A taker stepped up on NO, landing on the NO side of "Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?" — the NO side wins if Spencer Pratt does not win. 15,000 NO contracts at 74¢ each, totaling $11,100. The price slipped 1¢, moving from 27¢ to 26¢ on the YES side as the NO pressure pushed through. The market now sits at 26¢ YES, implying roughly a 26% probability for Spencer Pratt.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 1.5 hours (3:03 PM to 4:33 PM ET), flow roughly balanced — $14,590 YES vs $21,613 NO, price holding near 27¢. One $11,100 NO trade (15,000 contracts) accounts for 31% of the flow.
📊 Last 782 trades: 782 trades over 11.8 hours (4:44 AM to 4:33 PM ET), flow roughly balanced — $50,748 YES vs $42,332 NO, price holding near 27¢.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.