A taker stepped up on YES, taking the YES side of "Spain vs Belgium Winner?" — the YES side wins if Spain wins the regulation-time matchup. The trade landed 129,032 YES contracts at 60¢ each, totaling $77,419. The book absorbed the size cleanly, with the price holding steady at 60¢ and no slippage recorded. Spain now sits at 60¢, implying a 60% probability of a regulation-time win over Belgium.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 18 minutes (6:19 PM to 6:37 PM ET), YES volume leads $118,172 to $188, price holding near 60¢. One $77,419 YES trade (129,032 contracts) accounts for 65% of the flow.
📊 Last 834 trades: 834 trades over 11.8 hours (6:49 AM to 6:37 PM ET), YES volume leads $178,532 to $1,354, price holding near 60¢. One $77,419 YES trade (129,032 contracts) accounts for 43% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $30,000+ · Parlays: $20,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $9,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.