A taker stepped up on NO, landing on the NO side of the "At least 40%" outcome in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral first-round vote — the NO side wins if Spencer Pratt does not reach that threshold. The trade covered 26,261 NO contracts at 99¢ each, totaling $25,998. With no resting liquidity in the book, the trade absorbed cleanly with no observable slippage. The market currently sits at 1¢ on the YES side, implying roughly a 1% probability of Pratt reaching 40%.
📊 Last 26 trades: 26 trades over 12.0 hours (3:10 AM to 3:08 PM ET), NO volume leads $27,697 to $127, price holding near 1¢. One $25,999 NO trade (26,261 contracts) accounts for 93% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $9,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $8,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.