A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of "Will the President be impeached before Jun 1, 2026?" — the NO side wins if the outcome does NOT happen. The trade covered 10,000 NO contracts at 100¢ each, totaling $9,990. With no resting liquidity in the book, the trade absorbed cleanly with no slippage reported. The market currently sits at a YES ask of 0.4¢, implying a near-zero probability of impeachment before June 1, 2026.
📊 Last 11 trades: 11 trades over 6.4 hours (7:26 AM to 1:53 PM ET), NO volume leads $18,721 to $0, price holding near 0¢. One $9,990 NO trade (10,000 contracts) accounts for 53% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.