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Prediction News Network delivers clear context and insight on tradable events, informed both by the event itself and the current price.
Trending: FIFA slashes price of some World Cup tickets to $60 after global fan backlash. Who will win 2026 Men's World Cup winner?
Today’s Rundown

What’s Happening: The MVP race has crystallized into a three-man sprint: Matthew Stafford powering the 11-3 Rams to the NFC’s top seed, Drake Maye carrying New England’s resurgence, and Josh Allen detonating back into the race with a 21-0 comeback win that flipped both the AFC East picture and his MVP narrative. Stafford’s Thursday-night showdown vs. Seattle is the pivot point — a win essentially locks up the NFC West and keeps L.A. atop the conference. Maye gets a national-TV proving ground Sunday vs. Baltimore. Allen has the cleaner runway with Cleveland, Philly, and the Jets still ahead — but he likely needs to run the table and win the AFC East to break through.
Market Pricing
Matthew Stafford: 70¢ (▲8)
Josh Allen: 17¢ (▲10)
Drake Maye: 14¢ (▼15)
Line movement: Stafford has stretched his lead; Allen’s comeback popped him back into striking range while Maye took the biggest hit after the blown 21-0 advantage.
Volume: $17.2M+
Scenarios:
If Stafford beats Seattle in prime time, especially without a fully healthy Davante Adams, he nearly closes the book — locking up the NFC’s top seed and reinforcing league-best TD production.
If Maye outduels Baltimore on Sunday Night Football, Maye could pop with and New England retaking control of the AFC East reopens his path.
If Allen runs the table and steals the AFC East, narrative heat explodes: comeback wins, winter weather heroics, and a late-season surge voters historically reward.
Trading Takeaway:
This is Stafford’s market until proven otherwise — elite efficiency, conference control, and narrative momentum. Liquidity is deep enough to scale positions, and mispricing sits on Allen: at 17¢, he has a clean divisional path while Maye’s volatility is rising.
Buy Allen Yes 17¢

What’s Happening: Sydney Sweeney is in the thick of her promo run for The Housemaid, which premiered Dec. 15 in LA and hits theaters internationally through late December. The film pairs her with Amanda Seyfried in a psychological thriller about a troubled young woman who becomes a live-in housemaid for a wealthy family with dark secrets.
Elon Musk, meanwhile, injected himself into the discourse by replying to multiple Variety premiere clips with memes referencing Sweeney’s body. Those posts triggered a multi-day media cycle about Musk’s behavior—ranging from “creepy” to “thirsty”—and spawned a flood of headlines and reaction articles.
The market you’re trading on is simple: Does Sweeney tag @elonmusk on X before Jan 1? The background noise is high, but nothing in the reporting indicates Sweeney engaging with Musk at all.
Market Pricing
Yes: 7¢
No: 93¢
Line movement: Yes has bled steadily from the mid-teens into single digits as Musk’s comments generated no reciprocal engagement.
Volume: $592
Scenarios
If Sweeney addresses the Musk posts directly — whether in an interview, a joking acknowledgement, or a public swipe — her team might route that statement through X. A tag becomes conceivable only if she chooses to clap back publicly. Still a long tail.
If Musk escalates — another meme or direct mention could reheat the news cycle, but historically Sweeney avoids replying to celebrity chatter about her body. Even escalation doesn’t guarantee reciprocation.
If The Housemaid campaign shifts strategy — Sweeney tagging Musk would overshadow the film’s message and would be off-brand for a controlled, studio-managed rollout. Only a wild, off-script moment creates the opening.
Trading Takeaway:
This is a low-probability social-media event sitting in a clean downtrend. There’s no signal of Sweeney interacting with Musk, and the risk-reward keeps favoring No. Liquidity is light but stable; spreads aren’t wide enough to obscure direction.
Short Yes at 7¢

What’s Happening: Cleveland rolls into Chicago tonight needing a course correction — 4-6 over their last 10, coming off a flat 119-111 loss to Charlotte where shooting (40%) and rebounding (-7 margin) failed them. They’re also down Evan Mobley and Larry Nance Jr., stripping rim protection and paint scoring out of the rotation. Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland carry the load, but this has quietly become a top-heavy offense.
Chicago isn’t in better shape — also 2-8 in their last 10, losers of four straight at home, and still leaking points (122.4 allowed). Coby White and Josh Giddey are the functional engine, but Ayo Dosunmu’s questionable thumb adds more uncertainty to a team already stretching its depth. The Cavs have dominated the matchup, winning five straight including 128-122 in early November.
Market Pricing
Cleveland: 64¢ (▲1)
Chicago: 36¢ (▼1)
Volume: $311,545+ on Kalshi
Game time: 8:00 p.m. ET
Scenarios:
• If Chicago wins the paint battle, things flip quickly. Without Mobley, Cleveland allows 53 paint points per game — up from 48. Vucevic and Buzelis can punish that gap, and the Bulls’ ball movement (28.4 assists per game) will find those lanes.
• If Mitchell catches a heater, this gets lopsided. He averages 11+ threes attempted in December, and Chicago allows volume from deep. A 35–40 point night isn’t out of range, and it shifts Chicago into a trading mode they struggle to sustain.
Trading Takeaway:
Chicago’s defense is bottom-five and the Cavs’ matchup profile — heavy perimeter creation with Mitchell and Garland — lines up well against a Bulls group that breaks down in late-clock situations. The missing frontcourt (Mobley/Nance) is real, but Chicago’s recent form (-9.7 net rating last 10) is worse.
Lean: Long Cleveland 64¢
🏆 Today’s Games
🏀 NBA
8:00 PM — Grizzlies (12–14) vs Timberwolves (17–9) — MEM 28¢, MIN 73¢
8:00 PM — Cavaliers (15–12) vs Bulls (10–15) — CLE 65¢, CHI 36¢
🏒 NHL
7:00 PM — Kings (14–9) vs Panthers (17–13) — LAK 43¢, FLA 58¢
7:30 PM — Utah Hockey Club (16–16) vs Red Wings (19–12) — UTA 49¢, DET 52¢
8:00 PM — Hurricanes (21–9) vs Predators (13–15) — CAR 63¢, NSH 39¢
8:00 PM — Jets (15–16) vs Blues (12–15) — WPG 58¢, STL 43¢
10:00 PM — Devils (18–14) vs Golden Knights (16–6) — NJ 38¢, VGK 63¢
🏈 NCAA Football
5:00 PM — Old Dominion Monarchs (9–3) vs South Florida Bulls (9–3) — ODU 42¢, USF 59¢
🏀 NCAA Men’s Basketball Featured
5:00 PM — Northern Iowa Panthers (8–2) vs UIC Flames (4–6) — UNI 67¢, UIC 34¢
6:30 PM — Creighton Bluejays (5–5) vs Xavier Musketeers (8–3) — CREI 39¢, XAV 63¢
7:00 PM — Chattanooga Mocs (5–6) vs Bellarmine Knights (4–6) — CHAT 49¢, BELLA 53¢
7:00 PM — Vanderbilt Commodores (10–0) vs Memphis Tigers (4–5) — VAND 81¢, MEM 20¢
8:30 PM — Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (6–6) vs Delaware Blue Hens (6–6) — LOU 55¢, DEL 46¢
🏀 NCAA Men’s Basketball — Top 25
6:30 PM EST — St. Francis (PA) vs #23 Florida
7:00 PM EST — #13 Vanderbilt vs Memphis
8:00 PM EST — USF vs #16 Alabama
9:00 PM EST — Campbell vs #7 Gonzaga
🐳 Polymarket Whales Today
$10,298 — Yes sold at 80¢ for Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? by GoldenCoins
$22,632 — No bought at 94¢ for Weed rescheduled in 2025? by yougotme
$27,182 — No sold at 99¢ for Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? by Legi
$24,421 — No bought at 94¢ for Weed rescheduled in 2025? by scottilicious
$25,000 — Yes bought at 57¢ for Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17? by moje999
$35,659 — No bought at 89¢ for Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? by tgrdy
🤩 New Markets
🏛️ Politics
🗳️ 2026: Trump’s dream year?
🎤 What will Kamala Harris say on Jimmy Kimmel Live! on December 17?
🎬 Entertainment
🏆 Oscar nominations for International Feature Film?
📈 Business & Tech
🚀 Which bank will take SpaceX public?
🎵 Music
🎄 Which Christmas songs will be in the Billboard Top 10 for the week of January 3, 2026?
🏌️ Sports
⛳ How many course records will Bryson DeChambeau break in his course record series on YouTube during 2026?
⚾ Tampa Bay pro baseball wins this season?
⚾ Texas pro baseball wins this season?
⚾ Oakland pro baseball wins this season?
⚾ Philadelphia pro baseball wins this season?
⚽ Casa Pia vs Torreense: To Advance (Taça de Portugal)
🌐 Pop Culture
🎭 Will Timothée Chalamet claim he is EsDeeKid?
🎮 Play Games
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🎙️ The PNN Podcast
💸 What is PNN?
Prediction News Network delivers clear context and insight on tradable events.
We’re here to help you cash in on culture - the front page of tradable events, from the latest news to cultural context, and the market signals that tie them together. PNN coverage is informed both by the event itself and the current price, an intersection of culture and the market. For example:
Dancing experts believe Alix Earle is a near equal to Robert Irwin, a near coin flip winner, but markets give her only a 27% chance to win. Alix performs first, look to buy and flip quickly after her individual score as she is unlikely to secure the ultimate victory, but will be competitive the whole night.
Just like how Robinhood Snacks simplified financial news or Morning Brew made daily news digestible, we’re doing the same for prediction markets. PNN provides coverage of real-world events meeting real-time odds: cultural context and market movement in one place.
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