A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of the "Peace" outcome in the Trump Cabinet Meeting market — the NO side wins if Trump does not say "Peace" during the meeting. 12,500 NO contracts at 99¢ each, totaling $12,375. With no resting liquidity and zero prior volume on record, the book absorbed the trade without price movement or slippage. The market sits at 1¢ YES / 99¢ NO, implying roughly a 1% probability that "Peace" is spoken.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 3 minutes (1:14 PM to 1:17 PM ET), NO volume leads $30,401 to $832, price holding near 1¢. One $12,375 NO trade (12,500 contracts) accounts for 40% of the flow.
📊 Last 1,635 trades: 1,635 trades over 11.9 hours (1:25 AM to 1:17 PM ET), NO volume leads $37,134 to $9,214, as price moved from 42¢ to 1¢ (-41¢). One $12,375 NO trade (12,500 contracts) accounts for 27% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.