A taker stepped up on NO, landing on the NO side of the "At least 40%" outcome in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral first-round vote share market — the NO side wins if Spencer Pratt does NOT receive at least 40% of the popular vote. The trade covered 21,500 NO contracts at 99¢ each, totaling $21,285. With no resting liquidity in the book, the trade absorbed cleanly with no reported slippage or price movement at execution. YES sits at 1¢, implying roughly a 1% probability that Pratt clears the 40% threshold.
📊 Last 25 trades: 25 trades over 10.7 hours (5:19 AM to 4:01 PM ET), NO volume leads $49,888 to $127, price holding near 1¢. One $25,999 NO trade (26,261 contracts) accounts for 52% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $9,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $8,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.