Someone just bet $16,800 on "Will the S&P 500 be above 7089.9999 on Apr 21, 2026 at 12pm EDT?" resolving YES. The trade placed 20,000 YES contracts at 84¢ each, totaling $16,800. With no resting orders in the book, the market has since moved to a last print of 94¢ — 10¢ above the entry. YES now prices the outcome at roughly 84% implied probability at time of trade.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 31 minutes (11:26 AM to 11:57 AM ET), YES volume leads $25,322 to $2,092, as price moved from 53¢ to 85¢ (+32¢). One $16,800 YES trade (20,000 contracts) accounts for 61% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.