A taker stepped up on YES, taking the YES side of "Will Jannik Sinner win the Sinner vs Djokovic: Semifinal match?" — the YES side wins if Sinner takes the match. The trade landed 55,927 YES contracts at 83¢ each, totaling $46,419.41. It followed a wave of YES buying since 10:58 AM ET, pushing the price up from 82¢ to 83¢ with no apparent slippage on this print. The market now sits at 83¢, implying an 83% probability that Sinner advances.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 10 minutes (10:58 AM to 11:08 AM ET), YES volume leads $147,715 to $896, price holding near 83¢. One $46,420 YES trade (55,927 contracts) accounts for 31% of the flow.
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over 12.0 hours (11:09 PM to 11:08 AM ET), YES volume leads $1,244,216 to $12,194, as price moved from 80¢ to 83¢ (+3¢).
📊 Past 12 hours: 2,005 trades over 12.0 hours (11:08 PM to 11:08 AM ET), YES volume leads $1,244,314 to $12,205, as price moved from 80¢ to 83¢ (+3¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $30,000+ · Parlays: $20,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $9,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.