A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of "Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?" — the NO side wins if Spencer Pratt does not win the Los Angeles Mayoral Election. 30,000 NO contracts at 88¢ each, totaling $26,400. The market absorbed the trade as part of a sustained NO-heavy session, with price sliding from 14¢ to 11¢ across the 18-minute window. Spencer Pratt's implied probability now sits at roughly 11¢ on the YES side.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 19 minutes (4:59 PM to 5:18 PM ET), NO volume leads $119,965 to $7,462, price holding near 12¢.
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over 4.3 hours (1:02 PM to 5:18 PM ET), NO volume leads $358,352 to $69,853, as price moved from 18¢ to 12¢ (-6¢).
📊 Past 12 hours: 5,000 trades over 9.0 hours (8:18 AM to 5:18 PM ET), NO volume leads $585,691 to $178,953, as price moved from 15¢ to 12¢ (-3¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $9,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $8,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.