Prediction News Network delivers clear context and insight on tradable events, informed both by the event itself and the current price.

Trending Today: The 2026 World Cup draw takes place in Washington, DC. What will Trump say during it?

Today’s Video Rundown

What’s Happening: The Housemaid — Lionsgate’s adaptation of Freida McFadden’s bestseller — hits theaters Dec. 19, 2025, positioned as a holiday-season psychological thriller. Sydney Sweeney stars as Millie, a woman trying to outrun her past who becomes a live-in maid for the wealthy and volatile Winchester family, led by Amanda Seyfried (Nina) and Brandon Sklenar (Andrew). Under Paul Feig’s direction, the film leans into pulpy power dynamics, manipulation, and the book’s twist-heavy, locked-room tension.

Early reactions frame it as faithful, slick, sexy, and camp-adjacent — a crowd-pleaser more than a critic-pleaser. First-wave chatter calls it “wild, twisted, insane,” but also uneven and tonally chaotic. That mixed critical temperature is dragging the market forecast down to 58.6, with bettors re-rating expectations toward a mid-50s Tomatometer.

Market Pricing

Scenarios: If critics continue describing it as campy, uneven, or overly reliant on shock and sensuality, then Above 60 likely slides into the low 40s and stays range-bound — this is classic mid-50s outcome territory.

If a late wave of top-tier critics highlights Feig’s direction as sharp rather than messy and positions the film as deliberate genre play instead of tonal whiplash, Above 60 could re-rate into the 60–65¢ band.

Trading Takeaway: Sentiment indicators are flashing bearish: forecast is drifting, commentary skews “fun but flawed,” and expectations are settling in the high-50s / low-60s band. Liquidity is light. Unless a prestige-critic turnaround emerges, the directional edge favors shorting Above 60 (buy “No” at 53¢).

What’s Happening: Five Nights at Freddy’s 2 opens tonight, reuniting director Emma Tammi with Josh Hutcherson, Piper Rubio, Elizabeth Lail, and Matthew Lillard, while introducing The Marionette and the Toy animatronics as the sequel’s new hook. Set a year after the first film, the story pushes Mike, Abby, and Vanessa back into Fazbear lore as old ghosts and the original pizzeria resurface. It’s a PG-13, fan-forward expansion built around Jim Henson Creature Shop animatronics and franchise Easter eggs.

Critics aren’t buying it. The film launched at 13% on Rotten Tomatoes, with reviews calling it clunky, incoherent, and overloaded with lore; a smaller group highlights stronger scares, upgraded effects, and value for fans. Audience reception is far better — near 90% — and the theatrical-only rollout plus FNaF’s front-loaded fanbase keeps projections strong at $35M–$44M across 3,300 theaters.

Market Pricing

Scenarios: If additional critic reviews continue at today’s cadence (mostly negative), the Tomatometer stabilizes, keeping Above 15 deeply underwater.

If a late wave of niche horror outlets and fan-friendly reviewers post positive takes, the score could rise a few points—enough to challenge the 15% threshold.

Trading Takeaway: The tape says it all: reviewer flow is overwhelmingly negative, and the score’s early base at 12–13% is tough to dislodge in the final hours. Liquidity is decent, volatility is cooling, and the path to 15% requires not just upside—but a reversal of trend Short Above 15 (Buy No at 65¢)

What’s Happening: The AAC title game hits Yulman Stadium at 8 p.m. ET with full-on CFP stakes — winner books the Group of Five slot in the 12-team Playoff. North Texas arrives 11–1 with the No. 1 scoring offense in the country, led by QB Drew Mestemaker (FBS passing leader), RB Caleb Hawkins (23 TD), and WR Wyatt Young (top-3 nationally). Tulane counters at 10–2, riding a four-year run of league dominance and a dual-threat engine in QB Jake Retzlaff, who leads the team in rushing and accounts for most of its explosive plays. Both head coaches — UNT’s Eric Morris and Tulane’s Jon Sumrall — have been hired away but stay on for this matchup, giving the game a rare postseason “one-last-ride” subplot.

Market Pricing

Scenarios: If North Texas dictates tempo early, the Mean Green’s pace + balance (top-10 pass and rush success rates) can force Tulane out of its preferred methodical rhythm. A fast UNT start pushes their contract toward the low-60s.

Trading Takeaway: UNT owns the highest offensive floor in the G5, and Tulane’s secondary is the exact matchup they typically torch. Tulane’s only path is collapse-the-pocket disruption plus Retzlaff gashing a soft UNT front — possible, but less repeatable than UNT’s passing efficiency.

Liquidity is solid, spreads are tight, and pricing hasn’t fully reflected UNT’s red-zone advantage (80% TD rate vs. Tulane’s 56%). With market bias drifting toward “potential shootout volatility,” UNT still holds the stable edge. Long North Texas at 55¢.

2 CFB Championship Games: The Sun Belt Championship (#25 James Madison favored by 23.5 over Troy) and the American Championship (#20 Tulane are 2.5 underdogs to visiting #24 North Texas) take place tonight at 7 pm ET and 8 pm ET.

2 Top 25 Ranked College Basketball Games: East Texas A&M at #5 UConn is essentially locked in at 1% to 99% on Kalshi. #11 Gonzaga (65%) visits #18 Kentucky (35%) at 7 pm ET.

12 NBA games tonight: An Amazon Prime doubleheader highlights tonight's 12-game slate as the Celtics (68%) look for their 4th straight win when they host the Lakers (32%); then at 9:30 pm ET, the Thunder (88%) aim for their 14th win in a row and a 22-1 start against Dallas (12%).

5 NHL games on the slate, early games start at 7 pm ET, Washington Capitals (57%) @ Anaheim Ducks (43%) close out the night at 10 pm ET.

$139,677 — Yes at 93¢ for Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? by YatSen

$290,664 — No at 94¢ for No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? by YatSen

$143,381 — Team Falcons at 84¢ for Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Team Falcons (BO1) by S-Works

$22,050 — No at 63¢ for Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? by betwick

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