Someone just bet $28,211 against the "When will SpaceX IPO?" outcome — wagering that SpaceX will not officially announce an IPO before June 1, 2026. The trade placed 29,083 NO contracts at 97¢ each, totaling $28,210.51. With zero resting liquidity in the book, the trade executed without a standard counterparty pool, though NO-side price held firm at 97¢ with no adverse slippage recorded. The YES side now sits at 2¢–3¢, implying roughly a 2–3% probability of a SpaceX IPO announcement before the May 31 close.
📊 Last 50 trades: 50 trades over 11.4 hours (1:35 AM to 12:56 PM ET), NO volume leads $42,490 to $281, price holding near 3¢. One $28,211 NO trade (29,083 contracts) accounts for 66% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.