: 13 trades over 11.1 hours (12:06 AM to 11:11 AM ET), NO volume leads $36,859 to $217, price holding near 17¢. One $33,396 NO trade (40,236 contracts) accounts for 90% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $30,000+ · Parlays: $20,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $9,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.