A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of the "When Will SpaceX IPO?" outcome — the NO side wins if SpaceX does NOT officially announce an IPO before June 1, 2026. 10,000 NO contracts at 98¢ each, totaling $9,800. With no resting liquidity and zero reported volume, the book offered no resistance, and the trade absorbed cleanly without slippage. The market currently sits at 2¢ on the YES side, implying roughly a 2% probability of a SpaceX IPO announcement before June 1.
📊 Last 21 trades: 21 trades over 11.8 hours (1:21 AM to 1:07 PM ET), NO volume leads $12,852 to $266, price holding near 2¢. One $9,800 NO trade (10,000 contracts) accounts for 75% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.