A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of the "When will SpaceX IPO?" outcome — the NO side wins if SpaceX does not officially announce an IPO before June 1, 2026. The trade covered 9,376 NO contracts at 98¢ each, totaling $9,188. With no resting liquidity in the book, the market absorbed the trade at the ask without measurable slippage. The market currently prices YES at 2¢, implying roughly a 2% probability the announcement arrives before the June 1 deadline.
📊 Last 61 trades: 61 trades over 11.2 hours (4:13 AM to 3:23 PM ET), NO volume leads $60,389 to $387, price holding near 2¢. One $28,211 NO trade (29,083 contracts) accounts for 46% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.